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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 10, 2026 20:30 Soldier Field, Chicago
Chicago Fire
#4 · 51 pts
2 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#12 · 35 pts
Anton Saletros (ast. Maren Haile-Selassie) 55'
Maren Haile-Selassie 87'
19' (ast. Agustin Ojeda) Hannes Wolf
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 58% win probability (draw 20%, New York City FC 21%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
1.46
Actual xG
1.46
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
4
14
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
19'
ast. Agustin Ojeda · Hannes Wolf⚽
Djé D'Avilla
20'
Djé D'Avilla
43'
↕ Jonathan Bamba / Mauricio Pineda
45'
45'
Kevin O'Toole / Nico Cavallo ↕
⚽Anton Saletros · ast. Maren Haile-Selassie
55'
60'
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos / Alonso Martinez ↕
60'
Raul Bicalho / Andrés Perea ↕
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
64'
↕ Philip Zinckernagel / Puso Dithejane
71'
↕ Robert Lewandowski / Johan Arath Gomez
71'
↕ Leonardo Barroso / Noah Allen
71'
75'
Bénie Adama Traoré / Agustin Ojeda ↕
76'
Jonathan Shore / James Sands ↕
82'
Malachi Jones / Hannes Wolf ↕
⚽Maren Haile-Selassie
87'
Mauricio Pineda
90'+4
↕ Maren Haile-Selassie / Andreas Hanche-Olsen
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
58.23%
Chicago ←
20.61%
X
21.16%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire) 58.23% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
2.02
1.46
-0.56
New
1.11
1.46
+0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-4-2
1 C. Brady C. Brady G 6.83
2 Leonardo Barroso Leonardo Barroso 71' D 6.64
4 M. Mbokazi M. Mbokazi D 6.48
3 J. Elliott J. Elliott D 6.52
24 J. Dean J. Dean D 6.44
19 J. Bamba J. Bamba 45' M 6.17
42 T. D'Avilla T. D'Avilla 43' M 5.92
6 A. Salétros A. Salétros 1 ⚽ M 7.64
11 P. Zinckernagel P. Zinckernagel 71' M 6.87
7 M. Haile-Selassie M. Haile-Selassie 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.96
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski 71' F 6.20
Bench
15 A. Gutman A. Gutman D 0.00
21 A. Hanche-Olsen A. Hanche-Olsen 1' D 0.00
29 D. Poręba D. Poręba M 0.00
44 J. Cohen J. Cohen G 0.00
18 J. Gómez J. Gómez 19' F 6.66
22 M. Pineda M. Pineda 45' D 5.54
32 N. Allen N. Allen 19' D 6.30
12 P. Dithejane P. Dithejane 19' F 6.65
35 S. Oregel S. Oregel M 0.00
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 5.67
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 45' D 6.40
6 J. Sands J. Sands 76' D 6.34
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.14
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 6.91
8 A. Perea A. Perea 60' M 6.03
21 A. O'Neill A. O'Neill M 6.69
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.60
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau M 7.20
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 1 👟 75' M 6.86
16 A. Martínez A. Martínez 60' F 6.24
Bench
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 15' F 6.21
32 J. Shore J. Shore 14' M 6.06
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole 45' D 6.45
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 30' F 6.01
23 Maxwell Murray Maxwell Murray D 0.00
88 M. Jones M. Jones 8' F 6.46
3 M. Miazga M. Miazga D 0.00
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 30' D 6.07
30 T. Romero T. Romero G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Haile-Selassie
M. Haile-Selassie
F · Chicago
8.96
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
A. Salétros
A. Salétros
M · Chicago
7.64
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
H. Wolf
H. Wolf
M · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
7.20
3 shots · 31 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.14
· 61 pass
T. Gray
T. Gray
D · New
6.91
1 shots · 48 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Brady G 90 6.83 — — 0 37 26% 0 — —
Leonardo Barroso D 71 6.64 — — 0 22 19% 1 — —
M. Mbokazi D 90 6.48 — — 1 48 37% 1 1 —
J. Elliott D 90 6.52 — — 2 57 45% 1 — —
J. Dean D 90 6.44 — — 0 35 28% 2 — —
J. Bamba M 45 6.17 — — 0 13 12% 1 — —
T. D'Avilla M 43 5.92 — — 1 42 38% 0 — 1
A. Salétros M 90 7.64 1 — 3 33 26% 1 — —
P. Zinckernagel M 71 6.87 — — 2 15 11% 3 — —
M. Haile-Selassie F 95 8.96 1 1 3 20 14% 2 — —
R. Lewandowski F 71 6.20 — — 1 20 18% 0 — —
A. Hanche-Olsen D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Gómez F 19 6.66 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
M. Pineda D 45 5.54 — — 0 26 18% 1 1 —
N. Allen D 19 6.30 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
P. Dithejane F 19 6.65 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 5.67 — — 0 24 14% 0 — —
Nico Cavallo D 45 6.40 — — 0 14 11% 2 — —
J. Sands D 76 6.34 — — 0 40 33% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.14 — — 0 61 55% 1 — —
T. Gray D 90 6.91 — — 1 48 37% 2 — —
A. Perea M 60 6.03 — — 0 24 17% 1 — —
A. O'Neill M 90 6.69 — — 0 42 38% 7 — —
H. Wolf M 82 7.60 1 — 1 22 19% 0 — —
N. Fernández Mercau M 90 7.20 — — 3 31 23% 0 — —
A. Ojeda M 75 6.86 — 1 1 12 9% 1 — —
A. Martínez F 60 6.24 — — 3 14 10% 1 — —
B. Traoré F 15 6.21 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
J. Shore M 14 6.06 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
K. O'Toole D 45 6.45 — — 0 33 29% 0 — —
Luighi Hanri F 30 6.01 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
M. Jones F 8 6.46 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
Raul Gustavo D 30 6.07 — — 1 26 22% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an New York City FC win.