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Chesham United - Real Bedford

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Chesham United
vs
Real Bedford
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.19%
Win
Chesham United
25.85%
Draw
30.95%
Win
Real Bedford
4.5
Expected xG
3.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.6%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 26%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 57%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chesham United a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Real Bedford. Expected goals are 4.5 for Chesham United and 3.2 for Real Bedford (total 7.7), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.6% probability.

Season Stats

Chesham United
1W 0D 1L
Real Bedford
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
1.8
3.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Chesham United
1W 0D 1L · at home
Real Bedford
1W 0D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
1.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chesham United Real Bedford →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.0% 1.3%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.5% 3.7% 3.0% 2.0%
4 0.7% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 3.4% 2.2%
5 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0%

Recent form

Chesham United Chesham United
W Ware 7–2
L King's Lynn Town 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Real Bedford Real Bedford
W Harleston Town 1–2
W Royston Town 4–1
L Bishop's Stortford 1–0
D Bishop's Stortford 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Chesham United Chesham United
Attack
58
Defence
65
Form
62
Real Bedford Real Bedford
Attack
80
Defence
40
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
The model gives Chesham United a 43% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 30% for an Real Bedford win.
How many goals are expected in Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
Expected goals: Chesham United 4.5, Real Bedford 3.2 (total 7.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.6%.