League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cheltenham
G. Miller
(ast. M. Faal)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cheltenham a 52% win probability (draw 28%, Newport County 18%). The final result was Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County. In 1 previous meetings, Cheltenham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Newport County.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
7
5
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
M. Baker
R. Cundy
/ A. Jude-Boyd
42'
J. Davison
/ M. Faal
46'
H. Ashfield
/ J. Bickerstaff
57'
J. Thomas
/ G. Miller
57'
62'
H. Biggins
68'
C. Evans
71'
M. Spellman
/
N. Opoku
R. Broom
/ C. Deeming
81'
⚽G. Miller
· ast. M. Faal
82'
84'
J. Crole
85'
C. Jarvis
/
B. Lloyd
85'
B. Kamwa
/
C. Evans
I. Hutchinson
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.99%
Cheltenham ←
28.83%
X
18.19%
Newport
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cheltenham)
52.99%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
1
58'
G
21
58'
D
6
R. Cundy
42'
D
5
58'
D
27
58'
D
23
I. Hutchinson
58'
M
I. Hutchinson
58'
M
8
L. Young
58'
M
4
H. Ashfield
57'
M
11
J. Thomas
57'
F
9
J. Davison
45'
F
14
R. Broom
58'
F
Bench
2
A. Jude-Boyd
16'
D
10
G. Miller
1 ⚽
1'
F
20
J. Bickerstaff
1'
F
16
J. Martin
F
22
M. Faal
1 👟
13'
F
28
58'
G
15
58'
D
23
58'
D
4
M. Baker
58'
D
18
58'
D
5
S. Sprangler
58'
M
2
Cameron Evans
58'
M
16
James Crole
58'
M
10
Harrison Biggins
58'
M
20
Ben Lloyd
58'
M
24
N. Opoku
58'
F
Bench
7
B. Kamwa
F
8
M. Smith
M
17
T. Davies
D
Best on the pitch
G · Cheltenham
7.00
· 23 pass
James Crole
M · Newport
7.00
2 shots
· 6 pass
L. Young
M · Cheltenham
7.00
· 33 pass
H. Ashfield
M · Cheltenham
7.00
1 shots
· 21 pass
G · Newport
7.00
· 13 pass
M. Baker
D · Newport
7.00
1 shots
· 15 pass
Cheltenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| R. Cundy | D | 42 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| I. Hutchinson | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Young | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ashfield | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Thomas | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Davison | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Broom | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Jude-Boyd | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Miller | F | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bickerstaff | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Faal | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Newport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Baker | D | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| S. Sprangler | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Evans | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| James Crole | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Harrison Biggins | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Lloyd | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Opoku | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cheltenham vs Newport County?
The final score was Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County.
What did the model predict before Cheltenham vs Newport County?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Cheltenham win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Newport County win.