✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
72'
(ast. E. Haaland)
A. Semenyo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Chelsea 20%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Manchester City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
14
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Fernandez
29'
M. Cucurella
32'
46'
R. Cherki
/
O. Marmoush
56'
A. Khusanov
65'
M. Kovacic
/
Rodri
72'
ast. E. Haaland ·
A. Semenyo⚽
M. Cucurella
/ P. Neto
74'
R. James
/ L. Delap
83'
Joao Pedro
/ A. Garnacho
86'
M. Caicedo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
20.99%
Chelsea
22.34%
X
56.66%
Manchester ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
56.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
21
Jorrel Hato
D
Jorrel Hato
D
6
Levi Colwill
D
Levi Colwill
D
29
Wesley Fofana
D
Wesley Fofana
D
3
Marc Cucurella
74'
M
Marc Cucurella
74'
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
24
Reece James
83'
M
Reece James
83'
M
27
Malo Gusto
M
Malo Gusto
M
8
E. Fernández
F
E. Fernández
F
10
C. Palmer
F
C. Palmer
F
20
João Pedro
86'
F
João Pedro
86'
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
8'
F
A. Garnacho
8'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
14
Dário Essugo
M
Dário Essugo
M
12
Filip Jørgensen
G
Filip Jørgensen
G
34
Josh Acheampong
D
Josh Acheampong
D
9
L. Delap
11'
F
L. Delap
11'
F
7
Pedro Neto
20'
F
Pedro Neto
20'
F
4
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
23
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Trevoh Chalobah
D
1
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
33
Nico O'Reilly
D
Nico O'Reilly
D
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
27
Matheus Nunes
D
Matheus Nunes
D
20
Bernardo Silva
M
Bernardo Silva
M
16
Rodri
65'
M
Rodri
65'
M
11
J. Doku
M
J. Doku
M
42
A. Semenyo
1 ⚽
M
A. Semenyo
1 ⚽
M
9
E. Haaland
1 👟
F
E. Haaland
1 👟
F
7
Omar Marmoush
45'
F
Omar Marmoush
45'
F
Bench
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
5
John Stones
D
John Stones
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
29'
M
Mateo Kovačić
29'
M
6
Nathan Aké
D
Nathan Aké
D
47
P. Foden
M
P. Foden
M
10
R. Cherki
49'
M
R. Cherki
49'
M
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
26
Savinho
F
Savinho
F
4
T. Reijnders
M
T. Reijnders
M
Best on the pitch
A. Semenyo
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.50
· 93 pass
Reece James
M · Chelsea
7.30
· 45 pass
J. Doku
M · Manchester
7.20
· 38 pass
E. Fernández
F · Chelsea
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 9 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jorrel Hato | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Levi Colwill | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 74% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Fofana | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Reece James | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Malo Gusto | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | F | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Palmer | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 93 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The final score was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Chelsea win, 22% to a draw, and 56% to an Manchester City win.