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Premier League · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 18:30 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
#5 · 13 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Tottenham
#14 · 9 pts
(og) 77' Mike Penders
87' Mathys Tel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Tottenham 26%). The final result was Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham. In 3 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tottenham.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
4
0.51
Actual xG
0.80
3
Saves
4
32%
Possession
68%
4
Corners
6
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
51'
Conor Gallagher / James Maddison ↕
↕ Jorrel Hato / Marco Palestra
65'
65'
Dominic Solanke / Omar Marmoush ↕
65'
Pedro Porro / Andrew Robertson ↕
67'
Conor Gallagher
71'
Micky van de Ven
Cole Palmer
71'
72'
Mateus Fernandes
72'
Roberto De Zerbi
↕ Geovany Quenda / Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
72'
77'
(og) Mike Penders⚽
Pedro Neto
79'
Cole Palmer
80'
87'
Mathys Tel⚽
↕ Pedro Neto / Danny Welbeck
88'
89'
Ben Davies / Mathys Tel ↕
89'
Dejan Kulusevski / Mohammed Kudus ↕
Morgan Rogers
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
45.53%
Chelsea
27.49%
X
26.98%
Tottenham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tottenham) 26.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.74
0.51
-1.23
Tottenham
0.98
0.80
-0.18
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-2-1
39 M. Penders M. Penders 1 ⚽ G 5.22
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 6.56
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 6.57
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 6.03
21 J. Hato J. Hato 65' M 6.31
14 J. Henderson J. Henderson M 5.60
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 6.13
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 88' M 6.34
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 72' M 5.92
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 80' M 5.56
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers F 5.74
Bench
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 2' F 6.70
41 Estêvão Estêvão 18' F 6.38
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto D 0.00
32 M. Nicoll-Jazuli M. Nicoll-Jazuli M 0.00
2 M. Palestra M. Palestra 25' D 5.81
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia M 0.00
28 T. Sharman-Lowe T. Sharman-Lowe G 0.00
4 V. Barco V. Barco M 0.00
3 W. Fofana W. Fofana D 0.00
Tottenham Tottenham 4-2-3-1
31 A. Kinský A. Kinský G 7.77
3 A. Robertson A. Robertson 65' D 6.71
37 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven D 6.62
6 J. van Hecke J. van Hecke D 7.24
14 A. Gray A. Gray D 7.00
16 S. Tonali S. Tonali M 7.19
18 Mateus Fernandes Mateus Fernandes M 7.50
11 M. Tel M. Tel 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.09
10 J. Maddison J. Maddison 51' M 6.78
20 M. Kudus M. Kudus 89' M 6.69
22 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush 65' F 6.27
Bench
33 B. Davies B. Davies 1' D 6.46
8 C. Gallagher C. Gallagher 39' M 6.42
21 D. Kulusevski D. Kulusevski 1' M 6.22
19 D. Solanke D. Solanke 25' F 6.89
68 L. Williams-Barnett L. Williams-Barnett M 0.00
39 M. Dúbravka M. Dúbravka G 0.00
5 M. Senesi M. Senesi D 0.00
23 Pedro Porro Pedro Porro 25' D 6.62
Best on the pitch
M. Tel
M. Tel
M · Tottenham
8.09
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
A. Kinský
A. Kinský
G · Tottenham
7.77
· 48 pass
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes
M · Tottenham
7.50
1 shots · 99 pass
J. van Hecke
J. van Hecke
D · Tottenham
7.24
· 96 pass
S. Tonali
S. Tonali
M · Tottenham
7.19
2 shots · 60 pass
A. Gray
A. Gray
D · Tottenham
7.00
· 36 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Penders G 90 5.22 1 — 0 38 20% 0 — —
L. Colwill D 90 6.56 — — 0 50 43% 3 — —
M. Lacroix D 90 6.57 — — 0 29 25% 2 — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 90 6.03 — — 0 12 5% 3 — —
J. Hato M 65 6.31 — — 0 20 18% 4 — —
J. Henderson M 90 5.60 — — 1 28 18% 2 — —
M. Caicedo M 90 6.13 — — 0 33 26% 2 — —
Pedro Neto M 88 6.34 — — 2 12 10% 3 1 —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 72 5.92 — — 0 12 10% 2 — —
C. Palmer M 80 5.56 — — 2 19 15% 0 — 1
M. Rogers F 90 5.74 — — 1 22 16% 1 1 —
D. Welbeck F 2 6.70 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Estêvão F 18 6.38 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
M. Palestra D 25 5.81 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
Tottenham Tottenham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Kinský G 90 7.77 — — 0 48 35% 0 — —
A. Robertson D 65 6.71 — — 1 51 42% 0 — —
M. van de Ven D 90 6.62 — — 0 81 78% 0 1 —
J. van Hecke D 90 7.24 — — 0 96 82% 2 — —
A. Gray D 90 7.00 — — 0 36 31% 2 — —
S. Tonali M 90 7.19 — — 2 60 54% 4 — —
Mateus Fernandes M 90 7.50 — — 1 99 91% 5 1 —
M. Tel M 89 8.09 1 — 2 39 33% 0 — —
J. Maddison M 51 6.78 — — 0 42 36% 1 — —
M. Kudus M 89 6.69 — — 2 29 25% 3 — —
Omar Marmoush F 65 6.27 — — 3 13 11% 1 — —
B. Davies D 1 6.46 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
C. Gallagher M 39 6.42 — — 2 16 12% 1 1 —
D. Kulusevski M 1 6.22 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
D. Solanke F 25 6.89 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Pedro Porro D 25 6.62 — — 1 14 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The final score was Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Chelsea win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Tottenham win.