Champions League · Round of 16 March 17, 2026 21:00

Chelsea

#6 · 16 pts

0 – 3

Final score

Paris Saint Germain

#11 · 14 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Chelsea 34%). The final result was Chelsea 0–3 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

5

1.26

Actual xG

1.09

45%

Possession

55%

9

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

34.12%

Chelsea

24.15%

X

41.73%

Paris ←

we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 41.73% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Chelsea

1.72

1.26

-0.46

Paris

1.89

1.09

-0.8

xG dominance was balanced (1.26 – 1.09). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	24
2	Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool	8	18
4	Tottenham	8	17
5	Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	16
7	Sporting CP	8	16
8	Manchester City	8	16
9	Real Madrid	8	15
10	Inter	8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	14
12	Newcastle	8	14
13	Juventus	8	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta	8	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray	8	10
21	Monaco	8	10
22	Qarabag	8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9
24	Benfica	8	9
25	Marseille	8	9
26	Pafos	8	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	Napoli	8	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8
32	Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal	8	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1