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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 02:30
#4 · 55 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#5 · 53 pts
R. Lewandowski (ast. P. Zinckernagel) 20'
R. Lewandowski (ast. R. Lod) 68'
18' (ast. I. Toklomati) P. Biel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Charlotte 21%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
1.59
Actual xG
0.83
0
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
6
17
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Saletros
10'
18'
ast. I. Toklomati · P. Biel⚽
⚽R. Lewandowski · ast. P. Zinckernagel
20'
J. Waterman
59'
⚽R. Lewandowski · ast. R. Lod
68'
69'
D. Schnegg / H. Toffolo ↕
↕ J. Bamba / P. Dithejane
74'
77'
R. Aloko / L. Abada ↕
86'
B. Bronico / L. de la Torre ↕
86'
A. Goodwin / I. Toklomati ↕
↕ R. Lod / M. Haile-Selassie
88'
↕ D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda
88'
R. Lewandowski
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
58.32%
Chicago ←
20.41%
X
21.28%
Charlotte
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire) 58.32% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
2.01
1.59
-0.42
Charlotte
1.10
0.83
-0.27
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-4-2
1 C. Brady C. Brady G 6.20
15 A. Gutman A. Gutman D 6.60
3 J. Elliott J. Elliott D 7.50
16 J. Waterman J. Waterman D 7.20
2 Leonardo Barroso Leonardo Barroso D 6.90
19 J. Bamba J. Bamba 74' M 6.90
6 A. Salétros A. Salétros M 6.90
42 T. D'Avilla T. D'Avilla 88' M 7.20
11 P. Zinckernagel P. Zinckernagel 1 👟 M 7.60
17 R. Lod R. Lod 1 👟 88' F 7.20
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski 2 ⚽ F 9.60
Bench
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook F
44 J. Cohen J. Cohen G
24 J. Dean J. Dean D
7 M. Haile-Selassie M. Haile-Selassie 8' M 6.70
22 M. Pineda M. Pineda 8' D 6.60
12 P. Dithejane P. Dithejane 22' F 6.30
35 S. Oregel S. Oregel M
5 S. Rogers S. Rogers D
14 V. Radojević V. Radojević D
Charlotte Charlotte 4-3-3
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 6.70
15 H. Toffolo H. Toffolo 69' D 6.50
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D 6.70
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 6.60
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.90
28 D. Diani D. Diani M 6.30
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood M 7.20
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 86' M 6.90
11 L. Abada L. Abada 77' F 6.20
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 1 👟 86' F 6.90
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 10' F 6.30
4 A. Privett A. Privett D
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 10' M 6.50
20 B. Coulibaly B. Coulibaly M
23 D. Schnegg D. Schnegg 27' D 6.70
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko 19' F 6.30
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls F
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary D
Best on the pitch
R. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
F · Chicago
9.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
F · Charlotte
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 46 pass
J. Elliott
J. Elliott
D · Chicago
7.50
· 65 pass
J. Waterman
J. Waterman
D · Chicago
7.20
· 69 pass
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.20
· 71 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Brady G 96 6.20 — — — 30 21% — — —
A. Gutman D 96 6.60 — — 1 32 28% 2 — —
J. Elliott D 96 7.50 — — — 65 57% 1 — —
J. Waterman D 96 7.20 — — — 69 63% — 1 —
Leonardo Barroso D 96 6.90 — — — 30 25% 5 — —
J. Bamba M 74 6.90 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
A. Salétros M 96 6.90 — — — 53 50% — 1 —
T. D'Avilla M 88 7.20 — — — 67 60% 2 — —
P. Zinckernagel M 96 7.60 — 1 1 40 32% 3 — —
R. Lod F 88 7.20 — 1 2 24 22% — — —
R. Lewandowski F 96 9.60 2 — 3 15 13% 1 1 —
M. Haile-Selassie M 8 6.70 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
M. Pineda D 8 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
P. Dithejane F 22 6.30 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 96 6.70 — — — 29 25% — — —
H. Toffolo D 69 6.50 — — 1 30 27% 2 — —
H. Kessler D 96 6.70 — — — 71 66% 2 — —
M. Agyemang D 96 6.60 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
N. Byrne D 96 6.90 — — — 55 49% 1 — —
D. Diani M 96 6.30 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
A. Westwood M 96 7.20 — — — 71 62% — — —
L. de la Torre M 86 6.90 — — — 54 52% 1 — —
L. Abada F 77 6.20 — — — 26 21% — — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 86 6.90 — 1 — 20 19% 1 — —
Pep Biel F 96 7.50 1 — 4 46 41% — — —
A. Goodwin F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
B. Bronico M 10 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
D. Schnegg D 27 6.70 — — — 18 13% — — —
R. Aloko F 19 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Charlotte win.