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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 11, 2026 01:30 Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Charlotte
#5 · 47 pts
3 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#2 · 54 pts
Idan Toklomati Jorno (ast. Allan Saint-Maximin) 70'
Harry Toffolo (ast. Idan Toklomati Jorno) 74'
Idan Toklomati Jorno (ast. Pep Biel) 90'+2
22' (ast. Herman Johansson) Logan Farrington
64' (ast. Santiago Moreno) Petar Musa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 48% win probability (draw 20%, FC Dallas 30%). The final result was Charlotte 3–2 FC Dallas.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
5
3.51
Actual xG
2.17
3
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
14
Corners
3
8
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. Herman Johansson · Logan Farrington⚽
45'
Sebastien Ibeagha / Lalas Abubakar ↕
60'
Petar Musa / Logan Farrington ↕
60'
Santiago Moreno / Patrickson Delgado ↕
↕ David Schnegg / Harry Toffolo
60'
↕ Brandt Bronico / Luca De La Torre
60'
64'
ast. Santiago Moreno · Petar Musa⚽
↕ Liel Abada / Rodolfo Aloko
69'
↕ Nathan Byrne / Will Cleary
69'
⚽Idan Toklomati Jorno · ast. Allan Saint-Maximin
70'
⚽Harry Toffolo · ast. Idan Toklomati Jorno
74'
75'
Bernard Kamungo / Herman Johansson ↕
79'
Osaze Urhoghide
84'
Daniel Job / Joaquín Valiente Cioli ↕
Morrison Agyemang
86'
⚽Idan Toklomati Jorno · ast. Pep Biel
90'+2
↕ Allan Saint-Maximin / Djibril Diani
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.78%
Charlotte ←
20.36%
X
30.86%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 48.78% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlotte
2.36
3.51
+1.15
FC
1.87
2.17
+0.3
Charlotte dominated by xG (3.51 vs 2.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.67
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg 60' D 5.83
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D 6.79
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 6.43
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne 69' D 6.56
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 60' M 5.86
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood M 6.16
10 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 1 👟 89' M 6.77
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 👟 M 7.70
11 L. Abada L. Abada 69' M 6.55
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.81
Bench
4 A. Privett A. Privett D 0.00
28 D. Diani D. Diani 1' M 0.00
15 H. Toffolo H. Toffolo 1 ⚽ 30' D 7.70
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 30' M 6.08
71 N. Richmond N. Richmond F 0.00
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 21' F 6.88
21 T. Miller T. Miller G 0.00
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls F 0.00
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary 21' D 6.05
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 5.88
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 6.23
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar 45' D 6.58
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 5.75
18 S. Moore S. Moore M 5.84
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis M 6.26
55 Kaick Kaick M 6.28
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 1 👟 75' M 6.64
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 60' M 6.98
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 84' M 6.43
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 1 ⚽ 60' F 8.01
Bench
77 B. Kamungo B. Kamungo 15' F 6.72
7 D. Job D. Job 6' M 5.99
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois G 0.00
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.07
17 Ramiro Ramiro M 0.00
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin M 0.00
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver F 0.00
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha 45' D 6.08
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 1 👟 30' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Toklomati Giorno
I. Toklomati Giorno
F · Charlotte
9.81
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 14 pass
L. Farrington
L. Farrington
F · FC
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
H. Toffolo
H. Toffolo
D · Charlotte
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 30 pass
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
7.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
P. Delgado
P. Delgado
M · FC
6.98
2 shots · 21 pass
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 6.67 — — 0 42 31% 0 — —
D. Schnegg D 60 5.83 — — 1 36 25% 0 — —
H. Kessler D 90 6.79 — — 2 66 57% 0 — —
M. Agyemang D 90 6.43 — — 2 72 66% 1 1 —
N. Byrne D 69 6.56 — — 0 48 42% 0 — —
B. Bronico M 60 5.86 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
A. Westwood M 90 6.16 — — 2 54 45% 2 — —
A. Saint-Maximin M 89 6.77 — 1 3 19 12% 1 — —
Pep Biel M 90 7.70 — 1 2 30 28% 0 — —
L. Abada M 69 6.55 — — 1 23 20% 0 — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 90 9.81 2 1 4 14 12% 1 — —
D. Diani M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
H. Toffolo D 30 7.70 1 — 1 9 5% 0 — —
L. de la Torre M 30 6.08 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
R. Aloko F 21 6.88 — — 0 13 9% 1 — —
Will Cleary D 21 6.05 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 90 5.88 — — 0 32 14% 0 — —
N. Norris D 90 6.23 — — 1 44 35% 0 — —
L. Abubakar D 45 6.58 — — 0 24 23% 0 — —
O. Urhoghide D 90 5.75 — — 1 24 18% 1 1 —
S. Moore M 90 5.84 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
C. Cappis M 90 6.26 — — 1 50 41% 1 — —
Kaick M 90 6.28 — — 3 44 39% 2 — —
H. Johansson M 75 6.64 — 1 0 24 19% 0 — —
P. Delgado M 60 6.98 — — 2 21 20% 1 — —
J. Valiente M 84 6.43 — — 1 23 20% 0 — —
L. Farrington F 60 8.01 1 — 1 14 10% 0 — —
B. Kamungo F 15 6.72 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
D. Job M 6 5.99 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
P. Musa F 30 7.07 1 — 1 16 9% 0 — —
S. Ibeagha D 45 6.08 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
S. Moreno F 30 6.70 — 1 0 16 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Charlotte 3–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Charlotte win, 20% to a draw, and 30% to an FC Dallas win.