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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 01:30
Charlotte
#5 · 53 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Toronto FC
#12 · 39 pts
W. Zaha (ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas) 19'
D. Schnegg (ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas) 35'
P. Biel 84' (pen.)
22' (ast. J. Osorio) D. Etienne
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Toronto FC 27%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
2.12
Actual xG
0.88
3
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽W. Zaha · ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas
19'
22'
ast. J. Osorio · D. Etienne⚽
28'
⚽D. Schnegg · ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas
35'
P. Biel
49'
54'
M. Henry
58'
N. Gomis / R. Edwards ↕
↕ K. A. Calderon Vargas / R. Aloko
66'
↕ B. Bronico / D. Diani
66'
↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin
75'
↕ N. Byrne / W. Cleary
75'
78'
F. Bank / M. Henry ↕
83'
J. Osorio
⚽P. Biel (pen.)
84'
↕ P. Biel / L. de la Torre
87'
A. Westwood
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
46.45%
Charlotte ←
26.55%
X
27.0%
Toronto
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 46.45% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlotte
1.49
2.12
+0.63
Toronto
1.08
0.88
-0.2
Charlotte dominated by xG (2.12 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.90
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg 1 ⚽ D 7.20
4 A. Privett A. Privett D 7.30
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 7.90
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne 75' D 6.60
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood M 7.60
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 66' M 6.60
10 W. Zaha W. Zaha 1 ⚽ M 8.20
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.90
18 K. A. Calderon Vargas K. A. Calderon Vargas 2 👟 66' M 7.30
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 75' F 6.60
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 15' F 6.90
48 Aron John Aron John M
28 D. Diani D. Diani 24' M 6.60
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D
11 L. Abada L. Abada F
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 8' M 6.60
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 24' F 6.90
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary 15' D 6.60
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 6.60
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards 58' D 6.20
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D 6.20
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman D 6.90
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin D 6.30
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 1 👟 M 6.20
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello M 7.30
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 1 ⚽ M 7.00
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói M 6.20
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry 78' M 5.90
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 6.30
Bench
77 Adisa De Rosario Adisa De Rosario G
91 Dekwon Barrow Dekwon Barrow F
79 Fletcher Bank Fletcher Bank 12' F 6.50
74 Luca Costabile Luca Costabile D
15 N. Gomis N. Gomis 32' D 6.70
98 Stefan Kapor Stefan Kapor D
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G
Best on the pitch
W. Zaha
W. Zaha
M · Charlotte
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots · 63 pass
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.90
1 shots · 56 pass
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.60
· 47 pass
A. Privett
A. Privett
D · Charlotte
7.30
· 50 pass
K. A. Calderon Vargas
K. A. Calderon Vargas
M · Charlotte
7.30
2 👟
3 shots · 17 pass
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 90 6.90 — — — 22 20% — — —
D. Schnegg D 90 7.20 1 — 2 47 35% 1 — —
A. Privett D 90 7.30 — — — 50 50% — — —
M. Agyemang D 90 7.90 — — 1 56 51% 3 — —
N. Byrne D 75 6.60 — — — 14 11% 4 — —
A. Westwood M 90 7.60 — — — 47 44% 1 1 —
B. Bronico M 66 6.60 — — — 22 21% 3 — —
W. Zaha M 90 8.20 1 — 6 63 56% 1 — —
Pep Biel M 87 7.90 1 — 1 40 34% — 1 —
K. A. Calderon Vargas M 66 7.30 — 2 3 17 14% 2 — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 75 6.60 — — — 7 4% — — —
A. Goodwin F 15 6.90 — — — 2 1% — — —
D. Diani M 24 6.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
L. de la Torre M 8 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Aloko F 24 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Will Cleary D 15 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.60 — — — 41 33% — — —
R. Edwards D 58 6.20 — — — 20 18% 2 — —
J. Gilman D 90 6.20 — — 1 63 54% 2 — —
W. Zimmerman D 90 6.90 — — 1 58 49% 4 — —
K. Franklin D 90 6.30 — — 1 52 49% 2 — —
J. Osorio M 90 6.20 — 1 — 63 59% — 1 —
Alonso Coello M 90 7.30 — — 1 81 73% 1 — —
D. Etienne M 90 7.00 1 — 1 26 21% 1 — —
D. Sallói M 90 6.20 — — — 23 18% — — —
Malik Henry M 78 5.90 — — 1 19 16% 1 1 —
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 90 6.30 — — 2 22 18% — — —
Fletcher Bank F 12 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. Gomis D 32 6.70 — — — 27 26% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
The final score was Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Charlotte win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Toronto FC win.