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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00 The Valley, London
Charlton
#19 · 14 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Derby
#23 · 7 pts
L. Jones (ast. K. Grant) 61'
T. Campbell 80'
23' (ast. C. Morris) S. Szmodics
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlton a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Derby 33%). The final result was Charlton 2–1 Derby. In 2 previous meetings, Charlton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derby.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.07
Actual xG
1.01
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
ast. C. Morris · S. Szmodics⚽
54'
A. Mowatt / S. Szmodics ↕
↕ S. Carey / M. Alli
59'
↕ M. Godden / M. Leaburn
59'
60'
S. Langas
⚽L. Jones · ast. K. Grant
61'
↕ K. Grant / J. Rankin-Costello
73'
⚽T. Campbell
80'
83'
C. Blackett-Taylor / O. Fraulo ↕
83'
R. Brewster / C. Forsyth ↕
84'
M. Johnston / J. Ward ↕
84'
L. Salvesen / L. Travis ↕
↕ N. Chalobah / C. Sichenje
85'
↕ D. McNamara / I. Mesik
85'
90'+8
R. Brewster
90'
A. Mowatt
Pre-match prediction
33.48%
Charlton ←
33.04%
X
33.48%
Derby
we assigned to the actual result (Charlton) 33.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlton
1.47
1.07
-0.4
Derby
1.58
1.01
-0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.07 – 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Charlton Charlton 4-2-3-1
25 W. Mannion W. Mannion G 6.30
17 A. Bell A. Bell D 6.70
12 Billy Dawson Koumetio Billy Dawson Koumetio D 6.70
5 L. Jones L. Jones 1 ⚽ D 7.90
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara 85' D 7.00
15 N. Chalobah N. Chalobah 85' M 7.30
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry M 7.20
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 1 👟 73' M 7.30
14 S. Carey S. Carey 59' M 6.90
7 Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 7.70
24 Matt Godden Matt Godden 59' F 6.00
Bench
32 A. Mwamba A. Mwamba D
28 Collins Sichenje Collins Sichenje 13' D 6.30
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs M
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík 13' D 6.60
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello 25' M 6.50
19 M. Alli M. Alli 39' F 6.20
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 39' F 6.60
30 R. Apter R. Apter M
21 T. Brooks T. Brooks G
Derby Derby 5-3-2
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G 6.30
18 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.30
3 C. Forsyth C. Forsyth 83' D 6.90
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson D 6.70
6 S. Langås S. Langås D 6.30
23 J. Ward J. Ward 84' D 6.30
8 B. Clark B. Clark M 6.30
27 L. Travis L. Travis 84' M 7.30
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo 83' M 6.30
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics 1 ⚽ 54' F 7.60
9 C. Morris C. Morris 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt 44' M 7.20
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor 15' F 6.90
13 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija M
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen 14' F 6.20
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston 14' D 6.70
37 Owen Eames Owen Eames M
10 R. Brewster R. Brewster 15' F 6.50
24 R. Nyambe R. Nyambe D
Best on the pitch
L. Jones
L. Jones
D · Charlton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
M · Charlton
7.70
2 shots · 22 pass
S. Szmodics
S. Szmodics
F · Derby
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
N. Chalobah
N. Chalobah
M · Charlton
7.30
1 shots · 29 pass
K. Ahearne-Grant
K. Ahearne-Grant
M · Charlton
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
L. Travis
L. Travis
M · Derby
7.30
· 50 pass
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Mannion G 98 6.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
A. Bell D 98 6.70 — — — 36 26% 1 — —
Billy Dawson Koumetio D 98 6.70 — — 2 41 31% — — —
L. Jones D 98 7.90 1 — 1 31 26% 1 — —
D. McNamara D 85 7.00 — — — 27 19% 2 — —
N. Chalobah M 85 7.30 — — 1 29 25% 3 — —
C. Coventry M 98 7.20 — — — 56 52% 2 — —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 73 7.30 — 1 1 27 23% — — —
S. Carey M 59 6.90 — — — 35 33% — — —
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 98 7.70 — — 2 22 17% — — —
Matt Godden F 59 6.00 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Collins Sichenje D 13 6.30 — — — — — — — —
I. Mesík D 13 6.60 — — — 2 — 1 — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 25 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Alli F 39 6.20 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
M. Leaburn F 39 6.60 — — — 8 4% — — —
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Widell Zetterström G 98 6.30 — — 1 38 19% — — —
C. Taylor D 98 6.30 — — — 40 33% 1 — —
C. Forsyth D 83 6.90 — — — 45 32% 1 — —
D. Sanderson D 98 6.70 — — 1 54 43% — — —
S. Langås D 98 6.30 — — — 51 42% 2 1 —
J. Ward D 84 6.30 — — — 37 28% 1 — —
B. Clark M 98 6.30 — — 2 25 20% — — —
L. Travis M 84 7.30 — — — 50 44% 4 — —
O. Fraulo M 83 6.30 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
S. Szmodics F 54 7.60 1 — 3 17 16% — — —
C. Morris F 98 6.30 — 1 1 33 17% 1 — —
A. Mowatt M 44 7.20 — — — 37 32% 2 1 —
C. Blackett-Taylor F 15 6.90 — — — 4 4% — — —
L. Salvesen F 14 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
M. Johnston D 14 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Brewster F 15 6.50 — — — 4 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Derby?
The final score was Charlton 2–1 Derby.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Derby?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Charlton win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Derby win.