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Chelsea - Real Sociedad

Friendlies Clubs August 15, 2026 15:00
Chelsea
vs
Real Sociedad
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.04%
Win
Chelsea
29.89%
Draw
31.07%
Win
Real Sociedad
2.04
Expected xG
1.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.09%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelsea a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals are 2.0 for Chelsea and 1.3 for Real Sociedad (total 3.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.09% probability.

Season Stats

Chelsea
2W 0D 2L
Real Sociedad
2W 1D 3L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
1.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
83%
75%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
83%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Chelsea
2W 0D 2L · at home
Real Sociedad
2W 0D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.0
1.8
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
25%
50%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chelsea Real Sociedad →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Chelsea Chelsea
W AC Milan 3–0
L Juventus 0–1
L Tottenham 1–2
W Western Sydney Wanderers 6–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
L 1. FC Köln 2–1
L Toulouse 2–1
W Aston Villa 2–4
W Wolves 1–2
D Racing Santander 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Chelsea Chelsea
Attack
50
Defence
57
Form
59
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Attack
38
Defence
62
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Chelsea a 39% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an Real Sociedad win.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?
Expected goals: Chelsea 2.0, Real Sociedad 1.3 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.09%.