China - Tajikistan
Friendlies Internazionali
October 06, 2026 13:35
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.89%
Win
China
31.3%
Draw
32.81%
Win
Tajikistan
1.4
1.15
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.38%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
31%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
64%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives China a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Tajikistan. Expected goals are 1.4 for China and 1.1 for Tajikistan (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.38% probability. In 1 previous meetings, China have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tajikistan.
Season Stats
1W
2D
0L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
4.5
Shots OT
2.5
10.5
Corners
5.0
52%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ China
Tajikistan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
China
Attack
38
Defence
82
Form
57
Tajikistan
Attack
36
Defence
75
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
13 Jan 2024
0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win China vs Tajikistan?
The model gives China a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Tajikistan win.
How many goals are expected in China vs Tajikistan?
Expected goals: China 1.4, Tajikistan 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in China vs Tajikistan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.38%.