L. Dykes
(ast. C. Kelman)
30'
11'
(ast. M. Bird)
S. Twine
55'
N. Eile
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlton a 37% win probability (draw 37%, Bristol City 25%). The final result was Charlton 1–2 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, Charlton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bristol City.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
8
1.56
Actual xG
2.59
6
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
11'
ast. M. Bird ·
S. Twine⚽
30'
Scott Twine
⚽L. Dykes
· ast. C. Kelman
30'
46'
S. Morsy
/
R. McCrorie
55'
N. Eile⚽
Kayne Ramsay
60'
L. Chambers
/ T. Campbell
64'
C. Kelman
/ I. Fullah
65'
Harry Clarke
70'
H. Clarke
/ M. Godden
79'
C. Coventry
/ J. Rankin-Costello
79'
83'
G. Earthy
/
M. Bird
G. Docherty
/ J. Fevrier
86'
86'
S. Armstrong
/
E. Riis
90'+4
Mark Sykes
Pre-match prediction
37.21%
Charlton
37.03%
X
25.75%
Bristol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol City)
25.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.56
+0.68
0.67
2.59
+1.92
Bristol City dominated by xG (2.59 vs 1.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
17
A. Bell
D
A. Bell
D
5
L. Jones
D
2
Kayne Ramsay
D
19
L. Chambers
64'
M
10
G. Docherty
86'
M
6
Conor Coventry
79'
M
Conor Coventry
79'
M
14
S. Carey
M
44
Harry Clarke
79'
M
23
C. Kelman
1 👟
65'
F
99
Lyndon Dykes
1 ⚽
F
Lyndon Dykes
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
C. Coady
D
41
H. Knibbs
M
77
J. Fevrier
10'
F
26
J. Rankin-Costello
11'
M
3
M. Gillesphey
D
24
M. Godden
11'
F
7
T. Campbell
1
T. Kaminski
G
23
G
3
C. Pring
D
21
D
38
N. Eile
1 ⚽
D
2
R. McCrorie
45'
D
6
M. Bird
1 👟
83'
M
4
M
12
M
10
S. Twine
1 ⚽
M
S. Twine
1 ⚽
M
17
Mark Sykes
M
18
E. Riis
86'
F
E. Riis
86'
F
Bench
11
D. Burgzorg
F
20
S. Bell
F
40
S. Morsy
45'
M
14
T. Horvat
M
T. Horvat
M
Best on the pitch
S. Twine
M · Bristol
8.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 26 pass
G · Charlton
7.30
· 27 pass
L. Jones
D · Charlton
7.30
· 48 pass
N. Eile
D · Bristol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
M. Bird
M · Bristol
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
D · Bristol
7.20
1 shots
· 53 pass
Charlton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bell | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Kayne Ramsay | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Chambers | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Docherty | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Conor Coventry | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Carey | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Harry Clarke | M | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Kelman | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lyndon Dykes | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fevrier | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godden | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pring | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 2 | — | — | |
| N. Eile | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Bird | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| S. Twine | M | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 26 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Riis | F | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Morsy | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Bristol City?
The final score was Charlton 1–2 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Charlton win, 37% to a draw, and 25% to an Bristol City win.