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Championship · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 13:30 The Valley, London
Charlton
#19 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Bristol City
#14 · 15 pts
Karlan Grant (ast. Tyreece Campbell) 8'
(pen.) 27' Scott Twine
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 37% win probability (draw 33%, Charlton 29%). The final result was Charlton 1–1 Bristol City. In 2 previous meetings, Charlton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
1.55
2
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
5
10
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Karlan Grant · ast. Tyreece Campbell
8'
27'
(pen.) Scott Twine⚽
↕ Micah Mbick / Kayne Ramsay
53'
↕ Josh Edwards / Ivan Mesik
53'
65'
Cameron Pring / Yu Hirakawa ↕
65'
Sam Greenwood / Brian de Keersmaecker ↕
Billy Koumetio
69'
↕ Miles Leaburn / Charlie Kelman
77'
↕ Karlan Grant / Harvey Knibbs
77'
78'
Gibson Osahumen Yah / Adam Randell ↕
78'
Elijah Adebayo / Scott Twine ↕
↕ Tyreece Campbell / Millenic Alli
89'
Ivan Mesik
90'+2
90'+2
Elijah Adebayo
90'+3
Sam Bellis / Dominic Ballard ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.02%
Charlton
33.42%
X ←
37.56%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 33.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlton
0.75
1.99
+1.24
Bristol
1.15
1.55
+0.4
Charlton dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Charlton Charlton 4-2-3-1
13 A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo G 6.14
3 J. Edwards J. Edwards 53' D 5.92
12 Billy Dawson Koumetio Billy Dawson Koumetio D 6.16
5 L. Jones L. Jones D 6.37
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara D 6.26
34 O. Skipp O. Skipp M 6.79
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry M 6.20
7 T. Campbell T. Campbell 1 👟 89' M 6.66
33 Micah Mbick Micah Mbick 53' M 6.59
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.18
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 77' F 6.68
Bench
17 A. Bell A. Bell D 0.00
23 C. Kelman C. Kelman 13' F 6.55
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs 13' M 6.32
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík 37' D 6.02
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello M 0.00
2 K. Ramsay K. Ramsay 37' D 6.08
19 M. Alli M. Alli 1' F 6.46
14 S. Carey S. Carey M 0.00
25 W. Mannion W. Mannion G 0.00
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 5.97
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines D 6.32
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 6.71
15 L. McNally L. McNally D 6.50
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 6.22
6 B. De Keersmaecker B. De Keersmaecker 65' M 6.80
4 A. Randell A. Randell 78' M 6.86
10 S. Twine S. Twine 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.14
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.28
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 65' M 6.09
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 89' F 6.36
Bench
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 0.00
3 C. Pring C. Pring 25' D 5.87
45 E. Adebayo E. Adebayo 12' F 6.20
27 G. Yah G. Yah 12' M 6.00
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace M 0.00
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat D 0.00
11 S. Bell S. Bell 1' F 6.49
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 25' M 6.63
14 T. Horvat T. Horvat M 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Ahearne-Grant
K. Ahearne-Grant
M · Charlton
7.18
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
S. Twine
S. Twine
M · Bristol
7.14
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
A. Randell
A. Randell
M · Bristol
6.86
1 shots · 29 pass
B. De Keersmaecker
B. De Keersmaecker
M · Bristol
6.80
2 shots · 28 pass
O. Skipp
O. Skipp
M · Charlton
6.79
· 47 pass
R. Atkinson
R. Atkinson
D · Bristol
6.71
· 40 pass
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Okonkwo G 90 6.14 — — 0 32 16% 0 — —
J. Edwards D 53 5.92 — — 0 12 7% 0 — —
Billy Dawson Koumetio D 90 6.16 — — 0 51 38% 0 1 —
L. Jones D 90 6.37 — — 0 51 36% 0 — —
D. McNamara D 90 6.26 — — 0 29 20% 2 — —
O. Skipp M 90 6.79 — — 0 47 41% 3 — —
C. Coventry M 90 6.20 — — 1 63 50% 3 — —
T. Campbell M 89 6.66 — 1 3 17 15% 1 — —
Micah Mbick M 53 6.59 — — 3 6 1% 0 — —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 77 7.18 1 — 2 25 16% 1 — —
M. Leaburn F 77 6.68 — — 0 15 5% 0 — —
C. Kelman F 13 6.55 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
H. Knibbs M 13 6.32 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
I. Mesík D 37 6.02 — — 1 13 6% 0 1 —
K. Ramsay D 37 6.08 — — 0 23 16% 0 — —
M. Alli F 1 6.46 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 90 5.97 — — 0 28 5% 0 — —
Rio Cardines D 90 6.32 — — 1 28 19% 0 — —
R. Atkinson D 90 6.71 — — 0 40 25% 4 — —
L. McNally D 90 6.50 — — 0 35 27% 1 — —
G. Tanner D 90 6.22 — — 1 32 20% 2 — —
B. De Keersmaecker M 65 6.80 — — 2 28 24% 2 — —
A. Randell M 78 6.86 — — 1 29 21% 3 — —
S. Twine M 78 7.14 1 — 3 19 12% 5 — —
J. Knight M 90 6.28 — — 1 36 28% 0 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 65 6.09 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
D. Ballard F 89 6.36 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
C. Pring D 25 5.87 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
E. Adebayo F 12 6.20 — — 0 4 4% 0 1 —
G. Yah M 12 6.00 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
S. Bell F 1 6.49 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
S. Greenwood M 25 6.63 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Bristol City?
The final score was Charlton 1–1 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Charlton win, 33% to a draw, and 37% to an Bristol City win.