Chicago Fire - Necaxa
Leagues Cup
August 07, 2026 02:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.64%
Win
Chicago Fire
29.77%
Draw
32.58%
Win
Necaxa
2.05
1.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.78%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
30%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
62%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chicago Fire a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Necaxa. Expected goals are 2.1 for Chicago Fire and 1.8 for Necaxa (total 3.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.78% probability.
Season Stats
8W
1D
6L
6W
3D
6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.4
5.0
Shots OT
4.1
4.1
Corners
4.7
53%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
68%
BTTS
5W
0D
4L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.4
1.2
Conceded
1.9
56%
Win %
30%
56%
Win or Draw
50%
78%
O 1.5
90%
78%
O 2.5
70%
33%
O 3.5
40%
56%
BTTS
80%
44%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Chicago Fire
Necaxa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chicago Fire
Attack
49
Defence
54
Form
50
Necaxa
Attack
44
Defence
71
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Necaxa?
The model gives Chicago Fire a 37% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an Necaxa win.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs Necaxa?
Expected goals: Chicago Fire 2.1, Necaxa 1.8 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Chicago Fire vs Necaxa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.78%.