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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 16:00 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
#5 · 13 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Bournemouth
#13 · 9 pts
Jordan Henderson (ast. Cole Palmer) 2'
Morgan Rogers (ast. Jordan Henderson) 3'
João Pedro (ast. Pedro Neto) 46'
João Pedro (ast. Pep Chavarria) 67'
Jordan Henderson 70'
51' Francisco Evanilson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Bournemouth 32%). The final result was Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.16
Actual xG
1.52
3
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
7
18
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Jordan Henderson · ast. Cole Palmer
2'
⚽Morgan Rogers · ast. Jordan Henderson
3'
10'
Marcus Tavernier
42'
Adrien Truffert
45'
Ben Gannon-Doak / David Brooks ↕
⚽João Pedro · ast. Pedro Neto
46'
51'
Francisco Evanilson⚽
62'
Tyler Adams
⚽João Pedro · ast. Pep Chavarria
67'
69'
Ryan Christie
⚽Jordan Henderson
70'
↕ Moises Caicedo / Romeo Lavia
72'
↕ João Pedro / Marco Palestra
72'
72'
Juanlu Sánchez / Adam Smith ↕
72'
Álvaro Rodríguez / Marcus Tavernier ↕
73'
Lewis Cook / Ryan Christie ↕
↕ Pedro Neto / Danny Welbeck
83'
↕ Morgan Rogers / Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
84'
84'
Julio Soler / Adrien Truffert ↕
↕ Cole Palmer / Malo Gusto
88'
Pre-match prediction
38.91%
Chelsea ←
28.77%
X
32.32%
Bournemouth
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea) 38.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.42
1.16
-0.26
Bournemouth
1.52
1.52
+0.01
Bournemouth dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-3
1 E. Martínez E. Martínez G 6.85
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 6.93
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 6.71
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 6.25
29 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría 1 👟 M 7.59
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo 72' M 6.65
14 J. Henderson J. Henderson 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.56
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 1 👟 83' M 6.84
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.47
9 João Pedro João Pedro 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.83
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 1 👟 88' F 7.03
Bench
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 7' F 6.49
41 Estêvão Estêvão 6' F 6.38
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 0.00
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 0.00
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 2' D 6.32
2 M. Palestra M. Palestra 18' D 6.09
39 M. Penders M. Penders G 0.00
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia 18' M 6.47
3 W. Fofana W. Fofana D 0.00
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 5.81
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert 84' D 6.01
14 António Silva António Silva D 5.73
5 J. Hill J. Hill D 5.65
15 A. Smith A. Smith 72' D 5.35
10 R. Christie R. Christie 73' M 6.37
12 T. Adams T. Adams M 6.22
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier 72' M 5.57
37 Rayan Rayan M 5.87
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks 45' M 6.09
9 Evanilson Evanilson 1 ⚽ F 7.85
Bench
30 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez 18' F 6.30
27 A. Tóth A. Tóth M 0.00
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité D 0.00
11 B. Doak B. Doak 45' F 6.43
29 D. Jebbison D. Jebbison F 0.00
6 J. Soler J. Soler 6' D 5.53
24 Juanlu Sánchez Juanlu Sánchez 18' M 5.78
4 L. Cook L. Cook 17' M 5.87
20 M. Di Gregorio M. Di Gregorio G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Henderson
J. Henderson
M · Chelsea
9.56
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 61 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
8.83
2 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Evanilson
Evanilson
F · Bournemouth
7.85
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría
M · Chelsea
7.59
1 👟
· 40 pass
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
F · Chelsea
7.47
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
F · Chelsea
7.03
1 👟
· 29 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Martínez G 90 6.85 — — 0 40 25% 0 — —
L. Colwill D 90 6.93 — — 0 73 69% 1 — —
M. Lacroix D 90 6.71 — — 0 50 45% 1 — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 90 6.25 — — 0 49 40% 4 — —
Pep Chavarría M 90 7.59 — 1 0 40 36% 0 — —
M. Caicedo M 72 6.65 — — 1 53 51% 4 — —
J. Henderson M 90 9.56 2 1 3 61 52% 0 — —
Pedro Neto M 83 6.84 — 1 2 26 20% 2 — —
M. Rogers F 84 7.47 1 — 2 27 20% 3 — —
João Pedro F 72 8.83 2 — 2 16 12% 0 — —
C. Palmer F 88 7.03 — 1 0 29 23% 2 — —
D. Welbeck F 7 6.49 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Estêvão F 6 6.38 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Gusto D 2 6.32 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Palestra D 18 6.09 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
R. Lavia M 18 6.47 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 90 5.81 — — 0 25 19% 0 — —
A. Truffert D 84 6.01 — — 0 42 38% 4 1 —
António Silva D 90 5.73 — — 2 74 66% 2 — —
J. Hill D 90 5.65 — — 0 75 58% 4 — —
A. Smith D 72 5.35 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
R. Christie M 73 6.37 — — 1 34 28% 1 1 —
T. Adams M 90 6.22 — — 0 56 52% 0 1 —
M. Tavernier M 72 5.57 — — 0 22 19% 1 1 —
Rayan M 90 5.87 — — 2 18 15% 1 — —
D. Brooks M 45 6.09 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
Evanilson F 90 7.85 1 — 3 32 29% 1 — —
Á. Rodríguez F 18 6.30 — — 1 8 5% 0 — —
B. Doak F 45 6.43 — — 0 22 15% 1 — —
J. Soler D 6 5.53 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
Juanlu Sánchez M 18 5.78 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
L. Cook M 17 5.87 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
The final score was Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Chelsea win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Bournemouth win.