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Chico - Alianza Valledupar

Liga BetPlay September 29, 2026 22:00
#7 · 0 pts
vs
#13 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.69%
Win
Chico
30.76%
Draw
26.55%
Win
Alianza Valledupar
1.06
Expected xG
0.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.62%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1 43%
X 31%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 57%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 40%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chico a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Alianza Valledupar. Expected goals are 1.1 for Chico and 0.8 for Alianza Valledupar (total 1.8), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chico have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar.

Season Stats

Chico
4W 1D 10L
Alianza Valledupar
3W 6D 6L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
0.9
2.1
Conceded
1.3
3.0
Shots OT
2.5
3.7
Corners
4.1
46%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
16%
O 3.5
31%
BTTS
Chico
5W 1D 3L · at home
Alianza Valledupar
1W 3D 6L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.6
0.6
Conceded
1.8
56%
Win %
10%
67%
Win or Draw
40%
44%
O 1.5
70%
33%
O 2.5
40%
11%
O 3.5
20%
22%
BTTS
40%
44%
Clean Sht
10%
33%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chico Alianza Valledupar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0% 12.4% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3%
2 9.0% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
3 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Santa Fe 2–0
L America de Cali 7–0
W Llaneros 3–0
L Internacional de Bogota 4–0
L Independiente Medellin 2–0
L Bucaramanga 2–3
L Deportes Tolima 1–2
D Fortaleza FC 1–1
D Millonarios 2–2
D Llaneros 0–0

Playing profile

Chico Chico
Attack
28
Defence
57
Form
35
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
Attack
28
Defence
63
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chico
1
Draw
0
Alianza Valledupar
28 Jan 2026 Liga BetPlay 1–1

Primera Division: Clausura

What's at stake · Primera Division: Clausura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Chico Alianza Valledupar
Current #7 #13
Chico #7 #13
Draw #7 #8
Alianza Valledupar #8 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model gives Chico a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 26% for an Alianza Valledupar win.
How many goals are expected in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Expected goals: Chico 1.1, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.62%.