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Chelmsford City - Farnham Town

National League South November 02, 2026 20:45
Chelmsford City
#13 · 18 pts
vs
Farnham Town
#6 · 23 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.15%
Win
Chelmsford City
24.23%
Draw
33.61%
Win
Farnham Town
2.17
Expected xG
1.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.23%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 24%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 58%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelmsford City a 42% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Farnham Town. Expected goals are 2.2 for Chelmsford City and 1.9 for Farnham Town (total 4.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.23% probability.

Season Stats

Chelmsford City
4W 10D 1L
Farnham Town
7W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.1
1.1
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
85%
33%
O 2.5
69%
60%
BTTS
69%
40%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
19%
O 3.5
72%
BTTS
Chelmsford City
2W 6D 2L · at home
Farnham Town
4W 1D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.8
1.1
Conceded
1.2
20%
Win %
67%
80%
Win or Draw
83%
70%
O 1.5
83%
40%
O 2.5
67%
20%
O 3.5
17%
60%
BTTS
83%
40%
Clean Sht
17%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chelmsford City Farnham Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
W Dover 0–1
D Tonbridge Angels 3–3
W Chesham United 0–5
D Horsham 0–0
D Hampton & Richmond 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Farnham Town Farnham Town
W Chesham United 2–4
W Braintree 6–0
L Salisbury 1–2
D Truro City 2–2
W Weston-super-Mare 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
Attack
46
Defence
71
Form
51
Farnham Town Farnham Town
Attack
55
Defence
71
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 12 28
2 Truro City Truro City 13 27
3 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 14 26
4 Salisbury Salisbury 13 25
5 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 14 24
6 Farnham Town Farnham Town 13 23
7 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 14 23
8 Billericay Town Billericay Town 12 22
9 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 13 21
10 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 14 19
11 Dover Dover 13 19
12 Horsham Horsham 14 19
13 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 12 18
14 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 12 18
15 Torquay Torquay 13 17
16 AFC Totton AFC Totton 14 16
17 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 14 15
18 Maidenhead Maidenhead 14 14
19 Farnborough Farnborough 12 14
20 Braintree Braintree 13 13
21 Chesham United Chesham United 13 10
22 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 13 9
23 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 13 8
24 Slough Town Slough Town 14 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town?
The model gives Chelmsford City a 42% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 33% for an Farnham Town win.
How many goals are expected in Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town?
Expected goals: Chelmsford City 2.2, Farnham Town 1.9 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.23%.