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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 22, 2026 20:45 The Valley, London
Charlton
#5 · 11 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Ipswich
G. Docherty 1'
36' (ast. A. Matusiwa) D. Furlong
(pen.) 58' J. Philogene
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Charlton 27%). The final result was Charlton 1–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Charlton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
0.33
Actual xG
1.87
3
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Docherty
1'
↕ A. Bell / L. Chambers
18'
36'
ast. A. Matusiwa · D. Furlong⚽
M. Gillesphey
37'
↕ T. Campbell / L. Dykes
46'
58'
(pen.) J. Philogene⚽
↕ C. Kelman / S. Carey
59'
L. Dykes
61'
65'
J. Taylor
70'
J. Clarke / J. Philogene ↕
70'
D. Neil / J. Taylor ↕
77'
M. Nunez / A. Mehmeti ↕
78'
G. Hirst / I. Azon ↕
↕ L. Chambers / M. Godden
78'
↕ J. Rankin-Costello / H. Knibbs
78'
86'
C. Kipre / K. McAteer ↕
90'+8
J. Clarke
Pre-match prediction
27.18%
Charlton
27.62%
X
45.2%
Ipswich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich) 45.2% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlton
1.06
0.33
-0.72
Ipswich
1.43
1.87
+0.44
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Charlton Charlton 3-5-2
1
Thomas Kaminski G 6.90
3 M. Gillesphey M. Gillesphey D 6.30
5 L. Jones L. Jones D 6.90
28 Collins Sichenje Collins Sichenje D 6.00
17 A. Bell A. Bell 18' M 6.90
10 Greg Docherty Greg Docherty 1 ⚽ M 7.00
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry M 6.50
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello 78' M 6.30
77 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier M 6.30
7 Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell 45' F 6.30
23 C. Kelman C. Kelman 59' F 6.50
Bench
15
C. Coady D
41 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs 12' M 6.30
19 L. Chambers L. Chambers 60' D 6.20
99 L. Dykes L. Dykes 45' F 6.00
24 Matt Godden Matt Godden 12' F 6.30
32
R. Burke D
14 S. Carey S. Carey 31' M 6.70
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.20
18 B. Johnson B. Johnson D 6.00
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves D 7.60
26
D 8.20
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong 1 ⚽ D 8.50
14
J. Taylor 70' M 6.50
5
A. Matusiwa 1 👟 M 7.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.20
33 Anis Mehmeti Anis Mehmeti 77' M 6.60
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 86' M 7.00
31 Iván Azón Iván Azón 78' F 6.20
Bench
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré 13' D 6.60
6 D. Neil D. Neil 20' M 6.60
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 12' F 6.20
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 20' F 6.90
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 13' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
D. Furlong
D. Furlong
D · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 69 pass
D · Ipswich
8.20
2 shots · 78 pass
J. Greaves
J. Greaves
D · Ipswich
7.60
· 69 pass
A. Matusiwa
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
· 62 pass
J. Philogene
J. Philogene
M · Ipswich
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
Greg Docherty
Greg Docherty
M · Charlton
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomas Kaminski G 90 6.90 — — — 29 9% — — —
M. Gillesphey D 90 6.30 — — — 45 31% 1 1 —
L. Jones D 90 6.90 — — — 26 17% 2 — —
Collins Sichenje D 90 6.00 — — — 29 19% 2 — —
A. Bell M 18 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Greg Docherty M 90 7.00 1 — 1 30 21% 2 — —
C. Coventry M 90 6.50 — — — 48 36% 1 — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 78 6.30 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
J. Fevrier M 90 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 2 — —
Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell F 45 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
C. Kelman F 59 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 1 — —
H. Knibbs M 12 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Chambers D 60 6.20 — — — 17 13% 2 — —
L. Dykes F 45 6.00 — — — 7 3% — 1 —
Matt Godden F 12 6.30 — — — — — — — —
S. Carey M 31 6.70 — — — 16 15% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 24 17% — — —
B. Johnson D 90 6.00 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
J. Greaves D 90 7.60 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
D 90 8.20 — — 2 78 72% 1 — —
D. Furlong D 90 8.50 1 — 1 69 55% — — —
J. Taylor M 70 6.50 — — — 41 38% 1 1 —
A. Matusiwa M 90 7.30 — 1 — 62 55% 2 — —
J. Philogene M 70 7.20 1 — 3 31 27% 2 — —
Anis Mehmeti M 77 6.60 — — — 35 31% — — —
K. McAteer M 86 7.00 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
Iván Azón F 78 6.20 — — 1 21 15% 1 — —
C. Kipré D 13 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
D. Neil M 20 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
G. Hirst F 12 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Clarke F 20 6.90 — — 1 11 10% 1 1 —
M. Núñez M 13 6.30 — — 1 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Charlton 1–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Charlton win, 27% to a draw, and 45% to an Ipswich win.