Charlie Kelman
(ast. Joe Rankin-Costello)
10'
35'
(ast. Mathias Kvistgaarden)
Paris Maghoma
50'
(ast. Ruairi McConville)
Mathias Kvistgaarden
(og)
76'
Ivan Mesik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Charlton 30%). The final result was Charlton 1–3 Norwich. In 2 previous meetings, Charlton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Norwich.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
16
3
Shots on target
5
0.87
Actual xG
1.75
2
Saves
2
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
7
18
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Charlie Kelman
· ast. Joe Rankin-Costello
10'
Karlan Grant
27'
29'
Mathias Kvistgaarden
Josh Edwards
32'
35'
ast. Mathias Kvistgaarden ·
Paris Maghoma⚽
45'
Kenny McLean
/
Pelle Mattsson
50'
ast. Ruairi McConville ·
Mathias Kvistgaarden⚽
Karlan Grant
/ Miles Leaburn
55'
sonny carey
/ Harvey Knibbs
55'
Josh Edwards
/ Ivan Mesik
55'
65'
Samuel Field
/
Paris Maghoma
Harvey Knibbs
69'
75'
Anthony Musaba
/
Andre Brooks
Conor Coventry
/ Alan Mwamba
75'
75'
J. Makama
/
Mathias Kvistgaarden
76'
(og)
Ivan Mesik⚽
78'
Ante Crnac
Joe Rankin-Costello
/ Micah Mbick
83'
88'
Darlin Yongwa
/
Oscar Schwartau
Alan Mwamba
88'
Pre-match prediction
30.59%
Charlton
28.78%
X
40.63%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich)
40.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
0.87
-0.18
1.38
1.75
+0.37
Norwich dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
A. Okonkwo
G
A. Okonkwo
G
3
J. Edwards
55'
D
J. Edwards
55'
D
12
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D
5
L. Jones
D
L. Jones
D
2
K. Ramsay
D
K. Ramsay
D
26
J. Rankin-Costello
1 👟
83'
M
J. Rankin-Costello
1 👟
83'
M
6
C. Coventry
75'
M
C. Coventry
75'
M
9
K. Ahearne-Grant
55'
M
K. Ahearne-Grant
55'
M
14
S. Carey
55'
M
S. Carey
55'
M
7
T. Campbell
M
T. Campbell
M
23
C. Kelman
1 ⚽
F
C. Kelman
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Bell
D
A. Bell
D
32
A. Mwamba
15'
D
A. Mwamba
15'
D
8
H. Knibbs
35'
M
H. Knibbs
35'
M
18
I. Mesík
1 ⚽
35'
D
I. Mesík
1 ⚽
35'
D
19
M. Alli
F
M. Alli
F
33
Micah Mbick
7'
F
Micah Mbick
7'
F
11
M. Leaburn
35'
F
M. Leaburn
35'
F
44
Tyler Bindon
D
Tyler Bindon
D
25
W. Mannion
G
W. Mannion
G
32
D. Grimshaw
G
D. Grimshaw
G
14
B. Chrisene
D
B. Chrisene
D
6
H. Darling
D
H. Darling
D
15
Ruairi McConville
1 👟
D
Ruairi McConville
1 👟
D
3
J. Stacey
D
J. Stacey
D
7
P. Mattsson
45'
M
P. Mattsson
45'
M
16
Jacob Wright
M
Jacob Wright
M
29
O. Schwartau
88'
M
O. Schwartau
88'
M
25
P. Maghoma
1 ⚽
65'
M
P. Maghoma
1 ⚽
65'
M
11
A. Brooks
75'
M
A. Brooks
75'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
M. Kvistgaarden
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
17
A. Crnac
F
A. Crnac
F
49
A. Musaba
15'
F
A. Musaba
15'
F
13
D. Yongwa
2'
D
D. Yongwa
2'
D
33
J. Córdoba
D
J. Córdoba
D
24
J. Makama
15'
F
J. Makama
15'
F
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
23
K. McLean
45'
M
K. McLean
45'
M
26
S. Field
25'
M
S. Field
25'
M
1
V. Kovačević
G
V. Kovačević
G
Best on the pitch
M. Kvistgaarden
F · Norwich
8.25
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 6 pass
P. Maghoma
M · Norwich
7.99
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
C. Kelman
F · Charlton
7.56
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Ruairi McConville
D · Norwich
7.25
1 👟
· 64 pass
P. Mattsson
M · Norwich
6.89
1 shots
· 37 pass
D. Yongwa
D · Norwich
6.88
· 6 pass
Charlton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 55 | 5.74 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 4% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Billy Dawson Koumetio | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ramsay | D | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 83 | 6.45 | — | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Coventry | M | 75 | 5.27 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | M | 55 | 5.57 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Carey | M | 55 | 5.91 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Campbell | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Kelman | F | 90 | 7.56 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Mwamba | D | 15 | 5.20 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 35 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Mesík | D | 35 | 5.51 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Micah Mbick | F | 7 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Leaburn | F | 35 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Grimshaw | G | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Chrisene | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Ruairi McConville | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | 1 | 0 | 64 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stacey | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Mattsson | M | 45 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | M | 88 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 65 | 7.99 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Brooks | M | 75 | 6.32 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 75 | 8.25 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Musaba | F | 15 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yongwa | D | 2 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Makama | F | 15 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 45 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Field | M | 25 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlton vs Norwich?
The final score was Charlton 1–3 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Charlton vs Norwich?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Charlton win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an Norwich win.