D. Welbeck
(ast. M. Gusto)
50'
H. Odoffin
79'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Luton 30%). The final result was Chelsea 2–0 Luton.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
3
15
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
J. Richards
/
G. Kodua
⚽D. Welbeck
· ast. M. Gusto
50'
56'
J. Johnson
61'
H. Fox
/
E. Lawrence
61'
I. Jones
/
B. Benagr
R. James
/ P. Neto
67'
M. Gusto
/ J. Hato
67'
M. Rogers
/ R. Lavia
68'
D. Welbeck
/ Joao Pedro
73'
78'
N. Wells
/
C. Marshall
78'
D. Cole
/
K. Palmer
⚽H. Odoffin
(og)
79'
Estevao
/ J. Gittens
80'
Pre-match prediction
44.49%
Chelsea ←
24.75%
X
30.76%
Luton
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea)
44.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
—
—
1.73
—
—
Lineups
39
M. Penders
G
M. Penders
G
29
Pep Chavarría
D
Pep Chavarría
D
5
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
34
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
27
M. Gusto
1 👟
67'
D
M. Gusto
1 👟
67'
D
4
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
24
R. James
67'
M
R. James
67'
M
17
M. Rogers
68'
M
M. Rogers
68'
M
10
C. Palmer
M
C. Palmer
M
41
Estêvão
80'
M
Estêvão
80'
M
18
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
73'
F
D. Welbeck
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
30
Aarón Anselmino
D
Aarón Anselmino
D
22
Emmanuel Emegha
F
Emmanuel Emegha
F
11
J. Bynoe-Gittens
10'
F
J. Bynoe-Gittens
10'
F
21
J. Hato
23'
D
J. Hato
23'
D
9
João Pedro
17'
F
João Pedro
17'
F
7
Pedro Neto
23'
F
Pedro Neto
23'
F
45
R. Lavia
22'
M
R. Lavia
22'
M
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
31
R. Watson
M
R. Watson
M
24
Joshua Keeley
G
Joshua Keeley
G
31
B. Benagr
61'
D
B. Benagr
61'
D
12
J. Johnson
D
J. Johnson
D
6
G. Johnston
D
G. Johnston
D
2
H. Odoffin
1 ⚽
D
H. Odoffin
1 ⚽
D
33
H. Ashby
D
H. Ashby
D
11
Emilio Lawrence
61'
M
Emilio Lawrence
61'
M
45
K. Palmer
78'
M
K. Palmer
78'
M
8
L. Walsh
M
L. Walsh
M
30
G. Kodua
45'
M
G. Kodua
45'
M
9
C. Marshall
78'
F
C. Marshall
78'
F
Bench
42
Christian Chigozie
D
Christian Chigozie
D
44
D. Cole
12'
F
D. Cole
12'
F
22
H. Fox
29'
M
H. Fox
29'
M
25
I. Jones
29'
F
I. Jones
29'
F
7
J. Richards
45'
M
J. Richards
45'
M
1
J. Shea
G
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
D
K. Naismith
D
5
M. Andersen
D
M. Andersen
D
21
N. Wells
12'
F
N. Wells
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Joshua Keeley
G · Luton
8.20
· 39 pass
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D · Chelsea
7.90
· 71 pass
M. Gusto
D · Chelsea
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 59 pass
C. Palmer
M · Chelsea
7.60
6 shots
· 55 pass
M. Lacroix
D · Chelsea
7.50
1 shots
· 85 pass
V. Barco
M · Chelsea
7.50
1 shots
· 107 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Penders | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Pep Chavarría | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | — | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Joshua Kofi Acheampong | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gusto | D | 67 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 59 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Barco | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 107 | 99% | 2 | — | — |
| R. James | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Palmer | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 6 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Estêvão | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 73 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bynoe-Gittens | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | — | — | — |
| B. Benagr | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Johnson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| H. Ashby | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Emilio Lawrence | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Palmer | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Kodua | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Marshall | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cole | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Fox | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Jones | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Luton?
The final score was Chelsea 2–0 Luton.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Luton?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Chelsea win, 24% to a draw, and 30% to an Luton win.