Chico - Alianza Valledupar
Liga BetPlay
September 29, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.69%
Win
Chico
30.76%
Draw
26.55%
Win
Alianza Valledupar
1.06
0.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(17.62%)
1X2 Result
✓ 70.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1
43%
X
31%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
57%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
40%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (10 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chico a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Alianza Valledupar. Expected goals are 1.1 for Chico and 0.8 for Alianza Valledupar (total 1.8), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chico have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar.
Season Stats
4W
1D
10L
3W
6D
6L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
0.9
2.1
Conceded
1.3
3.0
Shots OT
2.5
3.7
Corners
4.1
46%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
16%
O 3.5
31%
BTTS
5W
1D
3L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.6
0.6
Conceded
1.8
56%
Win %
10%
67%
Win or Draw
40%
44%
O 1.5
70%
33%
O 2.5
40%
11%
O 3.5
20%
22%
BTTS
40%
44%
Clean Sht
10%
33%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Chico
Alianza Valledupar →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Chico
Attack
28
Defence
57
Form
35
Alianza Valledupar
Attack
28
Defence
63
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
28 Jan 2026
1–1
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
America de Cali
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Cali
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Independiente Medellin
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Deportes Tolima
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Bucaramanga
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Llaneros
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Chico
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Santa Fe
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Atletico Nacional
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Cucuta
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Once Caldas
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Águilas Doradas
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Alianza Valledupar
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Fortaleza FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Junior
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Millonarios
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Internacional de Bogota
|
1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Jaguares
|
1 | 0 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Clausura
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #7 | #13 |
| → Chico | #7 | #13 |
| → Draw | #7 | #8 |
| → Alianza Valledupar | #8 | #7 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model gives Chico a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 26% for an Alianza Valledupar win.
How many goals are expected in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Expected goals: Chico 1.1, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.62%.