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Chemnitzer FC - Union Berlin

Friendlies Clubs July 09, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.21%
Win
Chemnitzer FC
32.29%
Draw
32.5%
Win
Union Berlin
2.74
Expected xG
1.6
Most likely result 2–1 (7.8%)
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
81%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chemnitzer FC a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Union Berlin. Expected goals are 2.7 for Chemnitzer FC and 1.6 for Union Berlin (total 4.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.8% probability.

Season Stats

Chemnitzer FC
2W 2D 0L
Union Berlin
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
84%
O 2.5
17%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Chemnitzer FC
2W 1D 0L · at home
Union Berlin
1W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chemnitzer FC Union Berlin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.7% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.0% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

W Plauen 3–0
W Podbrezová 5–2
D Wuppertaler SV 1–1
D Fortuna Köln 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Erzgebirge Aue 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC
Attack
69
Defence
63
Form
70
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Attack
50
Defence
75
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Union Berlin?
The model gives Chemnitzer FC a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Union Berlin win.
How many goals are expected in Chemnitzer FC vs Union Berlin?
Expected goals: Chemnitzer FC 2.7, Union Berlin 1.6 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Chemnitzer FC vs Union Berlin?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.8%.