Chico - Atletico Nacional
Liga BetPlay
July 25, 2026 23:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.9%
Win
Chico
27.34%
Draw
35.76%
Win
Atletico Nacional
1.17
1.03
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.62%)
1X2 Result
✓ 66.7% hit rate (18 picks)
1
37%
X
27%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
63%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
✓ 80.0% hit rate (10 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chico a 36% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Nacional. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chico and 1.0 for Atletico Nacional (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chico have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Season Stats
5W
1D
9L
10W
1D
4L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.0
3.3
Shots OT
5.7
3.9
Corners
4.9
47%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
16%
O 3.5
31%
BTTS
5W
1D
3L
· at home
6W
0D
4L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
0.6
Conceded
1.3
56%
Win %
60%
67%
Win or Draw
60%
44%
O 1.5
70%
33%
O 2.5
70%
11%
O 3.5
20%
22%
BTTS
40%
44%
Clean Sht
20%
33%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Chico
Atletico Nacional →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chico
Attack
28
Defence
57
Form
35
Atletico Nacional
Attack
43
Defence
66
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
18 Jan 2026
0–4
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
America de Cali
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Cali
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Independiente Medellin
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Deportes Tolima
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Bucaramanga
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Llaneros
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Chico
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Santa Fe
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Atletico Nacional
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Cucuta
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Once Caldas
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Águilas Doradas
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Alianza Valledupar
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Fortaleza FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Deportivo Pasto
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Junior
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Millonarios
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Deportivo Pereira
|
1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Internacional de Bogota
|
1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Jaguares
|
1 | 0 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Clausura
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #7 | #1 |
| → Chico | #7 | #9 |
| → Draw | #7 | #8 |
| → Atletico Nacional | #8 | #7 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
The model gives Chico a 36% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 35% for an Atletico Nacional win.
How many goals are expected in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Expected goals: Chico 1.2, Atletico Nacional 1.0 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.62%.