League Two · Regular Season - 44 April 18, 2026 16:00

Cheltenham

#3 · 15 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Newport County

#14 · 10 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Cheltenham

G. Miller (ast. M. Faal) 82'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cheltenham a 52% win probability (draw 28%, Newport County 18%). The final result was Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County. In 1 previous meetings, Cheltenham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Newport County.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

9

3

Shots on target

2

2

Saves

3

55%

Possession

45%

2

Corners

7

5

Tackles

16

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

16'

M. Baker

↕ R. Cundy / A. Jude-Boyd

42'

↕ J. Davison / M. Faal

46'

↕ H. Ashfield / J. Bickerstaff

57'

↕ J. Thomas / G. Miller

57'

62'

H. Biggins

68'

C. Evans

71'

M. Spellman / N. Opoku ↕

↕ R. Broom / C. Deeming

81'

⚽G. Miller · ast. M. Faal

82'

84'

J. Crole

85'

C. Jarvis / B. Lloyd ↕

85'

B. Kamwa / C. Evans ↕

I. Hutchinson

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

52.99%

Cheltenham ←

28.83%

X

18.19%

Newport

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cheltenham) 52.99% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cheltenham

1.30

—

—

Newport

0.74

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Salford City	9	16
2	Barnet	7	15
3	Cheltenham	8	15
4	Crewe	9	15
5	Bristol Rovers	9	15
6	York	8	14
7	Walsall	8	14
8	Chesterfield	9	14
9	Grimsby	9	13
10	Gillingham	9	13
11	Tranmere	9	11
12	Swindon Town	8	11
13	Shrewsbury	9	11
14	Newport County	9	10
15	Rotherham	9	10
16	Fleetwood Town	9	10
17	Colchester	8	10
18	Rochdale	8	10
19	Exeter City	9	9
20	Accrington ST	8	7
21	Oldham	8	7
22	Northampton	7	6
23	Port Vale	7	5
24	Crawley Town	7	4

Lineups

Cheltenham 4-3-3

1

58' G 7.00

21

58' D 6.90

6 Robbie Cundy 42' D 6.60

5

58' D 6.50

27

58' D 6.60

23 I. Hutchinson 58' M 6.50

8 L. Young 58' M 7.00

4 Harry Ashfield 57' M 7.00

11 J. Thomas 57' F 6.20

9 J. Davison 45' F 6.90

14 R. Broom 58' F 6.30

Bench

2 Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd 16' D 6.70

10 George Miller 1 ⚽ 1' F

20 J. Bickerstaff 1' F

16

J. Martin F

22 Mo Faal 1 👟 13' F 6.50

Newport County 4-2-3-1

28

58' G 7.00

15

58' D 6.70

23

58' D 6.90

4 M. Baker 58' D 7.00

18

58' D 6.90

5 S. Sprangler 58' M 6.60

2 Cameron Evans 58' M 6.90

16

James Crole 58' M 7.00

10 H. Biggins 58' M 6.70

20

Ben Lloyd 58' M 6.70

24

N. Opoku 58' F 6.20

Bench

7 B. Kamwa F

8 Matt Smith M

17 Thomas Davies D

Best on the pitch

G · Cheltenham

7.00

· 23 pass

James Crole

M · Newport

7.00

2 shots · 6 pass

L. Young

M · Cheltenham

7.00

· 33 pass

Harry Ashfield

M · Cheltenham

7.00

1 shots · 21 pass

G · Newport

7.00

· 13 pass

M. Baker

D · Newport

7.00

1 shots · 15 pass

Cheltenham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	58	7.00	—	—	—	23	8%	—	—	—
	D	58	6.90	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
Robbie Cundy	D	42	6.60	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
	D	58	6.50	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
	D	58	6.60	—	—	1	26	19%	1	—	—
I. Hutchinson	M	58	6.50	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
L. Young	M	58	7.00	—	—	—	33	25%	1	—	—
Harry Ashfield	M	57	7.00	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
J. Thomas	F	57	6.20	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
J. Davison	F	45	6.90	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
R. Broom	F	58	6.30	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd	D	16	6.70	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
George Miller	F	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Bickerstaff	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Mo Faal	F	13	6.50	—	1	1	1	—	—	—	—

Newport County — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	58	7.00	—	—	—	13	5%	—	—	—
	D	58	6.70	—	—	1	13	7%	—	—	—
	D	58	6.90	—	—	—	13	11%	1	—	—
M. Baker	D	58	7.00	—	—	1	15	9%	1	1	—
	D	58	6.90	—	—	—	20	13%	—	—	—
S. Sprangler	M	58	6.60	—	—	2	25	16%	2	—	—
Cameron Evans	M	58	6.90	—	—	—	14	8%	2	—	—
James Crole	M	58	7.00	—	—	2	6	4%	3	—	—
H. Biggins	M	58	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
Ben Lloyd	M	58	6.70	—	—	2	15	8%	4	—	—
N. Opoku	F	58	6.20	—	—	1	16	11%	2	—	—