Skip to main content
← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 32 April 12, 2026 17:30 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
#10 · 52 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Manchester City
#2 · 78 pts
51' (ast. Rayan Cherki) Nico O'Reilly
57' (ast. Rayan Cherki) Marc Guéhi
68' Jérémy Doku
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 45% win probability (draw 22%, Chelsea 32%). The final result was Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Manchester City.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
8
1.14
Actual xG
1.89
5
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
12
19
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Estêvão
12'
38'
Antoine Semenyo
51'
ast. Rayan Cherki · Nico O'Reilly⚽
Marc Cucurella
54'
57'
ast. Rayan Cherki · Marc Guéhi⚽
64'
Rayan Aït-Nouri / Nico O'Reilly ↕
↕ Andrey Santos / Roméo Lavia
67'
↕ Estêvão / Alejandro Garnacho
67'
68'
Jérémy Doku⚽
76'
Phil Foden / Rayan Cherki ↕
76'
Savinho / Jérémy Doku ↕
↕ João Pedro / Liam Delap
81'
81'
Mateo Kovačić / Bernardo Silva ↕
↕ Moisés Caicedo / Dário Essugo
82'
↕ Malo Gusto / Josh Acheampong
88'
Dário Essugo
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
32.02%
Chelsea
22.85%
X
45.13%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 45.13% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.78
1.14
-0.64
Manchester
2.04
1.89
-0.15
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 38 85
2 Manchester City Manchester City 38 78
3 Manchester United Manchester United 38 71
4 Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 65
5 Liverpool Liverpool 38 60
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 57
7 Sunderland Sunderland 38 54
8 Brighton Brighton 38 53
9 Brentford Brentford 38 53
10 Chelsea Chelsea 38 52
11 Fulham Fulham 38 52
12 Newcastle Newcastle 38 49
13 Everton Everton 38 49
14 Leeds Leeds 38 47
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 38 45
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 38 44
17 Tottenham Tottenham 38 41
18 West Ham West Ham 38 39
19 Burnley Burnley 38 22
20 Wolves Wolves 38 20
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 7.60
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 6.60
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 6.20
29 Wesley Fofana Wesley Fofana D 6.90
27 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto 88' D 6.50
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo 82' M 5.90
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 67' M 7.00
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto M 6.30
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 6.50
41 Estêvão Estêvão 67' M 5.90
20 João Pedro João Pedro 81' F 6.70
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho 23' F 6.50
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo 8' M 6.90
9 L. Delap L. Delap 9' F 6.30
45
R. Lavia 23' M 6.90
4 Tosin Adarabioyo Tosin Adarabioyo D
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma Gianluigi Donnarumma G 7.90
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 1 ⚽ 64' D 7.90
15 Marc Guéhi Marc Guéhi 1 ⚽ D 9.30
45
D 7.70
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 7.30
16 Rodri Rodri M 6.70
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva 81' M 6.70
11 J. Doku J. Doku 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.90
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 2 👟 76' M 8.00
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo M 6.30
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland F 6.30
Bench
8 Mateo Kovačić Mateo Kovačić 9' M 6.90
6 N. Aké N. Aké D
14 Nico González Nico González M
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush F
47 P. Foden P. Foden 14' M 6.90
21 R. Aït-Nouri R. Aït-Nouri 26' D 6.70
4 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders M
Best on the pitch
Marc Guéhi
Marc Guéhi
D · Manchester
9.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 102 pass
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
8.00
2 👟
1 shots · 60 pass
J. Doku
J. Doku
M · Manchester
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
N. O'Reilly
N. O'Reilly
D · Manchester
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G · Manchester
7.90
· 27 pass
D · Manchester
7.70
1 shots · 73 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 90 7.60 — — — 35 19% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 90 6.60 — — 2 23 20% 1 1 —
J. Hato D 90 6.20 — — — 63 60% 3 — —
Wesley Fofana D 90 6.90 — — — 39 37% 3 — —
Malo Gusto D 88 6.50 — — — 30 25% 5 — —
M. Caicedo M 82 5.90 — — — 41 32% — — —
Andrey Santos M 67 7.00 — — 1 32 27% 3 — —
Pedro Neto M 90 6.30 — — 1 22 19% — — —
C. Palmer M 90 6.50 — — 2 30 27% — — —
Estêvão M 67 5.90 — — — 10 9% — 1 —
João Pedro F 81 6.70 — — 1 16 12% — — —
A. Garnacho F 23 6.50 — — — 14 9% — — —
Dário Essugo M 8 6.90 — — — 6 5% 3 1 —
L. Delap F 9 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
R. Lavia M 23 6.90 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gianluigi Donnarumma G 90 7.90 — — — 27 25% — — —
N. O'Reilly D 64 7.90 1 — 1 43 40% 4 — —
Marc Guéhi D 90 9.30 1 — 1 102 100% 3 — —
D 90 7.70 — — 1 73 68% — — —
Matheus Nunes D 90 7.30 — — — 68 64% — — —
Rodri M 90 6.70 — — — 99 93% 1 — —
Bernardo Silva M 81 6.70 — — 1 70 59% 4 — —
J. Doku M 76 7.90 1 — 1 39 35% 1 — —
R. Cherki M 76 8.00 — 2 1 60 53% — — —
A. Semenyo M 90 6.30 — — 3 33 29% — 1 —
E. Haaland F 90 6.30 — — 3 11 6% 2 — —
Mateo Kovačić M 9 6.90 — — — 16 16% — — —
P. Foden M 14 6.90 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
R. Aït-Nouri D 26 6.70 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The final score was Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Chelsea win, 22% to a draw, and 45% to an Manchester City win.