Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 30, 2026 02:30
C. Garces
(ast. C. Souza Espana)
7'
A. Hohberg
(ast. C. Garces)
40'
C. Garces
(ast. C. Souza Espana)
45'+1
A. Hohberg
(ast. C. Garces)
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Lanus 28%). The final result was Cienciano 4–0 Lanus. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.29
Actual xG
0.16
4
Saves
1
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽C. Garces
· ast. C. Souza Espana
7'
13'
D. Aquino
C. Nunez
/ C. Cabello
21'
37'
M. Sepulveda
/
E. Salvio
⚽A. Hohberg
· ast. C. Garces
40'
⚽C. Garces
· ast. C. Souza Espana
45'+1
C. Garces
45'+2
46'
A. Wlk
/
D. Aquino
46'
R. De Jesus
/
T. Guidara
M. Succar
/ A. Robles
55'
60'
S. Marcich
62'
B. Acosta
/
R. Carrera
S. D. Arias Fierro
64'
S. D. Arias Fierro
/ H. Caparo
67'
75'
N. Morgantini
/
S. Marcich
G. Barreto
77'
⚽A. Hohberg
· ast. C. Garces
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
42.2%
Cienciano ←
29.14%
X
28.66%
Lanus
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
42.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
1.29
-0.16
0.90
0.16
-0.74
Cienciano dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Í. Espinoza
G
Í. Espinoza
G
16
M. Martinich
D
M. Martinich
D
3
K. Becerra
D
K. Becerra
D
4
M. Amondarain
D
M. Amondarain
D
13
C. Núñez
21'
D
C. Núñez
21'
D
5
S. Arias
67'
M
S. Arias
67'
M
88
G. Barreto
M
G. Barreto
M
19
M. Succar
55'
M
M. Succar
55'
M
10
A. Hohberg
2 ⚽
M
A. Hohberg
2 ⚽
M
7
C. Souza
2 👟
M
C. Souza
2 👟
M
21
C. Garcés
2 ⚽
2 👟
F
C. Garcés
2 ⚽
2 👟
F
Bench
29
A. Robles
38'
M
A. Robles
38'
M
27
A. Yovera
D
A. Yovera
D
22
C. Cabello
72'
D
C. Cabello
72'
D
18
D. La Torre
F
D. La Torre
F
8
G. Aguirre
M
G. Aguirre
M
1
G. Falcón
G
G. Falcón
G
39
H. Caparó
26'
M
H. Caparó
26'
M
30
Jean Roncal
G
Jean Roncal
G
26
R. Aguilar
D
R. Aguilar
D
25
R. Salazar
D
R. Salazar
D
17
R. Sandoval
F
R. Sandoval
F
14
S. Cavero
D
S. Cavero
D
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
75'
D
S. Marcich
75'
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
33
T. Guidara
45'
D
T. Guidara
45'
D
30
A. Cardozo
M
A. Cardozo
M
17
A. Medina
M
A. Medina
M
25
Dylan Aquino
45'
M
Dylan Aquino
45'
M
23
R. Carrera
62'
M
R. Carrera
62'
M
11
E. Salvio
37'
M
E. Salvio
37'
M
19
Y. Valois
F
Y. Valois
F
Bench
20
A. Wlk
48'
F
A. Wlk
48'
F
38
B. Acosta
31'
F
B. Acosta
31'
F
5
F. Peña
M
F. Peña
M
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
8
F. Watson
M
F. Watson
M
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
2
Luciano Romero
D
Luciano Romero
D
16
M. Sepúlveda
56'
M
M. Sepúlveda
56'
M
3
N. Morgantini
18'
D
N. Morgantini
18'
D
35
R. De Jesús
48'
D
R. De Jesús
48'
D
37
T. De Martis
F
T. De Martis
F
39
T. Laplace
M
T. Laplace
M
Best on the pitch
C. Garcés
F · Cienciano
9.00
2 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 13 pass
A. Hohberg
M · Cienciano
7.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 44 pass
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
7.90
2 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
Í. Espinoza
G · Cienciano
7.20
· 30 pass
S. Arias
M · Cienciano
7.20
· 39 pass
K. Becerra
D · Cienciano
7.00
· 36 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Í. Espinoza | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Martinich | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Becerra | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| C. Núñez | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Arias | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Barreto | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Succar | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | M | 93 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 93 | 9.00 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Robles | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Caparó | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 93 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Canale | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Medina | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| B. Acosta | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Morgantini | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| R. De Jesús | D | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Lanus?
The final score was Cienciano 4–0 Lanus.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Lanus?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Cienciano win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Lanus win.