MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 01:15
8'
(ast. H. Wolf)
N. Mercau
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 43% win probability (draw 28%, New York City FC 27%). The final result was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.51
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
8
Corners
1
8
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
8'
ast. H. Wolf ·
N. Mercau⚽
29'
N. Mercau
33'
A. Ojeda
D. Diani
36'
P. Biel
38'
40'
H. Wolf
65'
M. Jones
/
A. Ojeda
W. Zaha
71'
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
74'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ R. Aloko
74'
81'
A. Perea
/
N. Mercau
81'
A. Farnos
/
K. Parks
82'
S. Reid
/
M. Moralez
84'
M. Jones
A. Goodwin
87'
P. Biel
/ T. Smalls
88'
90'+4
Raul Gustavo
Pre-match prediction
43.55%
Charlotte
28.82%
X
27.63%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC)
27.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
0.51
-0.92
0.97
0.63
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
23
David Schnegg
D
David Schnegg
D
3
Tim Ream
D
Tim Ream
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
Morrison Agyemang
D
14
Nathan Byrne
D
Nathan Byrne
D
17
Luca De La Torre
M
Luca De La Torre
M
28
Djibril Diani
M
Djibril Diani
M
10
W. Zaha
M
W. Zaha
M
16
Pep Biel
88'
M
Pep Biel
88'
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
74'
M
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
74'
M
9
Idan Toklomati
74'
F
Idan Toklomati
74'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Privett
D
Andrew Privett
D
7
Archie Goodwin
16'
F
Archie Goodwin
16'
F
48
Aron John
M
Aron John
M
13
Brandt Bronico
M
Brandt Bronico
M
11
Liel Abada
F
Liel Abada
F
37
Rodolfo Aloko
16'
F
Rodolfo Aloko
16'
F
25
Tyger Smalls
8'
F
Tyger Smalls
8'
F
21
Tyler Miller
G
Tyler Miller
G
35
Will Cleary
D
Will Cleary
D
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
2
Nico Cavallo
M
Nico Cavallo
M
5
Kai Trewin
M
Kai Trewin
M
55
Keaton Parks
81'
M
Keaton Parks
81'
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
65'
M
Agustin Ojeda
65'
M
10
M. Moralez
82'
F
M. Moralez
82'
F
17
Hannes Wolf
1 👟
F
Hannes Wolf
1 👟
F
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
81'
F
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
8
Andrés Perea
9'
M
Andrés Perea
9'
M
87
Arnau Farnos
9'
F
Arnau Farnos
9'
F
32
Jonathan Shore
M
Jonathan Shore
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
Kevin Pierre
M
88
Malachi Jones
25'
F
Malachi Jones
25'
F
29
Máximo Carrizo
M
Máximo Carrizo
M
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
8'
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
8'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
Tomás Romero
G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.60
· 88 pass
Morrison Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 61 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.30
· 99 pass
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
7.30
· 39 pass
Keaton Parks
M · New
7.00
· 41 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| David Schnegg | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 88 | 79% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 99 | 91% | — | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Moralez | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Hannes Wolf | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The final score was Charlotte 0–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Charlotte win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an New York City FC win.