Chicago Fire - Santos Laguna
Leagues Cup
August 10, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.92%
Win
Chicago Fire
29.51%
Draw
28.58%
Win
Santos Laguna
2.19
1.19
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.09%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
58%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chicago Fire a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Santos Laguna. Expected goals are 2.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.2 for Santos Laguna (total 3.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.09% probability.
Season Stats
8W
1D
6L
3W
2D
10L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.2
1.5
Conceded
2.0
5.0
Shots OT
3.3
4.1
Corners
4.3
53%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
80%
O 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
5W
0D
4L
· at home
1W
1D
8L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
2.9
56%
Win %
10%
56%
Win or Draw
20%
78%
O 1.5
100%
78%
O 2.5
90%
33%
O 3.5
60%
56%
BTTS
70%
44%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Chicago Fire
Santos Laguna →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chicago Fire
Attack
49
Defence
54
Form
50
Santos Laguna
Attack
30
Defence
67
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna?
The model gives Chicago Fire a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Santos Laguna win.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna?
Expected goals: Chicago Fire 2.2, Santos Laguna 1.2 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.09%.