MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 01:30
A. Westwood
(ast. I. Toklomati)
30'
W. Zaha
(ast. P. Biel)
80'
78'
(ast. C. Sullivan)
D. Jean Jacques
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 26%). The final result was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.41
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
7
6
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
Frankie Westfield
Djibril Diani
19'
⚽A. Westwood
· ast. I. Toklomati
30'
Wilfried Zaha
42'
45'+2
Bruno Damiani
64'
J. Bueno
/
E. Alladoh
D. Diani
/ L. de la Torre
65'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ L. Abada
65'
76'
Nathan Harriel
77'
C. Sullivan
/
I. Vassilev
78'
ast. C. Sullivan ·
D. Jean Jacques⚽
⚽W. Zaha
· ast. P. Biel
80'
Morrison Agyemang
83'
83'
M. Jakupovic
/
B. Damiani
84'
P. Ndinga
/
J. Sery Larsen
84'
S. Korzeniowski
/
M. Iloski
Kristijan Kahlina
87'
90'+1
Cavan Sullivan
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
90'
P. Biel
/ B. Bronico
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.43%
Charlotte ←
27.38%
X
26.2%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
46.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.59
1.46
-1.13
0.87
1.41
+0.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
D
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
44
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
14
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
28
D. Diani
65'
M
D. Diani
65'
M
8
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
10
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
16
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
Pep Biel
1 👟
89'
M
18
K. Vargas
65'
M
K. Vargas
65'
M
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 👟
89'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
7
A. Goodwin
9'
F
A. Goodwin
9'
F
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
13
B. Bronico
9'
M
B. Bronico
9'
M
23
D. Schnegg
D
D. Schnegg
D
11
L. Abada
25'
F
L. Abada
25'
F
17
L. de la Torre
25'
M
L. de la Torre
25'
M
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
18
G
39
F. Westfield
D
F. Westfield
D
29
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
5
J. Sery Larsen
84'
D
J. Sery Larsen
84'
D
26
N. Harriel
D
N. Harriel
D
19
I. Vassilev
77'
M
I. Vassilev
77'
M
4
J. Lukić
M
J. Lukić
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
1 ⚽
M
D. Jean-Jacques
1 ⚽
M
10
M. Iloski
84'
M
M. Iloski
84'
M
9
B. Damiani
83'
F
B. Damiani
83'
F
23
E. Alladoh
64'
F
E. Alladoh
64'
F
Bench
11
A. Bedoya
M
A. Bedoya
M
16
B. Bender
M
B. Bender
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
1 👟
13'
M
Cavan Sullivan
1 👟
13'
M
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
8
J. Bueno
26'
M
J. Bueno
26'
M
20
Philippe Ndinga
15'
D
Philippe Ndinga
15'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 77 pass
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
Harry Toffolo
D · Charlotte
7.20
· 55 pass
T. Ream
D · Charlotte
7.20
· 79 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 41% | — | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 76% | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N. Byrne | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 50% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 77 | 66% | — | — | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Vargas | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Abada | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Iloski | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Philadelphia Union win.