Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
October 07, 2026 02:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.61%
Win
Chicago Fire
22.01%
Draw
35.38%
Win
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.06
1.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(7.82%)
1X2 Result
✓ 69.2% hit rate (26 picks)
1
43%
X
22%
2
35%
Double Chance
✓ 88.5% hit rate (26 picks)
1X
65%
X2
57%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
68%
✓ 73.1% hit rate (67 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chicago Fire a 42% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Vancouver Whitecaps. Expected goals are 2.1 for Chicago Fire and 1.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps (total 4.0), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.82% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
8W
4D
3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.3
1.4
Conceded
1.1
4.9
Shots OT
6.9
4.3
Corners
5.3
53%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
73%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
66%
BTTS
6W
0D
3L
· at home
3W
3D
2L
· away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
1.1
Conceded
1.5
67%
Win %
38%
67%
Win or Draw
75%
78%
O 1.5
75%
78%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
56%
BTTS
75%
44%
Clean Sht
13%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chicago Fire
Attack
51
Defence
59
Form
54
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack
48
Defence
67
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
18 | 40 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
18 | 38 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
18 | 30 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
17 | 29 |
| 5 |
New York City FC
|
18 | 26 |
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
|
18 | 26 |
| 7 |
Charlotte
|
18 | 25 |
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
18 | 25 |
| 9 |
DC United
|
18 | 23 |
| 10 |
Orlando City SC
|
18 | 20 |
| 11 |
Columbus Crew
|
18 | 20 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
18 | 17 |
| 13 |
Philadelphia Union
|
18 | 16 |
| 14 |
CF Montreal
|
18 | 16 |
| 15 |
Atlanta United FC
|
18 | 12 |
What's at stake · Eastern Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Chicago Fire | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Vancouver Whitecaps | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model gives Chicago Fire a 42% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 35% for an Vancouver Whitecaps win.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Expected goals: Chicago Fire 2.1, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.9 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.82%.