✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
72'
(ast. E. Haaland)
A. Semenyo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Chelsea 20%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Manchester City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Fernandez
29'
M. Cucurella
32'
46'
R. Cherki
/
O. Marmoush
56'
A. Khusanov
65'
M. Kovacic
/
Rodri
72'
ast. E. Haaland ·
A. Semenyo⚽
M. Cucurella
/ P. Neto
74'
R. James
/ L. Delap
83'
Joao Pedro
/ A. Garnacho
86'
M. Caicedo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
20.99%
Chelsea
22.34%
X
56.66%
Manchester ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
56.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
21
J. Hato
D
J. Hato
D
6
L. Colwill
D
L. Colwill
D
29
W. Fofana
D
W. Fofana
D
3
Marc Cucurella
74'
M
Marc Cucurella
74'
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
24
R. James
83'
M
R. James
83'
M
27
M. Gusto
M
M. Gusto
M
8
E. Fernández
F
E. Fernández
F
10
C. Palmer
F
C. Palmer
F
20
João Pedro
86'
F
João Pedro
86'
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
8'
F
A. Garnacho
8'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
14
Dário Essugo
M
Dário Essugo
M
12
F. Jörgensen
G
F. Jörgensen
G
34
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
9
L. Delap
11'
F
L. Delap
11'
F
7
Pedro Neto
20'
F
Pedro Neto
20'
F
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
23
T. Chalobah
D
T. Chalobah
D
1
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
33
N. O'Reilly
D
N. O'Reilly
D
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
27
Matheus Nunes
D
Matheus Nunes
D
20
Bernardo Silva
M
Bernardo Silva
M
16
Rodri
65'
M
Rodri
65'
M
11
J. Doku
M
J. Doku
M
42
A. Semenyo
1 ⚽
M
A. Semenyo
1 ⚽
M
9
E. Haaland
1 👟
F
E. Haaland
1 👟
F
7
Omar Marmoush
45'
F
Omar Marmoush
45'
F
Bench
25
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
5
J. Stones
D
J. Stones
D
8
M. Kovačić
29'
M
M. Kovačić
29'
M
6
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
47
P. Foden
M
P. Foden
M
10
R. Cherki
49'
M
R. Cherki
49'
M
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
26
Sávio
F
Sávio
F
4
T. Reijnders
M
T. Reijnders
M
Best on the pitch
A. Semenyo
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.50
· 93 pass
R. James
M · Chelsea
7.30
· 45 pass
J. Doku
M · Manchester
7.20
· 38 pass
E. Fernández
F · Chelsea
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 9 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Colwill | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 74% | — | — | — |
| W. Fofana | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. James | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gusto | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | F | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Palmer | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 93 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The final score was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Chelsea win, 22% to a draw, and 56% to an Manchester City win.