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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 01:15
Charlotte
#5 · 39 pts
0 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#9 · 29 pts
8' (ast. H. Wolf) N. Mercau
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 43% win probability (draw 28%, New York City FC 27%). The final result was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.51
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
8
Corners
1
8
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
8'
ast. H. Wolf · N. Mercau⚽
29'
N. Mercau
33'
A. Ojeda
D. Diani
36'
P. Biel
38'
40'
H. Wolf
65'
M. Jones / A. Ojeda ↕
W. Zaha
71'
↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin
74'
↕ K. A. Calderon Vargas / R. Aloko
74'
81'
A. Perea / N. Mercau ↕
81'
A. Farnos / K. Parks ↕
82'
S. Reid / M. Moralez ↕
84'
M. Jones
A. Goodwin
87'
↕ P. Biel / T. Smalls
88'
90'+4
Raul Gustavo
Pre-match prediction
43.55%
Charlotte
28.82%
X
27.63%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC) 27.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlotte
1.43
0.51
-0.92
New
0.97
0.63
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 5.60
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg D 6.30
3 T. Ream T. Ream D 6.60
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 7.30
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.90
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre M 6.30
28 D. Diani D. Diani M 6.50
10 W. Zaha W. Zaha M 7.30
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 88' M 6.50
18 K. Vargas K. Vargas 74' M 7.00
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 74' F 6.70
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 16' F 6.50
4 A. Privett A. Privett D
48 Aron John Aron John M
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico M
11 L. Abada L. Abada F
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 16' F 6.20
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 8' F 6.50
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary D
New York City FC New York City FC 3-4-1-2
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.90
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 7.60
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.30
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 7.00
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo M 6.90
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin M 6.60
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 81' M 7.00
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 65' M 6.90
10 M. Moralez M. Moralez 82' F 6.90
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 1 👟 F 6.20
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
Bench
8 A. Perea A. Perea 9' M 6.70
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos 9' F 6.30
32 J. Shore J. Shore M
15 Kevin Pierre Kevin Pierre M
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo M
88 M. Jones M. Jones 25' F 6.20
99 S. Reid S. Reid 8' F 6.30
19
Strahinja Tanasijević D
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.60
· 88 pass
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 61 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.30
· 99 pass
W. Zaha
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
7.30
· 39 pass
Keaton Parks
Keaton Parks
M · New
7.00
· 41 pass
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 5.60 — — — 32 28% — — —
D. Schnegg D 90 6.30 — — 1 24 20% 1 — —
T. Ream D 90 6.60 — — — 60 55% 1 — —
M. Agyemang D 90 7.30 — — — 61 57% 2 — —
N. Byrne D 90 6.90 — — — 50 45% — — —
L. de la Torre M 90 6.30 — — — 52 45% — — —
D. Diani M 90 6.50 — — — 43 39% 2 1 —
W. Zaha M 90 7.30 — — — 39 32% 1 1 —
Pep Biel M 88 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
K. Vargas M 74 7.00 — — 2 22 20% 1 — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 74 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
A. Goodwin F 16 6.50 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
R. Aloko F 16 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Tyger Smalls F 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 6.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Raul Gustavo D 90 7.60 — — — 88 79% 1 1 —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.30 — — — 99 91% — — —
T. Gray D 90 7.00 — — — 52 46% 3 — —
Nico Cavallo M 90 6.90 — — — 33 30% 4 — —
Kai Trewin M 90 6.60 — — — 41 37% — — —
Keaton Parks M 81 7.00 — — — 41 35% — — —
A. Ojeda M 65 6.90 — — 1 23 21% — 1 —
M. Moralez F 82 6.90 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
H. Wolf F 90 6.20 — 1 1 25 20% 1 1 —
N. Fernández Mercau F 81 7.60 1 — 1 28 28% 3 1 —
A. Perea M 9 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Arnau Farnos F 9 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Jones F 25 6.20 — — — 7 5% — 1 —
S. Reid F 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The final score was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Charlotte win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an New York City FC win.