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← Serie D - Girone F

Chieti - Recanatese

Serie D - Girone F May 17, 2026 16:00 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Chieti
#14 · 35 pts
vs
Recanatese
#1 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.7°C 💨 12 km/h · Chieti
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.54%
Win
Chieti
32.51%
Draw
32.96%
Win
Recanatese
1.09
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.4%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 38%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chieti a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Recanatese. Expected goals are 1.1 for Chieti and 1.1 for Recanatese (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Chieti have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Recanatese.

Season Stats

Chieti
5W 4D 6L
Recanatese
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone F. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Chieti
5W 3D 2L · at home
Recanatese
2W 2D 6L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
40%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chieti Recanatese →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 12.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Chieti Chieti
W Maceratese 1–0
W Vigor Senigallia 2–3
W Real Giulianova 1–0
D Unipomezia 0–0
L Ostia Mare 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Recanatese Recanatese
W Victor San Marino 4–1
W Fossombrone 2–0
D Teramo 2–2
W Sora 2–0
L Maceratese 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Chieti Chieti
Attack
26
Defence
76
Form
52
Recanatese Recanatese
Attack
36
Defence
73
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Chieti
0
Draw
1
Recanatese
29 Mar 2026 Serie D - Girone F 2–1
16 Nov 2025 Serie D - Girone F 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Teramo Teramo 1 3
1 Recanatese Recanatese 1 3
1 Ostia Mare Ostia Mare 34 79
2 Victor San Marino Victor San Marino 1 0
2 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 1 0
2 Ancona Ancona 34 76
3 Teramo Teramo 34 74
4 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 34 55
5 Notaresco Notaresco 34 51
6 L'Aquila L'Aquila 34 51
7 Real Giulianova Real Giulianova 34 49
8 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia 34 49
9 Fossombrone Fossombrone 34 44
10 Unipomezia Unipomezia 34 42
11 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio 34 39
12 Maceratese Maceratese 34 38
13 Sora Sora 34 38
14 Chieti Chieti 34 35
15 Recanatese Recanatese 34 32
16 Victor San Marino Victor San Marino 34 31
17 Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo Calcio 34 23
18 Sammaurese Sammaurese 34 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chieti vs Recanatese?
The model gives Chieti a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Recanatese win.
How many goals are expected in Chieti vs Recanatese?
Expected goals: Chieti 1.1, Recanatese 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Chieti vs Recanatese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.