MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 10, 2026 01:30
I. Toklomati
(ast. T. Ream)
51'
P. Biel
(ast. D. Diani)
52'
36'
K. Denkey
43'
(ast. P. Bucha)
Evander
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Charlotte 2–2 FC Cincinnati.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
1.87
Actual xG
0.99
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
G. Valenzuela
36'
K. Denkey⚽
43'
ast. P. Bucha ·
Evander⚽
⚽I. Toklomati
· ast. T. Ream
51'
⚽P. Biel
· ast. D. Diani
52'
A. Westwood
54'
56'
M. Robinson
/
M. Miazga
62'
S. Gidi
73'
E. Echenique
/
G. Valenzuela
73'
O. Nwobodo
/
S. Gidi
77'
Evander
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ L. Abada
77'
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
82'
87'
T. Barlow
/
K. Mboma
87'
A. Lajhar
/
B. J. Ramirez Leon
90'
O. Nwobodo
Pre-match prediction
46.52%
Charlotte
24.92%
X ←
28.55%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
1.87
-0.59
1.75
0.99
-0.76
Charlotte dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
23
David Schnegg
D
David Schnegg
D
3
T. Ream
1 👟
D
T. Ream
1 👟
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
Morrison Agyemang
D
14
Nathan Byrne
D
Nathan Byrne
D
28
Djibril Diani
1 👟
M
Djibril Diani
1 👟
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
10
W. Zaha
M
W. Zaha
M
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
77'
M
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
77'
M
9
Idan Toklomati
1 ⚽
82'
F
Idan Toklomati
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Privett
D
Andrew Privett
D
7
Archie Goodwin
13'
F
Archie Goodwin
13'
F
48
Aron John
M
Aron John
M
13
Brandt Bronico
M
Brandt Bronico
M
11
Liel Abada
18'
F
Liel Abada
18'
F
17
Luca De La Torre
M
Luca De La Torre
M
37
Rodolfo Aloko
F
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
21
Tyler Miller
G
Tyler Miller
G
18
Roman Celentano
G
Roman Celentano
G
88
Andrei Chirila
D
Andrei Chirila
D
21
Matt Miazga
56'
D
Matt Miazga
56'
D
4
Nick Hagglund
D
Nick Hagglund
D
11
Samuel Gidi
73'
M
Samuel Gidi
73'
M
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
87'
M
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
87'
M
10
Evander
1 ⚽
M
Evander
1 ⚽
M
22
G. Valenzuela
73'
M
G. Valenzuela
73'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
1 👟
M
17
K. Mboma Dem
87'
F
K. Mboma Dem
87'
F
9
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
F
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
F
Bench
55
Ayoub Lajhar
8'
D
Ayoub Lajhar
8'
D
27
B. Anunga
M
B. Anunga
M
66
Ender Echenique
22'
F
13
Evan Louro
G
Evan Louro
G
3
Gilberto Flores
D
Gilberto Flores
D
12
M. Robinson
39'
D
M. Robinson
39'
D
5
O. Nwobodo
22'
M
O. Nwobodo
22'
M
37
Stiven Jimenez
M
Stiven Jimenez
M
16
T. Barlow
8'
F
T. Barlow
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 40 pass
Evander
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 53 pass
Nick Hagglund
D · FC
7.50
· 75 pass
M. Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 52 pass
Djibril Diani
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 👟
· 43 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 shots
· 64 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| David Schnegg | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 64 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 82 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liel Abada | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 74% | — | — | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Gidi | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Evander | M | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 53 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 95 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Robinson | D | 39 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Charlotte 2–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC Cincinnati win.