← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 22, 2026 20:45
Charlton
#19 · 53 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Ipswich
#2 · 84 pts
G. Docherty 1'
36' (ast. A. Matusiwa) D. Furlong
(pen.) 58' J. Philogene

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Charlton 27%). The final result was Charlton 1–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Charlton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
0.33
Actual xG
1.87
3
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
1
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Docherty
1'
↕ A. Bell / L. Chambers
18'
36'
ast. A. Matusiwa · D. Furlong⚽
M. Gillesphey
37'
↕ T. Campbell / L. Dykes
46'
58'
(pen.) J. Philogene⚽
↕ C. Kelman / S. Carey
59'
L. Dykes
61'
65'
J. Taylor
70'
J. Clarke / J. Philogene ↕
70'
D. Neil / J. Taylor ↕
77'
M. Nunez / A. Mehmeti ↕
78'
G. Hirst / I. Azon ↕
↕ L. Chambers / M. Godden
78'
↕ J. Rankin-Costello / H. Knibbs
78'
86'
C. Kipre / K. McAteer ↕
90'+8
J. Clarke
Pre-match prediction
27.18%
Charlton
27.62%
X
45.2%
Ipswich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich) 45.2% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charlton
1.06
0.33
-0.72
Ipswich
1.43
1.87
+0.44
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Charlton Charlton 3-5-2
1
T. Kaminski G 6.90
3
M. Gillesphey D 6.30
5
L. Jones D 6.90
28
C. Sichenje D 6.00
17 A. Bell A. Bell 18' M 6.90
10
G. Docherty 1 ⚽ M 7.00
6
C. Coventry M 6.50
26
J. Rankin-Costello 78' M 6.30
77
J. Fevrier M 6.30
7
Tyreece Campbell 45' F 6.30
23
C. Kelman 59' F 6.50
Bench
15
C. Coady D
41
H. Knibbs 12' M 6.30
19
L. Chambers 60' D 6.20
99
L. Dykes 45' F 6.00
24
M. Godden 12' F 6.30
32
R. Burke D
14
S. Carey 31' M 6.70
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.20
18
B. Johnson D 6.00
24
J. Greaves D 7.60
26
D 8.20
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong 1 ⚽ D 8.50
14
J. Taylor 70' M 6.50
5
A. Matusiwa 1 👟 M 7.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.20
33
A. Mehmeti 77' M 6.60
20
K. McAteer 86' M 7.00
31
I. Azon 78' F 6.20
Bench
4
C. Kipre 13' D 6.60
6
D. Neil 20' M 6.60
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 12' F 6.20
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 20' F 6.90
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 13' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
D. Furlong
D. Furlong
D · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 69 pass
D · Ipswich
8.20
2 shots · 78 pass
J. Greaves
D · Ipswich
7.60
· 69 pass
A. Matusiwa
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
· 62 pass
J. Philogene
J. Philogene
M · Ipswich
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
G. Docherty
M · Charlton
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Kaminski G 90 6.90 — — — 29 9% — — —
M. Gillesphey D 90 6.30 — — — 45 31% 1 1 —
L. Jones D 90 6.90 — — — 26 17% 2 — —
C. Sichenje D 90 6.00 — — — 29 19% 2 — —
A. Bell M 18 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
G. Docherty M 90 7.00 1 — 1 30 21% 2 — —
C. Coventry M 90 6.50 — — — 48 36% 1 — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 78 6.30 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
J. Fevrier M 90 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 2 — —
Tyreece Campbell F 45 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
C. Kelman F 59 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 1 — —
H. Knibbs M 12 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Chambers D 60 6.20 — — — 17 13% 2 — —
L. Dykes F 45 6.00 — — — 7 3% — 1 —
M. Godden F 12 6.30 — — — — — — — —
S. Carey M 31 6.70 — — — 16 15% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 24 17% — — —
B. Johnson D 90 6.00 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
J. Greaves D 90 7.60 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
D 90 8.20 — — 2 78 72% 1 — —
D. Furlong D 90 8.50 1 — 1 69 55% — — —
J. Taylor M 70 6.50 — — — 41 38% 1 1 —
A. Matusiwa M 90 7.30 — 1 — 62 55% 2 — —
J. Philogene M 70 7.20 1 — 3 31 27% 2 — —
A. Mehmeti M 77 6.60 — — — 35 31% — — —
K. McAteer M 86 7.00 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
I. Azon F 78 6.20 — — 1 21 15% 1 — —
C. Kipre D 13 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
D. Neil M 20 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
G. Hirst F 12 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Clarke F 20 6.90 — — 1 11 10% 1 1 —
M. Núñez M 13 6.30 — — 1 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Charlton 1–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Charlton win, 27% to a draw, and 45% to an Ipswich win.