MLS
· Regular Season - 18
August 02, 2026 02:30
R. Lewandowski
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
20'
R. Lewandowski
(ast. R. Lod)
68'
18'
(ast. I. Toklomati)
P. Biel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Charlotte 21%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
1.59
Actual xG
0.83
0
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
6
17
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Saletros
10'
18'
ast. I. Toklomati ·
P. Biel⚽
⚽R. Lewandowski
· ast. P. Zinckernagel
20'
J. Waterman
59'
⚽R. Lewandowski
· ast. R. Lod
68'
69'
D. Schnegg
/
H. Toffolo
J. Bamba
/ P. Dithejane
74'
77'
R. Aloko
/
L. Abada
86'
B. Bronico
/
L. de la Torre
86'
A. Goodwin
/
I. Toklomati
R. Lod
/ M. Haile-Selassie
88'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
88'
R. Lewandowski
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
58.32%
Chicago ←
20.41%
X
21.28%
Charlotte
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
58.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.59
-0.42
1.10
0.83
-0.27
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
A. Gutman
D
A. Gutman
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
16
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
2
Leonardo Barroso
D
Leonardo Barroso
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
74'
M
Jonathan Bamba
74'
M
6
A. Salétros
M
A. Salétros
M
42
T. D'Avilla
88'
M
T. D'Avilla
88'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
17
R. Lod
1 👟
88'
F
R. Lod
1 👟
88'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
2 ⚽
F
R. Lewandowski
2 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
7
M. Haile-Selassie
8'
M
M. Haile-Selassie
8'
M
22
M. Pineda
8'
D
M. Pineda
8'
D
12
P. Dithejane
22'
F
P. Dithejane
22'
F
35
S. Oregel
M
S. Oregel
M
5
S. Rogers
D
S. Rogers
D
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
69'
D
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
14
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
28
D. Diani
M
D. Diani
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
17
L. de la Torre
86'
M
L. de la Torre
86'
M
11
L. Abada
77'
F
L. Abada
77'
F
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 👟
86'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 👟
86'
F
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
F
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
A. Goodwin
10'
F
A. Goodwin
10'
F
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
13
B. Bronico
10'
M
B. Bronico
10'
M
20
B. Coulibaly
M
B. Coulibaly
M
23
D. Schnegg
27'
D
D. Schnegg
27'
D
37
R. Aloko
19'
F
R. Aloko
19'
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
35
Will Cleary
D
Will Cleary
D
Best on the pitch
R. Lewandowski
F · Chicago
9.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
Pep Biel
F · Charlotte
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 46 pass
J. Elliott
D · Chicago
7.50
· 65 pass
J. Waterman
D · Chicago
7.20
· 69 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.20
· 71 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Waterman | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Lod | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 96 | 9.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Kessler | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Abada | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | F | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Aloko | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Charlotte win.