← K League 2

Cheonan City - Paju Citizen

K League 2 May 16, 2026 12:00
Cheonan City
#10 · 14 pts
vs
Paju Citizen
#11 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.73%
Win
Cheonan City
29.81%
Draw
36.46%
Win
Paju Citizen
1.11
Expected xG
1.24

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paju Citizen a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Cheonan City. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cheonan City and 1.2 for Paju Citizen (total 2.4), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.1% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Cheonan City Paju Citizen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 11.8% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Cheonan City Cheonan City
L Busan I Park 1–0
W Asan Mugunghwa 1–0
D Seongnam FC 1–1
W Daegu FC 1–2
D Cheongju 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 39%
Paju Citizen Paju Citizen
D Cheongju 0–0
L Gyeongnam FC 2–3
W Seongnam FC 0–1
L Seoul E-Land FC 1–3
W Gimhae City 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Cheonan City Cheonan City
Attack
28
Defence
78
Form
50
Paju Citizen Paju Citizen
Attack
36
Defence
69
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Busan I Park Busan I Park 11 28
2 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 11 23
3 Seoul E-Land FC Seoul E-Land FC 11 19
4 Suwon City FC Suwon City FC 10 18
5 Hwaseong Hwaseong 11 16
6 Daegu FC Daegu FC 10 15
7 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 10 15
8 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 10 14
9 Seongnam FC Seongnam FC 10 14
10 Cheonan City Cheonan City 10 14
11 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 10 13
12 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 11 11
13 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 10 11
14 Yongin City Yongin City 10 9
15 Cheongju Cheongju 11 9
16 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 10 6
17 Gimhae City Gimhae City 10 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cheonan City vs Paju Citizen?
The model gives Cheonan City a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Paju Citizen win.
How many goals are expected in Cheonan City vs Paju Citizen?
Expected goals: Cheonan City 1.1, Paju Citizen 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Cheonan City vs Paju Citizen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.1%.