Taça de Portugal
· Round of 64
October 16, 2026 21:00
Roberto
14'
(pen.)
G. Garcia
70'
53'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Os Marialvas a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Chaves 33%). The final result was Chaves 2–1 Os Marialvas.
Match statistics
Match Events
8'
12'
⚽Roberto
(pen.)
14'
25'
25'
51'
53'
⚽
⚽G. Garcia
70'
77'
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
33.17%
Chaves ←
30.81%
X
36.02%
Os
we assigned to the actual result (Chaves)
33.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
—
—
1.43
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chaves vs Os Marialvas?
The final score was Chaves 2–1 Os Marialvas.
What did the model predict before Chaves vs Os Marialvas?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Chaves win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Os Marialvas win.