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6 – 3
Final score
Cole Palmer 53' (pen.)
Cole Palmer (ast. Morgan Rogers) 55'
Pedro Neto (ast. Morgan Rogers) 60'
Danny Welbeck (ast. Morgan Rogers) 65'
Valentin Barco 80'
Danny Welbeck (ast. Valentin Barco) 90'+4
23' (ast. Harry Wilson) Tarik Muharemovic
48' (ast. Lukas Nmecha) Brenden Aaronson
75' (ast. Noah Okafor) Dominic Calvert-Lewin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Leeds 30%). The final result was Chelsea 6–3 Leeds. In 3 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Leeds.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
18
8
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
5
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
23'
ast. Harry Wilson · Tarik Muharemovic
Reggie Watson
45'+1
Malo Gusto / Morgan Rogers
45'
Jamie Gittens / Cole Palmer
45'
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves / Pedro Neto
45'
Reggie Watson / Reece James
45'
48'
ast. Lukas Nmecha · Brenden Aaronson
Cole Palmer (pen.)
53'
Cole Palmer · ast. Morgan Rogers
55'
Pedro Neto · ast. Morgan Rogers
60'
Danny Welbeck · ast. Morgan Rogers
65'
66'
Anton Stach / Daniel James
66'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin / Lukas Nmecha
67'
Noah Okafor / Brenden Aaronson
67'
Ao Tanaka / Sean Longstaff
75'
ast. Noah Okafor · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Levi Colwill / Wesley Fofana
76'
78'
Gabriel Gudmundsson / Melvin Bard
Valentin Barco
80'
Xabier Alonso Olano
82'
Danny Welbeck · ast. Valentin Barco
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
44.35%
Chelsea ←
25.12%
X
30.53%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea) 44.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
3.38
Leeds
2.53
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-2-1
39 M. Penders M. Penders G 5.83
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill 76' D 6.27
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 6.21
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 6.56
29 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría D 6.04
4 V. Barco V. Barco 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.84
31 R. Watson R. Watson 45' M 6.22
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 45' D 5.36
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens J. Bynoe-Gittens 45' M 6.07
41 Estêvão Estêvão 45' M 5.93
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 2 ⚽ F 8.79
Bench
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 2 ⚽ 45' M 8.20
1 E. Martínez E. Martínez G 0.00
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 0.00
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 0.00
9 João Pedro João Pedro F 0.00
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 3 👟 45' M 8.10
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.76
24 R. James R. James 45' D 6.00
3 W. Fofana W. Fofana 14' D 5.94
Leeds Leeds 3-4-2-1
16 M. Zetterer M. Zetterer G 5.77
5 T. Muharemović T. Muharemović 1 ⚽ D 7.76
15 J. Bijol J. Bijol D 6.63
24 J. Justin J. Justin D 5.58
26 M. Bard M. Bard 78' M 6.37
8 S. Longstaff S. Longstaff 67' M 6.29
4 E. Ampadu E. Ampadu M 6.09
7 D. James D. James 66' M 5.96
11 B. Aaronson B. Aaronson 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.12
10 H. Wilson H. Wilson 1 👟 M 6.53
14 L. Nmecha L. Nmecha 1 👟 66' F 6.60
Bench
18 A. Stach A. Stach 24' M 6.23
22 A. Tanaka A. Tanaka 23' M 5.67
9 D. Calvert-Lewin D. Calvert-Lewin 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.62
3 G. Gudmundsson G. Gudmundsson 12' D 5.73
23 J. Bahoya J. Bahoya F 0.00
2 J. Bogle J. Bogle D 0.00
1 J. Trafford J. Trafford G 0.00
30 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 0.00
19 N. Okafor N. Okafor 1 👟 23' F 6.79
Best on the pitch
V. Barco
V. Barco
M · Chelsea
8.84
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 59 pass
D. Welbeck
D. Welbeck
F · Chelsea
8.79
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
M · Chelsea
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
M · Chelsea
8.10
3 👟
· 26 pass
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto
F · Chelsea
7.76
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
T. Muharemović
T. Muharemović
D · Leeds
7.76
1 ⚽
3 shots · 75 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Penders G 90 5.83 0 31 11% 0
L. Colwill D 76 6.27 0 52 48% 1
M. Lacroix D 90 6.21 0 48 44% 1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 90 6.56 0 50 46% 3
Pep Chavarría D 90 6.04 0 41 32% 3
V. Barco M 90 8.84 1 1 4 59 52% 7
R. Watson M 45 6.22 0 29 27% 2 1
M. Gusto D 45 5.36 0 29 20% 0
J. Bynoe-Gittens M 45 6.07 2 15 14% 0
Estêvão M 45 5.93 0 15 13% 1
D. Welbeck F 90 8.79 2 3 16 11% 0
C. Palmer M 45 8.20 2 5 20 17% 1
M. Rogers M 45 8.10 3 0 26 18% 1
Pedro Neto F 45 7.76 1 1 15 8% 1
R. James D 45 6.00 1 27 24% 1
W. Fofana D 14 5.94 0 7 4% 0
Leeds Leeds — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Zetterer G 90 5.77 0 45 33% 0
T. Muharemović D 90 7.76 1 3 75 68% 0
J. Bijol D 90 6.63 1 64 57% 1
J. Justin D 90 5.58 1 44 28% 7
M. Bard M 78 6.37 0 47 41% 3
S. Longstaff M 67 6.29 1 28 27% 3
E. Ampadu M 90 6.09 0 59 50% 3
D. James M 66 5.96 1 12 7% 1
B. Aaronson M 67 7.12 1 3 23 18% 0
H. Wilson M 90 6.53 1 0 32 27% 0
L. Nmecha F 66 6.60 1 0 11 5% 0
A. Stach M 24 6.23 2 17 13% 2
A. Tanaka M 23 5.67 4 8 5% 0
D. Calvert-Lewin F 24 7.62 1 1 9 8% 0
G. Gudmundsson D 12 5.73 1 6 4% 0
N. Okafor F 23 6.79 1 0 10 10% 0
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Leeds?
The final score was Chelsea 6–3 Leeds.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Leeds?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Chelsea win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an Leeds win.