Chelsea - AC Milan
Friendlies Clubs
August 08, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.02%
Win
Chelsea
31.84%
Draw
32.14%
Win
AC Milan
3.88
1.51
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.85%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelsea a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 3.9 for Chelsea and 1.5 for AC Milan (total 5.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.85% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
6.0
Goals
2.0
4.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Chelsea
AC Milan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chelsea
Attack
100
Defence
0
Form
68
AC Milan
Attack
50
Defence
50
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelsea vs AC Milan?
The model gives Chelsea a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an AC Milan win.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs AC Milan?
Expected goals: Chelsea 3.9, AC Milan 1.5 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Chelsea vs AC Milan?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.85%.