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Cienciano - Lanus

Copa Sudamericana July 30, 2026 02:30
Cienciano
#2 · 8 pts
vs
Lanus
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.69%
Win
Cienciano
30.39%
Draw
33.92%
Win
Lanus
1.05
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.54%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 36%
X 30%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 64%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
✓ 83.3% hit rate (66 picks)
Over 2.5 45%
✓ 66.7% hit rate (18 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cienciano a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Lanus. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cienciano and 1.1 for Lanus (total 2.2), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.54% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lanus.

Season Stats

Cienciano
4W 6D 5L
Lanus
7W 6D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.2
1.3
Conceded
0.6
4.1
Shots OT
4.0
3.6
Corners
4.0
50%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
43%
33%
O 2.5
29%
47%
BTTS
29%
20%
Clean Sht
64%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
Cienciano
4W 3D 1L · at home
Lanus
1W 4D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.0
0.6
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
17%
88%
Win or Draw
83%
75%
O 1.5
50%
25%
O 2.5
33%
25%
O 3.5
33%
38%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
25%
Failed to Score
33%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cienciano Lanus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Cienciano Cienciano
L Lanus 2–0
D Juventud 1–1
L Atletico-MG 2–0
L Puerto Cabello 3–0
W Atletico-MG 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Lanus Lanus
W Cienciano 2–0
D Atletico-MG 0–0
W Universidad de Chile 1–0
D Universidad de Chile 2–2
D Fluminense 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Cienciano Cienciano
Attack
26
Defence
51
Form
38
Lanus Lanus
Attack
32
Defence
69
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Cienciano
0
Draw
1
Lanus
23 Jul 2026 Copa Sudamericana 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cienciano vs Lanus?
The model gives Cienciano a 35% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 33% for an Lanus win.
How many goals are expected in Cienciano vs Lanus?
Expected goals: Cienciano 1.0, Lanus 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Cienciano vs Lanus?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.54%.