Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 14, 2026 02:30
M. Succar
(ast. A. Hohberg)
18'
N. Bandiera
(ast. M. Amondarain)
20'
M. Succar
30'
M. Martinich
(ast. A. Hohberg)
35'
N. Bandiera
(ast. A. Hohberg)
62'
M. Succar
(ast. C. Souza Espana)
78'
49'
Matheus Martins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Botafogo 25%). The final result was Cienciano 6–1 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Botafogo.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
5
12
Shots on target
2
2.35
Actual xG
0.48
1
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
14
Corners
0
17
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Succar
· ast. A. Hohberg
18'
⚽N. Bandiera
· ast. M. Amondarain
20'
⚽M. Succar
30'
⚽M. Martinich
· ast. A. Hohberg
35'
37'
Kauan Toledo
/
A. Montoro
37'
Arthur Cabral
/
K. Barria
J. Romagnoli
/ A. Robles
46'
A. Robles
46'
49'
Matheus Martins⚽
56'
Alex Telles
/
Marcal
⚽N. Bandiera
· ast. A. Hohberg
62'
63'
S. Rodriguez
/
Danilo Santos
64'
Edenilson
/
C. Medina
N. Bandiera
/ H. Caparo
71'
⚽M. Succar
· ast. C. Souza Espana
78'
86'
G. Justino
G. Barreto
/ G. Aguirre
87'
C. Souza Espana
/ R. Sandoval
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.22%
Cienciano ←
24.59%
X
25.19%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
50.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
2.35
+0.06
0.99
0.48
-0.51
Cienciano dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Í. Espinoza
G
Í. Espinoza
G
16
M. Martinich
1 ⚽
D
M. Martinich
1 ⚽
D
3
K. Becerra
D
K. Becerra
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
1 👟
D
22
C. Cabello
D
C. Cabello
D
9
J. Romagnoli
45'
M
J. Romagnoli
45'
M
88
G. Barreto
87'
M
G. Barreto
87'
M
11
N. Bandiera
2 ⚽
71'
M
N. Bandiera
2 ⚽
71'
M
10
A. Hohberg
3 👟
M
A. Hohberg
3 👟
M
7
C. Souza
1 👟
M
C. Souza
1 👟
M
19
M. Succar
3 ⚽
F
M. Succar
3 ⚽
F
Bench
29
A. Robles
46'
M
A. Robles
46'
M
27
A. Yovera
D
A. Yovera
D
13
C. Núñez
D
C. Núñez
D
18
D. La Torre
F
D. La Torre
F
8
G. Aguirre
4'
M
G. Aguirre
4'
M
1
G. Falcón
G
G. Falcón
G
39
H. Caparó
20'
M
H. Caparó
20'
M
26
R. Aguilar
D
R. Aguilar
D
25
R. Salazar
D
R. Salazar
D
17
R. Sandoval
1'
F
R. Sandoval
1'
F
14
S. Cavero
D
S. Cavero
D
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
21
Marçal
56'
D
Marçal
56'
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
N. Ferraresi
D
34
G. Justino
D
G. Justino
D
4
M. Ponte
D
M. Ponte
D
6
C. Medina
64'
M
C. Medina
64'
M
75
Huguinho
M
Huguinho
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
37'
M
Álvaro Montoro
37'
M
8
Danilo Santos
63'
M
Danilo Santos
63'
M
11
Matheus Martins
1 ⚽
M
Matheus Martins
1 ⚽
M
37
K. Barria
37'
F
K. Barria
37'
F
Bench
13
Alex Telles
35'
D
Alex Telles
35'
D
19
Arthur Cabral
54'
F
Arthur Cabral
54'
F
9
Danilo
F
Danilo
F
91
Domingos Andrade
M
Domingos Andrade
M
88
Edenílson
27'
M
Edenílson
27'
M
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
7
Júnior Santos
F
Júnior Santos
F
59
Kauan Toledo
54'
M
Kauan Toledo
54'
M
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
77
L. Villalba
F
L. Villalba
F
23
S. Rodríguez
28'
M
S. Rodríguez
28'
M
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
Best on the pitch
M. Succar
F · Cienciano
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots
· 17 pass
N. Bandiera
M · Cienciano
8.70
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
A. Hohberg
M · Cienciano
8.60
3 👟
6 shots
· 31 pass
M. Martinich
D · Cienciano
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Maximiliano Amondarain
D · Cienciano
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 30 pass
Matheus Martins
M · Botafogo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Í. Espinoza | G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Martinich | D | 91 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Becerra | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amondarain | D | 91 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Romagnoli | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Barreto | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | M | 71 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | M | 91 | 8.60 | — | 3 | 6 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Succar | F | 91 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 6 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Robles | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Aguirre | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Caparó | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sandoval | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warleson | G | 91 | 4.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 56 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 91 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Justino | D | 91 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Ponte | D | 91 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | 91 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Barria | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Edenílson | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Botafogo?
The final score was Cienciano 6–1 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Cienciano win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Botafogo win.