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Cienciano - Botafogo

Copa Sudamericana August 12, 2026 22:00
Cienciano
#2 · 8 pts
vs
Botafogo
#1 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.55%
Win
Cienciano
23.69%
Draw
41.76%
Win
Botafogo
1.55
Expected xG
1.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.62%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 35%
X 24%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 66%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 64%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botafogo a 41% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Cienciano. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cienciano and 1.9 for Botafogo (total 3.4), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.62% probability.

Season Stats

Cienciano
5W 5D 5L
Botafogo
5W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.5
1.2
Conceded
0.8
4.0
Shots OT
8.0
3.9
Corners
6.7
51%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
83%
40%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Cienciano
5W 3D 1L · at home
Botafogo
3W 0D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
3.0
0.6
Conceded
1.0
56%
Win %
100%
89%
Win or Draw
100%
78%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
56%
Clean Sht
33%
22%
Failed to Score
0%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cienciano Botafogo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 6.1% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.0% 9.4% 8.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.3% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Cienciano Cienciano
W Lanus 4–0
L Lanus 2–0
D Juventud 1–1
L Atletico-MG 2–0
L Puerto Cabello 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Botafogo Botafogo
W Caracas FC 1–3
W Independiente Petrolero 0–3
W Racing Club 2–1
W Independiente Petrolero 3–0
W Racing Club 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Cienciano Cienciano
Attack
32
Defence
56
Form
43
Botafogo Botafogo
Attack
49
Defence
65
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cienciano vs Botafogo?
The model gives Cienciano a 34% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 41% for an Botafogo win.
How many goals are expected in Cienciano vs Botafogo?
Expected goals: Cienciano 1.5, Botafogo 1.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Cienciano vs Botafogo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.62%.