MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 17, 2026 00:00
R. Lod
(ast. A. Gutman)
9'
D. D'Avilla
(ast. M. Haile-Selassie)
14'
85'
(ast. B. Bye)
F. Surman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Portland Timbers 23%). The final result was Chicago Fire 2–1 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
1.48
Actual xG
1.06
1
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
0
Corners
4
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Lod
· ast. A. Gutman
9'
⚽D. D'Avilla
· ast. M. Haile-Selassie
14'
51'
B. Bye
R. Lod
57'
R. Lewandowski
/ J. Bamba
60'
P. Zinckernagel
/ P. Dithejane
60'
61'
A. Lassiter
/
Antony
61'
J. Ortiz
/
C. Bassett
L. Barroso
/ J. Dean
72'
76'
V. Janssen
/
D. Da Costa
76'
J. Caicedo
/
D. Chara
A. Saletros
79'
A. Saletros
/ M. Pineda
82'
85'
ast. B. Bye ·
F. Surman⚽
88'
O. Fernandez
/
K. Miller
90'+4
V. Janssen
Pre-match prediction
55.53%
Chicago ←
21.34%
X
23.14%
Portland
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
55.53%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
1.48
-0.41
1.20
1.06
-0.14
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
A. Gutman
1 👟
D
A. Gutman
1 👟
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
5
S. Rogers
D
S. Rogers
D
2
Leonardo Barroso
72'
D
Leonardo Barroso
72'
D
42
T. D'Avilla
1 ⚽
M
T. D'Avilla
1 ⚽
M
6
A. Salétros
82'
M
A. Salétros
82'
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
1 👟
M
M. Haile-Selassie
1 👟
M
17
R. Lod
1 ⚽
M
R. Lod
1 ⚽
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
60'
M
P. Zinckernagel
60'
M
9
R. Lewandowski
60'
F
R. Lewandowski
60'
F
Bench
38
Christopher Cupps
D
29
D. Poręba
M
D. Poręba
M
19
J. Bamba
35'
F
J. Bamba
35'
F
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
24
J. Dean
23'
D
J. Dean
23'
D
16
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
22
M. Pineda
13'
D
M. Pineda
13'
D
12
P. Dithejane
35'
F
P. Dithejane
35'
F
14
V. Radojević
D
V. Radojević
D
41
J. Pantemis
G
J. Pantemis
G
27
J. Fory
D
J. Fory
D
4
K. Miller
88'
D
K. Miller
88'
D
20
F. Surman
1 ⚽
D
F. Surman
1 ⚽
D
5
Brandon Bye
1 👟
D
Brandon Bye
1 👟
D
10
David Pereira da Costa
76'
M
David Pereira da Costa
76'
M
21
D. Chará
76'
M
D. Chará
76'
M
11
Antony
61'
M
Antony
61'
M
17
C. Bassett
61'
M
C. Bassett
61'
M
99
K. Velde
M
K. Velde
M
19
K. Kelsy
F
K. Kelsy
F
Bench
7
A. Lassiter
34'
F
A. Lassiter
34'
F
88
Andrew Guerra
F
Andrew Guerra
F
15
E. Miller
D
E. Miller
D
30
J. Caicedo
19'
M
J. Caicedo
19'
M
80
J. Ortiz
34'
M
J. Ortiz
34'
M
22
O. Fernandez
7'
F
O. Fernandez
7'
F
25
T. Muse
G
T. Muse
G
14
V. Janssen
19'
F
V. Janssen
19'
F
18
Zac McGraw
D
Zac McGraw
D
Best on the pitch
T. D'Avilla
M · Chicago
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
R. Lod
M · Chicago
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Leonardo Barroso
D · Chicago
7.30
· 24 pass
David Pereira da Costa
M · Portland
7.30
1 shots
· 67 pass
F. Surman
D · Portland
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 85 pass
D. Chará
M · Portland
7.20
· 40 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| S. Rogers | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lod | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Bamba | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pantemis | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Fory | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Miller | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Surman | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 85 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Bye | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Pereira da Costa | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chará | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 61 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| C. Bassett | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Velde | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| K. Kelsy | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Lassiter | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ortiz | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Fernandez | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| V. Janssen | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Chicago Fire 2–1 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an Portland Timbers win.