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Chico - Atletico Nacional

Liga BetPlay October 17, 2026 21:00
Chico
#13 · 11 pts
vs
Atletico Nacional
#1 · 40 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.61%
Win
Chico
22.1%
Draw
54.29%
Win
Atletico Nacional
1.04
Expected xG
1.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (10.88%)
1X2 Result
1 24%
X 22%
2 54%
Double Chance
1X 46%
X2 76%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
✓ 58.6% hit rate (29 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Nacional a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Chico. Expected goals are 1.0 for Chico and 1.8 for Atletico Nacional (total 2.9), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 10.88% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chico have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Nacional.

Season Stats

Chico
5W 2D 8L
Atletico Nacional
11W 1D 3L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
2.1
1.9
Conceded
1.0
3.1
Shots OT
6.4
4.9
Corners
6.5
44%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Chico
7W 2D 1L · at home
Atletico Nacional
6W 0D 4L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.6
0.5
Conceded
1.2
70%
Win %
60%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chico Atletico Nacional →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 10.3% 9.5% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.0% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Chico Chico
W Deportivo Pasto 3–0
L Millonarios 3–0
L Alianza Valledupar 1–2
W Independiente Medellin 2–1
W Once Caldas 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
D Millonarios 1–1
L Llaneros 2–0
W Internacional de Bogota 2–3
W Águilas Doradas 2–0
W Alianza Valledupar 1–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Chico Chico
Attack
33
Defence
61
Form
52
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Attack
50
Defence
70
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chico
0
Draw
1
Atletico Nacional
18 Jan 2026 Liga BetPlay 0–4

Clausura

# Team G Pts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 11 24
2 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 10 20
3 Millonarios Millonarios 12 20
4 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 9 19
5 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 9 19
6 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 10 18
7 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 10 17
8 Santa Fe Santa Fe 10 16
9 Llaneros Llaneros 10 14
10 Once Caldas Once Caldas 11 12
11 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 9 11
12 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 11 11
13 Chico Chico 10 11
14 Cucuta Cucuta 10 9
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 10 8
16 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 11 8
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 10 8
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 8 7
19 Jaguares Jaguares 9 7
20 Junior Junior 8 6

What's at stake · Clausura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Chico Atletico Nacional
Current #13 #1
→ Chico #10 #4
→ Draw #11 #2
→ Atletico Nacional #13 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
The model gives Chico a 23% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 54% for an Atletico Nacional win.
How many goals are expected in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Expected goals: Chico 1.0, Atletico Nacional 1.8 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.88%.