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← Friendlies Internazionali

China - New Zealand

Friendlies Internazionali September 27, 2026 13:35
China
vs
New Zealand
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.78%
Win
China
30.83%
Draw
30.39%
Win
New Zealand
1.65
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.76%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives China a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for New Zealand. Expected goals are 1.7 for China and 0.9 for New Zealand (total 2.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.76% probability.

Season Stats

China
1W 2D 0L
New Zealand
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
2.5
4.5
Shots OT
2.0
10.5
Corners
4.5
52%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
China
0W 1D 0L · at home
New Zealand
0W 0D 2L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.0
0.0
Conceded
2.5
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
100%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ China New Zealand →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 12.7% 11.6% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

China China
D Thailand 0–0
W Singapore 1–2
D Uzbekistan 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
New Zealand New Zealand
L England 1–0
L Haiti 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

China China
Attack
38
Defence
82
Form
57
New Zealand New Zealand
Attack
11
Defence
42
Form
24
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win China vs New Zealand?
The model gives China a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an New Zealand win.
How many goals are expected in China vs New Zealand?
Expected goals: China 1.7, New Zealand 0.9 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in China vs New Zealand?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.76%.