MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 03:30
A. Westwood
(ast. I. Toklomati)
30'
W. Zaha
(ast. P. Biel)
80'
78'
(ast. C. Sullivan)
D. Jean Jacques
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 26%). The final result was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.41
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
7
6
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
Frankie Westfield
Djibril Diani
19'
⚽A. Westwood
· ast. I. Toklomati
30'
Wilfried Zaha
42'
45'+2
Bruno Damiani
64'
J. Bueno
/
E. Alladoh
D. Diani
/ L. de la Torre
65'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ L. Abada
65'
76'
Nathan Harriel
77'
C. Sullivan
/
I. Vassilev
78'
ast. C. Sullivan ·
D. Jean Jacques⚽
⚽W. Zaha
· ast. P. Biel
80'
Morrison Agyemang
83'
83'
M. Jakupovic
/
B. Damiani
84'
P. Ndinga
/
J. Sery Larsen
84'
S. Korzeniowski
/
M. Iloski
Kristijan Kahlina
87'
90'+1
Cavan Sullivan
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
90'
P. Biel
/ B. Bronico
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.43%
Charlotte ←
27.38%
X
26.2%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
46.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.59
1.46
-1.13
0.87
1.41
+0.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
15
H. Toffolo
D
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
44
M. Agyemang
14
Nathan Byrne
D
Nathan Byrne
D
28
Djibril Diani
65'
M
Djibril Diani
65'
M
8
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
10
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
16
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
65'
M
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
65'
M
9
Idan Toklomati
1 👟
89'
F
Idan Toklomati
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Privett
D
Andrew Privett
D
7
Archie Goodwin
9'
F
Archie Goodwin
9'
F
13
Brandt Bronico
9'
M
Brandt Bronico
9'
M
23
David Schnegg
D
David Schnegg
D
11
Liel Abada
25'
F
Liel Abada
25'
F
17
Luca De La Torre
25'
M
Luca De La Torre
25'
M
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
18
G
39
Frankie Westfield
D
Frankie Westfield
D
29
Olwethu Makhanya
D
Olwethu Makhanya
D
5
J. Sery Larsen
84'
D
J. Sery Larsen
84'
D
26
Nathan Harriel
D
Nathan Harriel
D
19
Indiana Vassilev
77'
M
Indiana Vassilev
77'
M
4
Jovan Lukić
M
Jovan Lukić
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
1 ⚽
M
D. Jean-Jacques
1 ⚽
M
10
Milan Iloski
84'
M
Milan Iloski
84'
M
9
Bruno Damiani
83'
F
Bruno Damiani
83'
F
23
E. Alladoh
64'
F
E. Alladoh
64'
F
Bench
11
Alejandro Bedoya
M
Alejandro Bedoya
M
16
Ben Bender
M
Ben Bender
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
1 👟
13'
M
Cavan Sullivan
1 👟
13'
M
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
8
Jesus Bueno
26'
M
Jesus Bueno
26'
M
20
Philippe Ndinga
15'
D
Philippe Ndinga
15'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 77 pass
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
H. Toffolo
D · Charlotte
7.20
· 55 pass
T. Ream
D · Charlotte
7.20
· 79 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Toffolo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 41% | — | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 76% | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 77 | 66% | — | — | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Liel Abada | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Philadelphia Union win.