MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 09, 2026 20:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Chicago Fire, result New York Red Bulls vince
D. Nealis
87'
(og)
45'
(ast. E. Forsberg)
J. Ruvalcaba
49'
(ast. R. Donkor)
C. Cowell
(pen.)
81'
E. M. Choupo-Moting
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 66% win probability (draw 17%, New York Red Bulls 15%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–3 New York Red Bulls.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
1.48
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
3
21
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
18'
R. Voloder
45'
ast. E. Forsberg ·
J. Ruvalcaba⚽
46'
E. M. Choupo-Moting
/
J. Hall
49'
ast. R. Donkor ·
C. Cowell⚽
61'
G. Berggren
/
E. Forsberg
J. Bamba
/ P. Dithejane
62'
73'
R. Mosquera
/
C. Cowell
73'
O. Valencia
/
M. Dos Santos
A. Saletros
/ S. Oregel
80'
J. Dean
/ J. Shokalook
80'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
80'
80'
J. Che
/
R. Voloder
81'
(pen.)
E. M. Choupo-Moting⚽
M. Haile-Selassie
82'
82'
J. Ruvalcaba
M. Haile-Selassie
/ D. Borso
85'
⚽D. Nealis
(og)
87'
90'+6
O. Valencia
Pre-match prediction
66.66%
Chicago
17.85%
X
15.49%
New ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
15.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.94
0.91
-3.03
0.93
1.48
+0.55
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
24
Jonathan Dean
80'
D
Jonathan Dean
80'
D
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
80'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
80'
M
6
A. Saletros
80'
M
19
Jonathan Bamba
61'
M
Jonathan Bamba
61'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
85'
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
85'
M
11
Philip Zinckernagel
M
Philip Zinckernagel
M
9
Hugo Cuypers
F
Hugo Cuypers
F
Bench
27
Dylan Borso
13'
F
Dylan Borso
13'
F
20
Jason Shokalook
18'
F
Jason Shokalook
18'
F
22
Mauricio Pineda
18'
D
Mauricio Pineda
18'
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
12
Puso Dithejane
37'
F
Puso Dithejane
37'
F
35
S. Oregel
18'
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
34
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
73'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
73'
D
6
Robert Voloder
80'
D
Robert Voloder
80'
D
26
D
12
Dylan Nealis
1 ⚽
D
Dylan Nealis
1 ⚽
D
15
Adri Mehmeti
M
Adri Mehmeti
M
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
M
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
M
10
Emil Forsberg
1 👟
60'
M
Emil Forsberg
1 👟
60'
M
48
Ronald Donkor
1 👟
M
Ronald Donkor
1 👟
M
7
Cade Cowell
1 ⚽
73'
M
Cade Cowell
1 ⚽
73'
M
16
Julian Hall
45'
F
Julian Hall
45'
F
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
1 ⚽
53'
F
4
Gustav Berggren
38'
M
Gustav Berggren
38'
M
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
F
Mohammed Sofo
F
5
Omar Valencia
25'
D
Omar Valencia
25'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
Best on the pitch
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
· 44 pass
Dylan Nealis
D · New
7.60
1 ⚽
· 32 pass
Rafael Mosquera
F · New
7.30
1 shots
· 11 pass
Cade Cowell
M · New
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Jorge Ruvalcaba
M · New
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Dje Tah D'Avilla
M · Chicago
7.20
· 66 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 5 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 95 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Saletros | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Hugo Cuypers | F | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Borso | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Oregel | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | — | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | M | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | M | 73 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Hall | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. M. Choupo-Moting | F | 53 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–3 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an New York Red Bulls win.