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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 01:30
#5 · 39 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#7 · 31 pts
I. Toklomati (ast. T. Ream) 51'
P. Biel (ast. D. Diani) 52'
36' K. Denkey
43' (ast. P. Bucha) Evander
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Charlotte 2–2 FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
1.87
Actual xG
0.99
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
G. Valenzuela
36'
K. Denkey
43'
ast. P. Bucha · Evander
I. Toklomati · ast. T. Ream
51'
P. Biel · ast. D. Diani
52'
A. Westwood
54'
56'
M. Robinson / M. Miazga
62'
S. Gidi
73'
E. Echenique / G. Valenzuela
73'
O. Nwobodo / S. Gidi
77'
Evander
K. A. Calderon Vargas / L. Abada
77'
I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin
82'
87'
T. Barlow / K. Mboma
87'
A. Lajhar / B. J. Ramirez Leon
90'
O. Nwobodo
Pre-match prediction
46.52%
Charlotte
24.92%
X ←
28.55%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlotte
2.46
1.87
-0.59
FC
1.75
0.99
-0.76
Charlotte dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.99). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.90
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg D 6.90
3 T. Ream T. Ream 1 👟 D 6.90
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 7.00
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.30
28 D. Diani D. Diani 1 👟 M 7.30
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood M 7.30
10 W. Zaha W. Zaha M 6.90
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 ⚽ M 8.30
18 K. Vargas K. Vargas 77' M 6.90
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.20
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 13' F 6.30
4 A. Privett A. Privett D
48 Aron John Aron John M
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico M
11 L. Abada L. Abada 18' F 6.20
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre M
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko F
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls F
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1-4-2
18 R. Celentano R. Celentano G 6.30
88 A. Chirila A. Chirila D 7.20
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 56' D 6.30
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund D 7.50
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi 73' M 6.30
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 87' M 6.00
10 Evander Evander 1 ⚽ M 8.20
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 73' M 6.30
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha 1 👟 M 6.90
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 87' F 6.50
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey 1 ⚽ F 6.60
Bench
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar 8' D 6.60
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique 22' F 6.60
13 E. Louro E. Louro G
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
12 M. Robinson M. Robinson 39' D 7.30
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 22' M 6.60
37 Stiven Jimenez Stiven Jimenez M
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 8' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 40 pass
Evander
Evander
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 53 pass
N. Hagglund
N. Hagglund
D · FC
7.50
· 75 pass
M. Robinson
M. Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 52 pass
D. Diani
D. Diani
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 👟
· 43 pass
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 shots · 64 pass
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 95 6.90 36 29%
D. Schnegg D 95 6.90 47 40% 1
T. Ream D 95 6.90 1 64 60% 1
M. Agyemang D 95 7.00 51 47% 1
N. Byrne D 95 6.30 1 64 54%
D. Diani M 95 7.30 1 43 43% 4
A. Westwood M 95 7.30 1 64 56% 1 1
W. Zaha M 95 6.90 39 36% 1
Pep Biel M 95 8.30 1 3 40 38% 2
K. Vargas M 77 6.90 33 30% 1
I. Toklomati Giorno F 82 7.20 1 3 17 15% 1
A. Goodwin F 13 6.30
L. Abada F 18 6.20 5 5%
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Celentano G 95 6.30 18 14%
A. Chirila D 95 7.20 80 74%
Matt Miazga D 56 6.30 51 46%
N. Hagglund D 95 7.50 75 72% 3
S. Gidi M 73 6.30 45 39% 1 1
Bryan Josías Ramírez León M 87 6.00 1 33 30%
Evander M 95 8.20 1 3 53 45% 2 1
G. Valenzuela M 73 6.30 1 43 39% 3 1
P. Bucha M 95 6.90 1 60 56% 1
K. Mboma Dem F 87 6.50 3 17 15%
K. Denkey F 95 6.60 1 1 24 19%
Ayoub Lajhar D 8 6.60 1 1%
E. Echenique F 22 6.60 8 8%
M. Robinson D 39 7.30 52 48%
O. Nwobodo M 22 6.60 13 13% 1 1
T. Barlow F 8 6.30 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Charlotte 2–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC Cincinnati win.