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China - Turkmenistan

Friendlies Internazionali October 02, 2026 13:35
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
China
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Turkmenistan
1.32
Expected xG
1.03

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.02%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives China a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Turkmenistan. Expected goals are 1.3 for China and 1.0 for Turkmenistan (total 2.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.02% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ China Turkmenistan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Tajikistan 0–1
L Palestine 0–5
L New Zealand 0–3
W Maldives 3–0
D Thailand 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
No data available

Playing profile

China China
Attack
32
Defence
61
Form
42
Turkmenistan Turkmenistan
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win China vs Turkmenistan?
The model gives China a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Turkmenistan win.
How many goals are expected in China vs Turkmenistan?
Expected goals: China 1.3, Turkmenistan 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in China vs Turkmenistan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.02%.