Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 05, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 01:30

Charlotte

#5 · 53 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Philadelphia Union

#6 · 47 pts

A. Westwood (ast. I. Toklomati) 30'

W. Zaha (ast. P. Biel) 80'

78' (ast. C. Sullivan) D. Jean Jacques

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 26%). The final result was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.46

Actual xG

1.41

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

12'

Frankie Westfield

Djibril Diani

19'

⚽A. Westwood · ast. I. Toklomati

30'

Wilfried Zaha

42'

45'+2

Bruno Damiani

64'

J. Bueno / E. Alladoh ↕

↕ D. Diani / L. de la Torre

65'

↕ K. A. Calderon Vargas / L. Abada

65'

76'

Nathan Harriel

77'

C. Sullivan / I. Vassilev ↕

78'

ast. C. Sullivan · D. Jean Jacques⚽

⚽W. Zaha · ast. P. Biel

80'

Morrison Agyemang

83'

M. Jakupovic / B. Damiani ↕

84'

P. Ndinga / J. Sery Larsen ↕

84'

S. Korzeniowski / M. Iloski ↕

Kristijan Kahlina

87'

90'+1

Cavan Sullivan

↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin

90'

↕ P. Biel / B. Bronico

90'

Pre-match prediction

46.43%

Charlotte ←

27.38%

26.2%

Philadelphia

we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 46.43% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Charlotte

2.59

1.46

-1.13

Philadelphia

0.87

1.41

+0.54

xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Charlotte 4-2-3-1

K. Kahlina G 6.30

H. Toffolo D 7.20

T. Ream D 7.20

M. Agyemang

N. Byrne D 6.30

D. Diani 65' M 6.50

A. Westwood 1 ⚽ M 8.20

W. Zaha 1 ⚽ M 7.90

Pep Biel 1 👟 89' M 7.20

K. A. Calderon Vargas 65' M 6.90

I. Toklomati Giorno 1 👟 89' F 6.90

Bench

A. Goodwin 9' F 6.50

A. Privett D

B. Bronico 9' M 6.30

D. Schnegg D

L. Abada 25' F 6.60

L. de la Torre 25' M 6.20

Tyger Smalls F

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

G 6.90

F. Westfield D 6.30

O. Makhanya D 6.60

J. Sery Larsen 84' D 6.30

N. Harriel D 6.70

I. Vassilev 77' M 6.90

J. Lukić M 7.00

D. Jean-Jacques 1 ⚽ M 7.50

M. Iloski 84' M 6.20

B. Damiani 83' F 6.30

E. Alladoh 64' F 6.70

Bench

A. Bedoya M

B. Bender M

Cavan Sullivan 1 👟 13' M 6.60

G. Martínez D

J. Bueno 26' M 7.00

Philippe Ndinga 15' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

A. Westwood

M · Charlotte

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 77 pass

W. Zaha

M · Charlotte

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 32 pass

D. Jean-Jacques

M · Philadelphia

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

H. Toffolo

D · Charlotte

7.20

· 55 pass

T. Ream

D · Charlotte

7.20

· 79 pass

Pep Biel

M · Charlotte

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 20 pass

Charlotte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Kahlina	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	29%	—	1	—
H. Toffolo	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	55	41%	—	—	—
T. Ream	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	79	76%	—	—	—
M. Agyemang		—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
N. Byrne	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	62	50%	—	—	—
D. Diani	M	65	6.50	—	—	1	22	21%	1	1	—
A. Westwood	M	90	8.20	1	—	1	77	66%	—	—	—
W. Zaha	M	90	7.90	1	—	3	32	28%	—	1	—
Pep Biel	M	89	7.20	—	1	1	20	16%	2	—	—
K. A. Calderon Vargas	M	65	6.90	—	—	—	26	22%	2	—	—
I. Toklomati Giorno	F	89	6.90	—	1	—	13	11%	1	—	—
A. Goodwin	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
B. Bronico	M	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
L. Abada	F	25	6.60	—	—	1	10	7%	—	—	—
L. de la Torre	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
F. Westfield	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	32	22%	2	1	—
O. Makhanya	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	43%	3	—	—
J. Sery Larsen	D	84	6.30	—	—	—	32	28%	1	—	—
N. Harriel	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	33	29%	2	1	—
I. Vassilev	M	77	6.90	—	—	—	23	19%	2	—	—
J. Lukić	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	48	40%	5	—	—
D. Jean-Jacques	M	90	7.50	1	—	2	34	27%	—	—	—
M. Iloski	M	84	6.20	—	—	2	11	7%	—	—	—
B. Damiani	F	83	6.30	—	—	3	16	16%	2	1	—
E. Alladoh	F	64	6.70	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	13	6.60	—	1	1	4	3%	1	1	—
J. Bueno	M	26	7.00	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
Philippe Ndinga	D	15	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

The final score was Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.

What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Philadelphia Union win.