Chippenham Town - Yate Town
FA Cup
September 22, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.39%
Win
Chippenham Town
29.89%
Draw
29.72%
Win
Yate Town
1.69
0.97
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.08%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chippenham Town a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Yate Town. Expected goals are 1.7 for Chippenham Town and 1.0 for Yate Town (total 2.7), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.08% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chippenham Town have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Yate Town.
Season Stats
3W
2D
1L
1W
2D
1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.8
1.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
75%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Chippenham Town
Yate Town →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chippenham Town
Attack
34
Defence
76
Form
53
Yate Town
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
18 Sep 2026
0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
The model gives Chippenham Town a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Yate Town win.
How many goals are expected in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
Expected goals: Chippenham Town 1.7, Yate Town 1.0 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.08%.