Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 09, 2026 20:30
Chicago Fire
#3 · 26 pts
1 – 3
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#5 · 22 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Chicago Fire, result New York Red Bulls wins
D. Nealis 87' (og)
45' (ast. E. Forsberg) J. Ruvalcaba
49' (ast. R. Donkor) C. Cowell
(pen.) 81' E. M. Choupo-Moting
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 66% win probability (draw 17%, New York Red Bulls 15%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–3 New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
1.48
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
3
21
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
18'
R. Voloder
45'
ast. E. Forsberg · J. Ruvalcaba⚽
46'
E. M. Choupo-Moting / J. Hall ↕
49'
ast. R. Donkor · C. Cowell⚽
61'
G. Berggren / E. Forsberg ↕
↕ J. Bamba / P. Dithejane
62'
73'
R. Mosquera / C. Cowell ↕
73'
O. Valencia / M. Dos Santos ↕
↕ A. Saletros / S. Oregel
80'
↕ J. Dean / J. Shokalook
80'
↕ D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda
80'
80'
J. Che / R. Voloder ↕
81'
(pen.) E. M. Choupo-Moting⚽
M. Haile-Selassie
82'
82'
J. Ruvalcaba
↕ M. Haile-Selassie / D. Borso
85'
⚽D. Nealis (og)
87'
90'+6
O. Valencia
Pre-match prediction
66.66%
Chicago
17.85%
X
15.49%
New ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 15.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
3.94
0.91
-3.03
New
0.93
1.48
+0.55
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 14 33
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 14 26
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte Charlotte 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC New York City FC 15 19
9 DC United DC United 15 18
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 15 16
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 14 14
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 15 14
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 14 14
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 15 7
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.50
15 Andrew Gutman Andrew Gutman D 6.50
3 Jack Elliott Jack Elliott D 6.30
16 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman D 6.70
24 J. Dean J. Dean 80' D 6.70
42 T. D'Avilla T. D'Avilla 80' M 7.20
6 Anton Salétros Anton Salétros 80' M 7.20
19 Jonathan Bamba Jonathan Bamba 61' M 6.70
7 Maren Haile-Selassie Maren Haile-Selassie 85' M 6.70
11 P. Zinckernagel P. Zinckernagel M 6.70
9 H. Cuypers H. Cuypers F 6.70
Bench
27 Dylan Borso Dylan Borso 13' F 6.70
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook 18' F 6.30
22 Mauricio Pineda Mauricio Pineda 18' D 6.50
4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi Mbekezeli Mbokazi D
12 P. Dithejane P. Dithejane 37' F 6.60
35
S. Oregel 18' M 6.50
14 Viktor Radojević Viktor Radojević D
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-1-4-1
34
G 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 73' D 6.90
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder 80' D 6.90
26
D 6.70
12 Dylan Nealis Dylan Nealis 1 ⚽ D 7.60
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti M 7.60
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 1 ⚽ M 7.30
10 Emil Forsberg Emil Forsberg 1 👟 60' M 6.60
48 Ronald Donkor Ronald Donkor 1 👟 M 6.30
7 Cade Cowell Cade Cowell 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.30
16 J. Hall J. Hall 45' F 6.20
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting 1 ⚽ 53' F 6.90
4 Gustav Berggren Gustav Berggren 38' M 6.60
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D
37 Mohammed Sofo Mohammed Sofo F
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 25' D 6.20
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 25' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
· 44 pass
Dylan Nealis
Dylan Nealis
D · New
7.60
1 ⚽
· 32 pass
Rafael Mosquera
Rafael Mosquera
F · New
7.30
1 shots · 11 pass
Cade Cowell
Cade Cowell
M · New
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
M · New
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
T. D'Avilla
T. D'Avilla
M · Chicago
7.20
· 66 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 5.50 — — — 30 27% — — —
Andrew Gutman D 98 6.50 — — — 51 39% 5 — —
Jack Elliott D 98 6.30 — — 1 93 80% 3 — —
Joel Waterman D 98 6.70 — — — 95 83% 1 — —
J. Dean D 80 6.70 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
T. D'Avilla M 80 7.20 — — — 66 58% 2 — —
Anton Salétros M 80 7.20 — — — 64 59% 2 — —
Jonathan Bamba M 61 6.70 — — 1 27 17% 1 — —
Maren Haile-Selassie M 85 6.70 — — 1 32 28% 2 1 —
P. Zinckernagel M 98 6.70 — — 2 38 29% 2 — —
H. Cuypers F 98 6.70 — — 2 19 13% — — —
Dylan Borso F 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Jason Shokalook F 18 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Mauricio Pineda D 18 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
P. Dithejane F 37 6.60 — — 1 2 2% — — —
S. Oregel M 18 6.50 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.90 — — — 30 14% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 73 6.90 — — — 31 21% 3 — —
Robert Voloder D 80 6.90 — — — 37 30% — 1 —
D 98 6.70 — — — 31 23% — — —
Dylan Nealis D 98 7.60 1 — — 32 27% 2 — —
Adri Mehmeti M 98 7.60 — — — 44 38% 2 — —
J. Ruvalcaba M 98 7.30 1 — 1 23 18% — 1 —
Emil Forsberg M 60 6.60 — 1 1 15 11% — — —
Ronald Donkor M 98 6.30 — 1 — 35 26% — — —
Cade Cowell M 73 7.30 1 — 2 12 11% 1 — —
J. Hall F 45 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
E. M. Choupo-Moting F 53 6.90 1 — 2 9 6% — — —
Gustav Berggren M 38 6.60 — — 1 7 6% 2 — —
Omar Valencia D 25 6.20 — — — 5 5% 1 1 —
Rafael Mosquera F 25 7.30 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–3 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an New York Red Bulls win.