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Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United

National League South August 17, 2026 20:45
Chelmsford City
#14 · 10 pts
vs
Ebbsfleet United
#22 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Chelmsford City
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Ebbsfleet United
1.85
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.85%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelmsford City a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Ebbsfleet United. Expected goals are 1.9 for Chelmsford City and 1.1 for Ebbsfleet United (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.85% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Chelmsford City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ebbsfleet United.

Season Stats

Chelmsford City
4W 7D 4L
Ebbsfleet United
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.9
1.4
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
40%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Chelmsford City
4W 4D 2L · at home
Ebbsfleet United
3W 3D 4L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.8
40%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chelmsford City Ebbsfleet United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.9% 10.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
D Horsham 0–0
D Hampton & Richmond 1–1
D Dorking Wanderers 3–3
D Salisbury 1–1
D Weston-super-Mare 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
W Tonbridge Angels 1–2
D Salisbury 1–1
D Hemel Hempstead Town 0–0
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
L Worthing 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
Attack
29
Defence
74
Form
47
Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chelmsford City
0
Draw
2
Ebbsfleet United
20 Dec 2025 National League South 0–1
19 Aug 2025 National League South 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 9 17
3 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 9 16
4 Salisbury Salisbury 9 15
5 Billericay Town Billericay Town 9 15
6 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 9 14
7 Truro City Truro City 8 14
8 Dover Dover 9 14
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 9 13
10 Torquay Torquay 9 13
11 Farnham Town Farnham Town 8 13
12 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 8 12
13 Chesham United Chesham United 9 10
14 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 8 10
15 Horsham Horsham 8 10
16 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 9 10
17 Maidenhead Maidenhead 9 10
18 Braintree Braintree 8 10
19 AFC Totton AFC Totton 8 10
20 Farnborough Farnborough 8 10
21 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 9 8
22 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3 5
23 Slough Town Slough Town 8 3
24 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 8 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model gives Chelmsford City a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Ebbsfleet United win.
How many goals are expected in Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Expected goals: Chelmsford City 1.9, Ebbsfleet United 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.85%.