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Chelsea - Tottenham

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 11:45
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.43%
Win
Chelsea
32.21%
Draw
32.36%
Win
Tottenham
2.63
Expected xG
1.28

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.9%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelsea a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Tottenham. Expected goals are 2.6 for Chelsea and 1.3 for Tottenham (total 3.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.9% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.

Season Stats

Chelsea
1W 0D 0L
Tottenham
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
6.0
Goals
1.3
4.0
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Chelsea Tottenham →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.3% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Western Sydney Wanderers 6–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
D Sydney 1–1
W Auckland 0–2
W Milton Keynes Dons 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Chelsea Chelsea
Attack
100
Defence
0
Form
68
Tottenham Tottenham
Attack
38
Defence
100
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model gives Chelsea a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Tottenham win.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Expected goals: Chelsea 2.6, Tottenham 1.3 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.9%.