Skip to main content
← Serie D - Girone F

Chieti - Recanatese

Serie D - Girone F May 17, 2026 16:00 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Chieti
vs
Recanatese
#11 · 6 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.7°C 💨 12 km/h · Chieti
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.54%
Win
Chieti
32.51%
Draw
32.96%
Win
Recanatese
1.09
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.4%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 38%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chieti a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Recanatese. Expected goals are 1.1 for Chieti and 1.1 for Recanatese (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Chieti have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Recanatese.

Season Stats

Chieti
5W 4D 6L
Recanatese
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone F. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Chieti
5W 3D 2L · at home
Recanatese
2W 2D 6L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
40%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chieti Recanatese →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 12.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Chieti Chieti
W Maceratese 1–0
W Vigor Senigallia 2–3
W Real Giulianova 1–0
D Unipomezia 0–0
L Ostia Mare 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Recanatese Recanatese
L Lanciano FC 4–1
D Montecchio Gallo 0–0
W Foligno Calcio 4–1
D Santegidiese 1–1
D Pietralunga 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Chieti Chieti
Attack
26
Defence
76
Form
52
Recanatese Recanatese
Attack
29
Defence
61
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Chieti
0
Draw
1
Recanatese
29 Mar 2026 Serie D - Girone F 2–1
16 Nov 2025 Serie D - Girone F 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia 5 13
2 L'Aquila L'Aquila 5 11
3 Teramo Teramo 5 10
4 Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio 5 10
5 Ancona Ancona 5 8
6 Santegidiese Santegidiese 5 8
7 Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo 5 8
8 Lanciano FC Lanciano FC 5 7
9 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 5 7
10 Fossombrone Fossombrone 5 7
11 Recanatese Recanatese 5 6
12 Notaresco Notaresco 5 5
13 Real Giulianova Real Giulianova 5 4
14 Maceratese Maceratese 5 4
15 Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina 5 4
16 Angelana Angelana 5 4
17 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio 5 4
18 Pietralunga Pietralunga 5 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chieti vs Recanatese?
The model gives Chieti a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Recanatese win.
How many goals are expected in Chieti vs Recanatese?
Expected goals: Chieti 1.1, Recanatese 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Chieti vs Recanatese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.