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#5 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#14 · 9 pts
E. Fernandez (ast. P. Neto) 18'
Andrey Santos (ast. E. Fernandez) 67'
74' (ast. P. M. Sarr) Richarlison
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tottenham a 37% win probability (draw 26%, Chelsea 36%). The final result was Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham. In 3 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Tottenham.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
0.63
Actual xG
1.72
2
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
4
20
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽E. Fernandez · ast. P. Neto
18'
28'
P. Porro
43'
M. van de Ven
63'
D. Udogie
⚽Andrey Santos · ast. E. Fernandez
67'
69'
J. Maddison / R. Kolo Muani ↕
69'
P. M. Sarr / J. Palhinha ↕
69'
D. Spence / D. Udogie ↕
74'
ast. P. M. Sarr · Richarlison⚽
↕ J. Acheampong / T. Chalobah
74'
J. Hato
79'
↕ W. Fofana / M. Sarr
81'
M. Cucurella
85'
L. Delap
87'
↕ C. Palmer / D. Essugo
89'
↕ L. Delap / S. Mheuka
89'
↕ P. Neto / A. Garnacho
89'
D. Essugo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
36.02%
Chelsea ←
26.79%
X
37.19%
Tottenham
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea) 36.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.05
0.63
-0.42
Tottenham
1.26
1.72
+0.46
Tottenham dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.20
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 6.70
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 6.90
29 W. Fofana W. Fofana 81' D 6.70
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong 74' D 6.70
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.30
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 1 ⚽ M 8.00
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 89' M 6.70
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 1 👟 89' M 6.90
9 L. Delap L. Delap 89' F 6.20
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho 9' F 6.60
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo 9' M 6.70
12 F. Jörgensen F. Jörgensen G
55 J. Derry J. Derry F
19 M. Sarr M. Sarr 9' D 6.70
24 R. James R. James D
76 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen F
62 Shumaira Mheuka Shumaira Mheuka 9' F 6.50
23 T. Chalobah T. Chalobah 16' D 6.60
Tottenham Tottenham 4-2-3-1
31 A. Kinský A. Kinský G 6.30
13 D. Udogie D. Udogie 69' D 5.90
37 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven D 6.30
4 K. Danso K. Danso D 6.50
23 Pedro Porro Pedro Porro D 6.70
6 João Palhinha João Palhinha 69' M 6.70
30 R. Bentancur R. Bentancur M 6.70
11 M. Tel M. Tel M 6.20
22 C. Gallagher C. Gallagher M 6.30
39 R. Kolo Muani R. Kolo Muani 69' M 5.90
9 Richarlison Richarlison 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
14 A. Gray A. Gray M
24 D. Spence D. Spence 21' D 6.60
1 G. Vicario G. Vicario G
10 J. Maddison J. Maddison 21' M 6.90
15 L. Bergvall L. Bergvall M
29 P. Sarr P. Sarr 1 👟 21' M 6.30
3 R. Drăgușin R. Drăgușin D
38 Souza Souza D
8 Y. Bissouma Y. Bissouma M
Best on the pitch
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 47 pass
Andrey Santos
Andrey Santos
M · Chelsea
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
Richarlison
Richarlison
F · Tottenham
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
M · Chelsea
7.30
· 56 pass
J. Hato
J. Hato
D · Chelsea
6.90
· 64 pass
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto
M · Chelsea
6.90
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 90 6.20 — — — 38 19% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 90 6.70 — — — 26 17% 3 1 —
J. Hato D 90 6.90 — — — 64 60% 1 1 —
W. Fofana D 81 6.70 — — — 58 54% — — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 74 6.70 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
M. Caicedo M 90 7.30 — — — 56 51% — — —
Andrey Santos M 90 8.00 1 — 1 39 39% 5 — —
E. Fernández M 90 8.60 1 1 2 47 34% 1 — —
C. Palmer M 89 6.70 — — 2 24 22% 1 — —
Pedro Neto M 89 6.90 — 1 1 17 16% 3 — —
L. Delap F 89 6.20 — — 1 17 13% 1 1 —
A. Garnacho F 9 6.60 — — — 3 2% 2 — —
Dário Essugo M 9 6.70 — — — 2 2% 2 1 —
M. Sarr D 9 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Shumaira Mheuka F 9 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
T. Chalobah D 16 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
Tottenham Tottenham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Kinský G 90 6.30 — — — 27 21% — — —
D. Udogie D 69 5.90 — — — 25 20% 3 1 —
M. van de Ven D 90 6.30 — — — 75 74% 1 1 —
K. Danso D 90 6.50 — — — 71 66% 1 — —
Pedro Porro D 90 6.70 — — — 57 49% 1 1 —
João Palhinha M 69 6.70 — — — 47 45% 2 — —
R. Bentancur M 90 6.70 — — — 73 67% 2 — —
M. Tel M 90 6.20 — — 2 35 25% — — —
C. Gallagher M 90 6.30 — — 1 50 49% 1 — —
R. Kolo Muani M 69 5.90 — — — 16 9% — — —
Richarlison F 90 7.50 1 — 3 18 10% 2 — —
D. Spence D 21 6.60 — — — 13 8% — — —
J. Maddison M 21 6.90 — — 1 23 23% — — —
P. Sarr M 21 6.30 — 1 1 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The final score was Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Chelsea win, 26% to a draw, and 37% to an Tottenham win.