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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 02:30
Chicago Fire
#4 · 20 pts
2 – 3
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 16 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Chicago Fire, result FC Cincinnati vince
H. Cuypers 16'
H. Cuypers (ast. P. Zinckernagel) 28'
24' Evander
31' (ast. K. Mboma) Evander
(pen.) 90'+7 Evander

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 54% win probability (draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 22%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
6
10
Shots on target
4
3.62
Actual xG
1.74
1
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
1
12
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Cuypers
16'
24'
Evander⚽
⚽H. Cuypers · ast. P. Zinckernagel
28'
31'
ast. K. Mboma · Evander⚽
46'
N. Hagglund / T. Anunga ↕
56'
K. Smith
↕ R. Lod / J. Bamba
59'
66'
M. Miazga / G. Valenzuela ↕
68'
K. Denkey
77'
T. Barlow / K. Mboma ↕
77'
A. Jabbari / K. Denkey ↕
88'
A. Lajhar / B. J. Ramirez Leon ↕
⚽H. Cuypers (missed pen.)
90'+1
D. D'Avilla
90'+3
90'+7
(pen.) Evander⚽
↕ J. Dean / J. Shokalook
90'+8
90'+12
A. Chirila
90'
A. Lajhar
Pre-match prediction
54.38%
Chicago
22.85%
X
22.77%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 22.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
3.46
3.62
+0.16
FC
1.72
1.74
+0.02
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (3.62 vs 1.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
15 Andrew Gutman Andrew Gutman D 5.90
4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 6.20
3 Jack Elliott Jack Elliott D 5.90
24 Jonathan Dean Jonathan Dean D 6.90
6
A. Saletros M 7.30
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla Dje Tah D'Avilla M 6.00
7 Maren Haile-Selassie Maren Haile-Selassie M 6.90
17 Robin Lod Robin Lod 59' M 6.60
11 Philip Zinckernagel Philip Zinckernagel 1 👟 M 7.90
9 Hugo Cuypers Hugo Cuypers 2 ⚽ F 8.90
Bench
27 Dylan Borso Dylan Borso F
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook 1' F
16 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman D
19 Jonathan Bamba Jonathan Bamba 40' F 7.00
22 Mauricio Pineda Mauricio Pineda D
12 Puso Dithejane Puso Dithejane F
35
S. Oregel M
14 Viktor Radojević Viktor Radojević D
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18
G 9.70
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi D 6.70
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila D 7.20
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 56' D 5.20
29 Bryan Ramirez Bryan Ramirez 88' M 7.20
27 Tah Anunga Tah Anunga 45' M 6.50
22 Gerardo Valenzuela Gerardo Valenzuela 66' M 7.20
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha M 6.30
10 Evander Evander 3 ⚽ F 10.00
9 Kévin Denkey Kévin Denkey 77' F 6.90
17 Kenji Mboma Dem Kenji Mboma Dem 1 👟 77' F 6.30
Bench
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar 11' D 6.00
66 Ender Echenique Ender Echenique F
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 33' D 6.70
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund 54' D 6.60
16 Tom Barlow Tom Barlow 22' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Evander
Evander
F · FC
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots · 38 pass
G · FC
9.70
· 33 pass
Hugo Cuypers
Hugo Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.90
2 ⚽
7 shots · 28 pass
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
7.90
1 👟
5 shots · 45 pass
A. Saletros
M · Chicago
7.30
3 shots · 54 pass
Bryan Ramirez
Bryan Ramirez
M · FC
7.20
1 shots · 38 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.50 — — — 24 22% — — —
Andrew Gutman D 99 5.90 — — 1 29 22% 1 — —
Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 99 6.20 — — — 47 42% — — —
Jack Elliott D 99 5.90 — — 3 67 57% — — —
Jonathan Dean D 98 6.90 — — — 51 49% 3 — —
A. Saletros M 99 7.30 — — 3 54 45% 2 — —
Dje Tah D'Avilla M 99 6.00 — — — 58 50% 2 1 —
Maren Haile-Selassie M 99 6.90 — — 3 35 30% — — —
Robin Lod M 59 6.60 — — — 11 7% 2 — —
Philip Zinckernagel M 99 7.90 — 1 5 45 39% 1 — —
Hugo Cuypers F 99 8.90 2 — 7 28 22% 1 — —
Jason Shokalook F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Jonathan Bamba F 40 7.00 — — — 24 22% — — —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 9.70 — — — 33 25% — — —
Samuel Gidi D 99 6.70 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
Andrei Chirila D 99 7.20 — — — 77 67% — — —
Kyle Smith D 56 5.20 — — — 39 37% — — 1
Bryan Ramirez M 88 7.20 — — 1 38 30% 3 — —
Tah Anunga M 45 6.50 — — — 22 22% 1 — —
Gerardo Valenzuela M 66 7.20 — — — 26 22% — — —
Pavel Bucha M 99 6.30 — — — 26 19% — — —
Evander F 99 10.00 3 — 3 38 33% 1 — —
Kévin Denkey F 77 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 1 1 —
Kenji Mboma Dem F 77 6.30 — 1 1 18 16% — — —
Ayoub Lajhar D 11 6.00 — — — — — — 1 —
Matt Miazga D 33 6.70 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Nick Hagglund D 54 6.60 — — — 11 10% — — —
Tom Barlow F 22 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an FC Cincinnati win.