League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cheltenham
G. Miller
(ast. M. Faal)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cheltenham a 52% win probability (draw 28%, Newport County 18%). The final result was Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County. In 1 previous meetings, Cheltenham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Newport County.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
7
5
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
M. Baker
R. Cundy
/ A. Jude-Boyd
42'
J. Davison
/ M. Faal
46'
H. Ashfield
/ J. Bickerstaff
57'
J. Thomas
/ G. Miller
57'
62'
H. Biggins
68'
C. Evans
71'
M. Spellman
/
N. Opoku
R. Broom
/ C. Deeming
81'
⚽G. Miller
· ast. M. Faal
82'
84'
J. Crole
85'
C. Jarvis
/
B. Lloyd
85'
B. Kamwa
/
C. Evans
I. Hutchinson
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.99%
Cheltenham ←
28.83%
X
18.19%
Newport
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cheltenham)
52.99%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
1
58'
G
21
58'
D
6
Robbie Cundy
42'
D
Robbie Cundy
42'
D
5
58'
D
27
58'
D
23
Isaac Hutchinson
58'
M
Isaac Hutchinson
58'
M
8
L. Young
58'
M
4
H. Ashfield
57'
M
11
Jordan Thomas
57'
F
Jordan Thomas
57'
F
9
Josh Davison
45'
F
Josh Davison
45'
F
14
Ryan Broom
58'
F
Ryan Broom
58'
F
Bench
2
Arkell Jude-Boyd
16'
D
Arkell Jude-Boyd
16'
D
10
George Miller
1 ⚽
1'
F
George Miller
1 ⚽
1'
F
20
Jake Bickerstaff
1'
F
Jake Bickerstaff
1'
F
16
J. Martin
F
22
Mo Faal
1 👟
13'
F
Mo Faal
1 👟
13'
F
28
58'
G
15
58'
D
23
58'
D
4
Matthew Baker
58'
D
Matthew Baker
58'
D
18
58'
D
5
Sven Sprangler
58'
M
Sven Sprangler
58'
M
2
Cameron Evans
58'
M
Cameron Evans
58'
M
16
James Crole
58'
M
10
Harrison Biggins
58'
M
Harrison Biggins
58'
M
20
Ben Lloyd
58'
M
24
N. Opoku
58'
F
Bench
7
Bobby Kamwa
F
Bobby Kamwa
F
8
Matt Smith
M
Matt Smith
M
17
Thomas Davies
D
Thomas Davies
D
Best on the pitch
G · Cheltenham
7.00
· 23 pass
James Crole
M · Newport
7.00
2 shots
· 6 pass
L. Young
M · Cheltenham
7.00
· 33 pass
H. Ashfield
M · Cheltenham
7.00
1 shots
· 21 pass
G · Newport
7.00
· 13 pass
Matthew Baker
D · Newport
7.00
1 shots
· 15 pass
Cheltenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Robbie Cundy | D | 42 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Isaac Hutchinson | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Young | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ashfield | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Thomas | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Josh Davison | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Broom | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Arkell Jude-Boyd | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| George Miller | F | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Bickerstaff | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mo Faal | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Newport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — | |
| Matthew Baker | D | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Sven Sprangler | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Evans | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| James Crole | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Harrison Biggins | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Lloyd | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Opoku | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cheltenham vs Newport County?
The final score was Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County.
What did the model predict before Cheltenham vs Newport County?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Cheltenham win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Newport County win.