Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 02, 2026 21:00
J. Diaz
(ast. J. Jordan)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chico a 43% win probability (draw 32%, Deportivo Pereira 24%). The final result was Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.21
Actual xG
0.29
56%
Possession
44%
8
Corners
0
6
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
8'
Nicolas Rengifo
Juan Diaz
10'
Arlen Banguero
45'+3
Y. Martinez
/ O. Caicedo
46'
Oscar Caicedo
51'
55'
Richard Rentería
A. Saldana
/ D. Ruiz
57'
60'
Eber Moreno
I. Montano
/ J. Jordan
68'
70'
Y. Quinones
/
S. Acosta
A. Banguero
/ A. Aedo
72'
⚽J. Diaz
· ast. J. Jordan
76'
77'
J. Largacha
/
W. Pacheco
78'
M. Diaz
/
M. Aguirre
85'
T. Bovone
/
R. Renteria
88'
Jorge Bermúdez
90'+1
Jhon Largacha
Delio Ramírez
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
43.17%
Chico ←
32.79%
X
24.04%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Chico)
43.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.21
-0.1
0.94
0.29
-0.66
Chico dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
13
Y. Martinez
45'
D
24
A. Banguero
72'
D
A. Banguero
72'
D
25
Sebastián Palma
D
Sebastián Palma
D
2
A. Saldana
57'
D
28
J. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
J. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
3
Juan Quiceno
M
Juan Quiceno
M
20
M
11
D. Ramírez
M
D. Ramírez
M
7
Italo Montaño Cortes
68'
M
Italo Montaño Cortes
68'
M
9
J. Molina
F
J. Molina
F
Bench
6
A. Aedo
18'
F
29
D. Ruiz
33'
D
17
Oscar Caicedo
45'
M
1
25
D
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
2
S. Urrea
D
S. Urrea
D
29
R. Renteria
20
J. Monroy
D
J. Monroy
D
3
N. Rengifo
M
N. Rengifo
M
5
J. Bermúdez
M
J. Bermúdez
M
21
W. Pacheco
77'
M
W. Pacheco
77'
M
19
M. Aguirre
78'
F
M. Aguirre
78'
F
10
S. Acosta
71'
F
S. Acosta
71'
F
Bench
11
J. Largacha
13'
F
J. Largacha
13'
F
88
J. Quiñones
19'
F
J. Quiñones
19'
F
24
Juan Urrea
F
37
M. Diaz
12'
F
M. Diaz
12'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Díaz
M · Chico
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 60 pass
Juan Quiceno
M · Chico
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Sebastián Palma
D · Chico
7.20
1 shots
· 42 pass
Eber Moreno
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 23 pass
J. Bermúdez
M · Deportivo
7.00
· 38 pass
G · Chico
6.90
· 12 pass
Chico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Y. Martinez | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Banguero | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Palma | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saldana | D | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 60 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Quiceno | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Italo Montaño Cortes | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Molina | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Aedo | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ruiz | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Caicedo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Eber Moreno | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Urrea | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| R. Renteria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Monroy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bermúdez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| W. Pacheco | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Acosta | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Largacha | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Quiñones | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Diaz | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Chico win, 32% to a draw, and 24% to an Deportivo Pereira win.