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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 14, 2026 01:15
Charlotte
#9 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#5 · 18 pts
8' (ast. H. Wolf) N. Mercau

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 43% win probability (draw 28%, New York City FC 27%). The final result was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.51
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
8
Corners
1
8
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
8'
ast. H. Wolf · N. Mercau⚽
29'
N. Mercau
33'
A. Ojeda
D. Diani
36'
P. Biel
38'
40'
H. Wolf
65'
M. Jones / A. Ojeda ↕
W. Zaha
71'
↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin
74'
↕ K. A. Calderon Vargas / R. Aloko
74'
81'
A. Perea / N. Mercau ↕
81'
A. Farnos / K. Parks ↕
82'
S. Reid / M. Moralez ↕
84'
M. Jones
A. Goodwin
87'
↕ P. Biel / T. Smalls
88'
90'+4
Raul Gustavo
Pre-match prediction
43.55%
Charlotte
28.82%
X
27.63%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC) 27.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlotte
1.43
0.51
-0.92
New
0.97
0.63
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 Kristijan Kahlina Kristijan Kahlina G 5.60
23 David Schnegg David Schnegg D 6.30
3 Tim Ream Tim Ream D 6.60
44 Morrison Agyemang Morrison Agyemang D 7.30
14 Nathan Byrne Nathan Byrne D 6.90
17 Luca De La Torre Luca De La Torre M 6.30
28 Djibril Diani Djibril Diani M 6.50
10 Wilfried Zaha Wilfried Zaha M 7.30
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 88' M 6.50
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas Kerwin Calderón Vargas 74' M 7.00
9 Idan Toklomati Idan Toklomati 74' F 6.70
Bench
4 Andrew Privett Andrew Privett D
7 Archie Goodwin Archie Goodwin 16' F 6.50
48 Aron John Aron John M
13 Brandt Bronico Brandt Bronico M
11 Liel Abada Liel Abada F
37 Rodolfo Aloko Rodolfo Aloko 16' F 6.20
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 8' F 6.50
21 Tyler Miller Tyler Miller G
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary D
New York City FC New York City FC 3-4-1-2
49 Matthew Freese Matthew Freese G 6.90
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 7.60
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.30
24 Tayvon Gray Tayvon Gray D 7.00
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo M 6.90
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin M 6.60
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 81' M 7.00
26 Agustin Ojeda Agustin Ojeda 65' M 6.90
10 Maxi Moralez Maxi Moralez 82' F 6.90
17 Hannes Wolf Hannes Wolf 1 👟 F 6.20
7 Nicolás Fernández Nicolás Fernández 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
Bench
8 Andrés Perea Andrés Perea 9' M 6.70
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos 9' F 6.30
32 Jonathan Shore Jonathan Shore M
15 Kevin Pierre Kevin Pierre M
88 Malachi Jones Malachi Jones 25' F 6.20
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo M
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid Seymour Garfield-Reid 8' F 6.30
19 Strahinja Tanasijević Strahinja Tanasijević D
30 Tomás Romero Tomás Romero G
Best on the pitch
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.60
· 88 pass
Morrison Agyemang
Morrison Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 61 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.30
· 99 pass
Wilfried Zaha
Wilfried Zaha
M · Charlotte
7.30
· 39 pass
Keaton Parks
Keaton Parks
M · New
7.00
· 41 pass
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kristijan Kahlina G 90 5.60 — — — 32 28% — — —
David Schnegg D 90 6.30 — — 1 24 20% 1 — —
Tim Ream D 90 6.60 — — — 60 55% 1 — —
Morrison Agyemang D 90 7.30 — — — 61 57% 2 — —
Nathan Byrne D 90 6.90 — — — 50 45% — — —
Luca De La Torre M 90 6.30 — — — 52 45% — — —
Djibril Diani M 90 6.50 — — — 43 39% 2 1 —
Wilfried Zaha M 90 7.30 — — — 39 32% 1 1 —
Pep Biel M 88 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
Kerwin Calderón Vargas M 74 7.00 — — 2 22 20% 1 — —
Idan Toklomati F 74 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
Archie Goodwin F 16 6.50 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Rodolfo Aloko F 16 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Tyger Smalls F 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matthew Freese G 90 6.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Raul Gustavo D 90 7.60 — — — 88 79% 1 1 —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.30 — — — 99 91% — — —
Tayvon Gray D 90 7.00 — — — 52 46% 3 — —
Nico Cavallo M 90 6.90 — — — 33 30% 4 — —
Kai Trewin M 90 6.60 — — — 41 37% — — —
Keaton Parks M 81 7.00 — — — 41 35% — — —
Agustin Ojeda M 65 6.90 — — 1 23 21% — 1 —
Maxi Moralez F 82 6.90 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
Hannes Wolf F 90 6.20 — 1 1 25 20% 1 1 —
Nicolás Fernández F 81 7.60 1 — 1 28 28% 3 1 —
Andrés Perea M 9 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Arnau Farnos F 9 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Malachi Jones F 25 6.20 — — — 7 5% — 1 —
Seymour Garfield-Reid F 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The final score was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Charlotte win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an New York City FC win.