MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 01:30
W. Zaha
(ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas)
19'
D. Schnegg
(ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas)
35'
P. Biel
84'
(pen.)
22'
(ast. J. Osorio)
D. Etienne
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Toronto FC 27%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Toronto FC.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
2.12
Actual xG
0.88
3
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽W. Zaha
· ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas
19'
22'
ast. J. Osorio ·
D. Etienne⚽
28'
⚽D. Schnegg
· ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas
35'
P. Biel
49'
54'
M. Henry
58'
N. Gomis
/
R. Edwards
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ R. Aloko
66'
B. Bronico
/ D. Diani
66'
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
75'
N. Byrne
/ W. Cleary
75'
78'
F. Bank
/
M. Henry
83'
J. Osorio
⚽P. Biel
(pen.)
84'
P. Biel
/ L. de la Torre
87'
A. Westwood
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
46.45%
Charlotte ←
26.55%
X
27.0%
Toronto
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
46.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
2.12
+0.63
1.08
0.88
-0.2
Charlotte dominated by xG (2.12 vs 0.88).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
23
D. Schnegg
1 ⚽
D
D. Schnegg
1 ⚽
D
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
14
N. Byrne
75'
D
N. Byrne
75'
D
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
13
B. Bronico
66'
M
B. Bronico
66'
M
10
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
W. Zaha
1 ⚽
M
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
87'
M
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
87'
M
18
K. Vargas
2 👟
66'
M
K. Vargas
2 👟
66'
M
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
75'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
75'
F
Bench
7
A. Goodwin
15'
F
A. Goodwin
15'
F
48
Aron John
M
Aron John
M
28
D. Diani
24'
M
D. Diani
24'
M
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
11
L. Abada
F
L. Abada
F
17
L. de la Torre
8'
M
L. de la Torre
8'
M
37
R. Aloko
24'
F
R. Aloko
24'
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
35
Will Cleary
15'
D
Will Cleary
15'
D
1
L. Gavran
G
L. Gavran
G
44
R. Edwards
58'
D
R. Edwards
58'
D
38
J. Gilman
D
J. Gilman
D
25
W. Zimmerman
D
W. Zimmerman
D
19
K. Franklin
D
K. Franklin
D
21
J. Osorio
1 👟
M
J. Osorio
1 👟
M
14
Alonso Coello
M
Alonso Coello
M
11
D. Etienne
1 ⚽
M
D. Etienne
1 ⚽
M
20
D. Sallói
M
D. Sallói
M
78
Malik Henry
78'
M
Malik Henry
78'
M
17
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
F
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
F
Bench
77
Adisa De Rosario
G
Adisa De Rosario
G
91
Dekwon Barrow
F
Dekwon Barrow
F
79
Fletcher Bank
12'
F
Fletcher Bank
12'
F
74
Luca Costabile
D
Luca Costabile
D
15
N. Gomis
32'
D
N. Gomis
32'
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
Stefan Kapor
D
23
W. Yarbrough
G
W. Yarbrough
G
Best on the pitch
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 63 pass
M. Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.90
1 shots
· 56 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.60
· 47 pass
A. Privett
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 50 pass
K. Vargas
M · Charlotte
7.30
2 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Privett | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 50% | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 63 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 87 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Vargas | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Aloko | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Toronto FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gavran | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gilman | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Zimmerman | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Franklin | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osorio | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 59% | — | 1 | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Etienne | M | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sallói | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 78 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Fletcher Bank | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Gomis | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
The final score was Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Toronto FC win.