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Liga 1 · Clausura - 14 October 29, 2026 01:00 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cienciano
#3 · 33 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Atletico Grau
#11 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
Carlos Garcés (ast. Matias Succar) 53'
Carlos Garcés (ast. Cristian Souza) 73'
Carlos Garcés (ast. Cristian Souza) 77'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 78% win probability (draw 12%, Atletico Grau 9%). The final result was Cienciano 3–0 Atletico Grau. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Grau.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
0
1.70
Actual xG
0.37
0
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
7
Corners
5
7
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
Paulo De La Cruz
Ademar Robles
38'
45'+6
↕ Ray Sandoval / Matias Succar
45'
↕ Ademar Robles / Gerson Barreto
45'
⚽Carlos Garcés · ast. Matias Succar
53'
57'
Lucas Acevedo / Yamir Ruidiaz Misitich ↕
57'
Luis Benites / Pablo Lavandeira ↕
58'
Aldair Vásquez / Paulo De La Cruz ↕
67'
Nicolás Delgadillo / Gabriel Alfaro ↕
67'
Adrián Fernández / Mauro Da Luz ↕
⚽Carlos Garcés · ast. Cristian Souza
73'
⚽Carlos Garcés · ast. Cristian Souza
77'
↕ Carlos Cabello / Claudio Nuñez
79'
↕ Neri Bandiera / Gonzalo Aguirre
79'
↕ Cristian Souza / Didier La Torre
83'
90'+2
Rafael Guarderas
Pre-match prediction
78.06%
Cienciano ←
12.76%
X
9.18%
Atletico
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano) 78.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cienciano
2.96
1.70
-1.26
Atletico
0.75
0.37
-0.38
Cienciano dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
Cienciano Cienciano 4-2-3-1
1 G. Falcón G. Falcón G 6.32
16 M. Martinich M. Martinich D 6.30
3 K. Becerra K. Becerra D 6.22
4 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain D 6.91
22 C. Cabello C. Cabello 79' D 6.83
29 A. Robles A. Robles 45' M 7.01
5 S. Arias S. Arias M 7.20
11 N. Bandiera N. Bandiera 79' M 6.37
17 R. Sandoval R. Sandoval 45' M 6.73
7 C. Souza C. Souza 2 👟 83' M 8.60
21 C. Garcés C. Garcés 3 ⚽ F 9.27
Bench
13 C. Núñez C. Núñez 11' D 6.55
18 D. La Torre D. La Torre 7' F 6.61
8 G. Aguirre G. Aguirre 11' M 6.58
88 G. Barreto G. Barreto 45' M 7.18
39 H. Caparó H. Caparó M 0.00
31 Í. Espinoza Í. Espinoza G 0.00
19 M. Succar M. Succar 1 👟 45' F 6.82
26 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar D 0.00
14 S. Cavero S. Cavero D 0.00
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-2-3-1
1 P. Álvarez P. Álvarez G 5.79
25 G. Alfaro G. Alfaro 67' D 5.45
3 I. Tapia I. Tapia D 5.34
27 R. Tapia R. Tapia D 6.51
4 D. Rodríguez D. Rodríguez D 6.20
21 E. Correa E. Correa M 5.97
5 R. Guarderas R. Guarderas M 4.94
77 M. da Luz M. da Luz 67' M 6.27
15 P. Lavandeira P. Lavandeira 57' M 6.28
10 P. de la Cruz P. de la Cruz 58' M 5.50
24 Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich 57' F 6.75
Bench
99 A. Fernández A. Fernández 23' F 6.48
20 A. Vásquez A. Vásquez 32' M 5.81
7 D. Barreto D. Barreto M 0.00
13 F. Oncoy F. Oncoy M 0.00
16 J. Ataupillco J. Ataupillco D 0.00
33 J. Calderón J. Calderón G 0.00
2 L. Acevedo L. Acevedo 33' D 5.89
96 L. Benítes L. Benítes 33' M 5.92
11 N. Delgadillo N. Delgadillo 23' F 6.65
Best on the pitch
C. Garcés
C. Garcés
F · Cienciano
9.27
3 ⚽
4 shots · 20 pass
C. Souza
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
8.60
2 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
S. Arias
S. Arias
M · Cienciano
7.20
4 shots · 66 pass
G. Barreto
G. Barreto
M · Cienciano
7.18
· 31 pass
A. Robles
A. Robles
M · Cienciano
7.01
· 29 pass
M. Amondarain
M. Amondarain
D · Cienciano
6.91
· 44 pass
Cienciano Cienciano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Falcón G 90 6.32 — — 0 23 20% 0 — —
M. Martinich D 90 6.30 — — 2 41 29% 1 — —
K. Becerra D 90 6.22 — — 2 45 36% 0 — —
M. Amondarain D 90 6.91 — — 0 44 34% 1 — —
C. Cabello D 79 6.83 — — 0 37 30% 1 — —
A. Robles M 45 7.01 — — 0 29 26% 0 1 —
S. Arias M 90 7.20 — — 4 66 57% 3 — —
N. Bandiera M 79 6.37 — — 2 6 3% 1 — —
R. Sandoval M 45 6.73 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
C. Souza M 83 8.60 — 2 2 34 27% 0 — —
C. Garcés F 90 9.27 3 — 4 20 14% 0 — —
C. Núñez D 11 6.55 — — 1 17 16% 0 — —
D. La Torre F 7 6.61 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
G. Aguirre M 11 6.58 — — 0 13 13% 0 — —
G. Barreto M 45 7.18 — — 0 31 28% 0 — —
M. Succar F 45 6.82 — 1 2 7 4% 0 — —
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Álvarez G 90 5.79 — — 0 37 21% 0 — —
G. Alfaro D 67 5.45 — — 0 21 14% 2 — —
I. Tapia D 90 5.34 — — 0 31 18% 2 — —
R. Tapia D 90 6.51 — — 1 11 10% 5 — —
D. Rodríguez D 90 6.20 — — 0 17 11% 0 — —
E. Correa M 90 5.97 — — 0 25 20% 1 — —
R. Guarderas M 90 4.94 — — 0 30 19% 0 1 —
M. da Luz M 67 6.27 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
P. Lavandeira M 57 6.28 — — 1 17 9% 1 — —
P. de la Cruz M 58 5.50 — — 1 14 8% 0 1 —
Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich F 57 6.75 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
A. Fernández F 23 6.48 — — 1 9 5% 0 — —
A. Vásquez M 32 5.81 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
L. Acevedo D 33 5.89 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
L. Benítes M 33 5.92 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
N. Delgadillo F 23 6.65 — — 0 5 2% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
The final score was Cienciano 3–0 Atletico Grau.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
The model assigned 78% probability to a Cienciano win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an Atletico Grau win.