Champions League
· Round of 16
March 17, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Chelsea 34%). The final result was Chelsea 0–3 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
5
1.26
Actual xG
1.09
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Chelsea
24.15%
X
41.73%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
41.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.26
-0.46
1.89
1.09
-0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.26 – 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Chelsea 0–3 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Chelsea win, 24% to a draw, and 41% to an Paris Saint Germain win.