Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00 The Valley, London
Charlton
#5 · 11 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Derby
#22 · 4 pts
L. Jones (ast. K. Grant) 61'
T. Campbell 80'
23' (ast. C. Morris) S. Szmodics
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlton a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Derby 33%). The final result was Charlton 2–1 Derby. In 2 previous meetings, Charlton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derby.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.07
Actual xG
1.01
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
ast. C. Morris · S. Szmodics⚽
54'
A. Mowatt / S. Szmodics ↕
↕ S. Carey / M. Alli
59'
↕ M. Godden / M. Leaburn
59'
60'
S. Langas
⚽L. Jones · ast. K. Grant
61'
↕ K. Grant / J. Rankin-Costello
73'
⚽T. Campbell
80'
83'
C. Blackett-Taylor / O. Fraulo ↕
83'
R. Brewster / C. Forsyth ↕
84'
M. Johnston / J. Ward ↕
84'
L. Salvesen / L. Travis ↕
↕ N. Chalobah / C. Sichenje
85'
↕ D. McNamara / I. Mesik
85'
90'+8
R. Brewster
90'
A. Mowatt
Pre-match prediction
33.48%
Charlton ←
33.04%
X
33.48%
Derby
we assigned to the actual result (Charlton) 33.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlton
1.47
1.07
-0.4
Derby
1.58
1.01
-0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.07 – 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Charlton Charlton 4-2-3-1
25 William Mannion William Mannion G 6.30
17 A. Bell A. Bell D 6.70
12 Billy Koumetio Billy Koumetio D 6.70
5 L. Jones L. Jones 1 ⚽ D 7.90
20 D. McNamara D. McNamara 85' D 7.00
15 N. Chalobah N. Chalobah 85' M 7.30
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry M 7.20
9 K. Ahearne-Grant K. Ahearne-Grant 1 👟 73' M 7.30
14 S. Carey S. Carey 59' M 6.90
7 Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 7.70
24 Matt Godden Matt Godden 59' F 6.00
Bench
32 A. Mwamba A. Mwamba D
28 Collins Sichenje Collins Sichenje 13' D 6.30
8 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs M
18 I. Mesík I. Mesík 13' D 6.60
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello 25' M 6.50
19 M. Alli M. Alli 39' F 6.20
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 39' F 6.60
30 R. Apter R. Apter M
21 T. Brooks T. Brooks G
Derby Derby 5-3-2
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G 6.30
18 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.30
3 C. Forsyth C. Forsyth 83' D 6.90
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson D 6.70
6 S. Langås S. Langås D 6.30
23 J. Ward J. Ward 84' D 6.30
8 B. Clark B. Clark M 6.30
27 L. Travis L. Travis 84' M 7.30
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo 83' M 6.30
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics 1 ⚽ 54' F 7.60
9 C. Morris C. Morris 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt 44' M 7.20
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor 15' F 6.90
13 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija M
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen 14' F 6.20
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston 14' D 6.70
37 Owen Eames Owen Eames M
10 R. Brewster R. Brewster 15' F 6.50
24 R. Nyambe R. Nyambe D
Best on the pitch
L. Jones
L. Jones
D · Charlton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell
M · Charlton
7.70
2 shots · 22 pass
S. Szmodics
S. Szmodics
F · Derby
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
N. Chalobah
N. Chalobah
M · Charlton
7.30
1 shots · 29 pass
K. Ahearne-Grant
K. Ahearne-Grant
M · Charlton
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
L. Travis
L. Travis
M · Derby
7.30
· 50 pass
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
William Mannion G 98 6.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
A. Bell D 98 6.70 — — — 36 26% 1 — —
Billy Koumetio D 98 6.70 — — 2 41 31% — — —
L. Jones D 98 7.90 1 — 1 31 26% 1 — —
D. McNamara D 85 7.00 — — — 27 19% 2 — —
N. Chalobah M 85 7.30 — — 1 29 25% 3 — —
C. Coventry M 98 7.20 — — — 56 52% 2 — —
K. Ahearne-Grant M 73 7.30 — 1 1 27 23% — — —
S. Carey M 59 6.90 — — — 35 33% — — —
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell M 98 7.70 — — 2 22 17% — — —
Matt Godden F 59 6.00 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Collins Sichenje D 13 6.30 — — — — — — — —
I. Mesík D 13 6.60 — — — 2 — 1 — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 25 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Alli F 39 6.20 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
M. Leaburn F 39 6.60 — — — 8 4% — — —
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Widell Zetterström G 98 6.30 — — 1 38 19% — — —
C. Taylor D 98 6.30 — — — 40 33% 1 — —
C. Forsyth D 83 6.90 — — — 45 32% 1 — —
D. Sanderson D 98 6.70 — — 1 54 43% — — —
S. Langås D 98 6.30 — — — 51 42% 2 1 —
J. Ward D 84 6.30 — — — 37 28% 1 — —
B. Clark M 98 6.30 — — 2 25 20% — — —
L. Travis M 84 7.30 — — — 50 44% 4 — —
O. Fraulo M 83 6.30 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
S. Szmodics F 54 7.60 1 — 3 17 16% — — —
C. Morris F 98 6.30 — 1 1 33 17% 1 — —
A. Mowatt M 44 7.20 — — — 37 32% 2 1 —
C. Blackett-Taylor F 15 6.90 — — — 4 4% — — —
L. Salvesen F 14 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
M. Johnston D 14 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Brewster F 15 6.50 — — — 4 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Derby?
The final score was Charlton 2–1 Derby.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Derby?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Charlton win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Derby win.