MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Chicago Fire, result FC Cincinnati wins
H. Cuypers
16'
H. Cuypers
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
28'
24'
Evander
31'
(ast. K. Mboma)
Evander
(pen.)
90'+7
Evander
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 54% win probability (draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 22%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
6
10
Shots on target
4
3.62
Actual xG
1.74
1
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
1
12
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Cuypers
16'
24'
Evander⚽
⚽H. Cuypers
· ast. P. Zinckernagel
28'
31'
ast. K. Mboma ·
Evander⚽
46'
N. Hagglund
/
T. Anunga
56'
K. Smith
R. Lod
/ J. Bamba
59'
66'
M. Miazga
/
G. Valenzuela
68'
K. Denkey
77'
T. Barlow
/
K. Mboma
77'
A. Jabbari
/
K. Denkey
88'
A. Lajhar
/
B. J. Ramirez Leon
⚽H. Cuypers
(missed pen.)
90'+1
D. D'Avilla
90'+3
90'+7
(pen.)
Evander⚽
J. Dean
/ J. Shokalook
90'+8
90'+12
A. Chirila
90'
A. Lajhar
Pre-match prediction
54.38%
Chicago
22.85%
X
22.77%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati)
22.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.46
3.62
+0.16
1.72
1.74
+0.02
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (3.62 vs 1.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
M
17
Robin Lod
59'
M
Robin Lod
59'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
M
9
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
Bench
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
40'
F
Jonathan Bamba
40'
F
22
Mauricio Pineda
D
Mauricio Pineda
D
12
Puso Dithejane
F
Puso Dithejane
F
35
Sergio Oregel
M
Sergio Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
18
G
11
Samuel Gidi
D
Samuel Gidi
D
88
Andrei Chirila
D
Andrei Chirila
D
24
K. Smith
56'
D
K. Smith
56'
D
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
88'
M
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
88'
M
27
Tah Anunga
45'
M
Tah Anunga
45'
M
22
G. Valenzuela
66'
M
G. Valenzuela
66'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
M
Pavel Bucha
M
10
Evander
3 ⚽
F
Evander
3 ⚽
F
9
K. Denkey
77'
F
K. Denkey
77'
F
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
1 👟
77'
F
Kenji Mboma Dem
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
55
Ayoub Lajhar
11'
D
Ayoub Lajhar
11'
D
66
E. Echenique
F
E. Echenique
F
3
Gilberto Flores
D
Gilberto Flores
D
21
Matt Miazga
33'
D
Matt Miazga
33'
D
4
Nick Hagglund
54'
D
Nick Hagglund
54'
D
16
Tom Barlow
22'
F
Tom Barlow
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Evander
F · FC
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 38 pass
G · FC
9.70
· 33 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.90
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 28 pass
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.90
1 👟
5 shots
· 45 pass
Anton Salétros
M · Chicago
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
M · FC
7.20
1 shots
· 38 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 67 | 57% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 99 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 5 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 99 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 7 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | F | 40 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 9.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Gidi | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 67% | — | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 56 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | 1 |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Tah Anunga | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Evander | F | 99 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 3 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | D | 11 | 6.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tom Barlow | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an FC Cincinnati win.