← Serie D - Girone F

Chieti - Recanatese

Serie D - Girone F May 17, 2026 16:00
Chieti
#14 · 35 pts
vs
Recanatese
#15 · 32 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 18.3°C 💨 14 km/h · Chieti
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.92%
Win
Chieti
32.48%
Draw
32.59%
Win
Recanatese
1.1
Expected xG
1.1

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chieti a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Recanatese. Expected goals are 1.1 for Chieti and 1.1 for Recanatese (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Chieti have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Recanatese.

Score Matrix
↕ Chieti Recanatese →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Chieti Chieti
W Maceratese 1–0
W Vigor Senigallia 2–3
W Real Giulianova 1–0
D Unipomezia 0–0
L Ostia Mare 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 47%
Recanatese Recanatese
W Fossombrone 2–0
D Teramo 2–2
W Sora 2–0
L Maceratese 2–1
W Vigor Senigallia 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Chieti Chieti
Attack
26
Defence
76
Form
51
Recanatese Recanatese
Attack
36
Defence
73
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Chieti
0
Draw
1
Recanatese
W 29 Mar 2026 Serie D - Girone F 2–1
L 16 Nov 2025 Serie D - Girone F 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Teramo Teramo 1 3
1 Ostia Mare Ostia Mare 34 79
2 Ancona Ancona 34 76
2 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 1 0
3 Teramo Teramo 34 74
4 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 34 55
5 Notaresco Notaresco 34 51
6 L'Aquila L'Aquila 34 51
7 Real Giulianova Real Giulianova 34 49
8 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia 34 49
9 Fossombrone Fossombrone 34 44
10 Unipomezia Unipomezia 34 42
11 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio 34 39
12 Maceratese Maceratese 34 38
13 Sora Sora 34 38
14 Chieti Chieti 34 35
15 Recanatese Recanatese 34 32
16 Victor San Marino Victor San Marino 34 31
17 Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo Calcio 34 23
18 Sammaurese Sammaurese 34 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chieti vs Recanatese?
The model gives Chieti a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Recanatese win.
How many goals are expected in Chieti vs Recanatese?
Expected goals: Chieti 1.1, Recanatese 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Chieti vs Recanatese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.