Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
C. Garces
11'
A. Hohberg
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Puerto Cabello 18%). The final result was Cienciano 2–0 Puerto Cabello. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Puerto Cabello.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
2
2.50
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
1
16
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Garces
11'
M. Martinich
/ G. Barreto
66'
71'
J. Moreno
/
P. Lima
71'
R. D. Flores Barrios
/
H. Linares
⚽A. Hohberg
79'
83'
J. Hernandez
/
D. Saggiomo
83'
L. Casiani
/
J. Vargas
N. Bandiera
/ M. Succar
83'
C. Garces
/ J. Romagnoli
84'
A. Hohberg
/ R. Aguilar
84'
87'
J. Moreno
88'
L. Pimentel
/
J. Castillo
C. Souza Espana
/ R. Sandoval
88'
Pre-match prediction
60.02%
Cienciano ←
21.22%
X
18.76%
Puerto
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
60.02%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
2.50
+0.22
0.56
0.44
-0.12
Cienciano dominated by xG (2.50 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
16
Marcos Martinich
66'
D
Marcos Martinich
66'
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
Kevin Becerra
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
13
Claudio Nunez
D
Claudio Nunez
D
29
Ademar Robles
M
Ademar Robles
M
39
Henry Caparó
M
Henry Caparó
M
11
N. Bandiera
83'
M
N. Bandiera
83'
M
10
Alejandro Hohberg
1 ⚽
84'
M
Alejandro Hohberg
1 ⚽
84'
M
7
Cristian Souza
88'
M
Cristian Souza
88'
M
21
Carlos Garcés
1 ⚽
84'
F
Carlos Garcés
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
27
Alonso Yovera
D
Alonso Yovera
D
37
Alvaro Rojas
M
Alvaro Rojas
M
88
Gerson Barreto
24'
M
Gerson Barreto
24'
M
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
19
Matías Succar
12'
F
Matías Succar
12'
F
17
Ray Sandoval
2'
F
Ray Sandoval
2'
F
14
Sebastian Cavero
D
Sebastian Cavero
D
1
G
27
Heiber Linares
71'
D
Heiber Linares
71'
D
14
Gerónimo Bortagaray
D
Gerónimo Bortagaray
D
26
Jiovany Ramos
D
Jiovany Ramos
D
63
Stefan Obradović
D
Stefan Obradović
D
29
Jefre Vargas
83'
D
Jefre Vargas
83'
D
19
J. Castillo
88'
M
J. Castillo
88'
M
6
Pablo Lima
71'
M
Pablo Lima
71'
M
5
Gustavo Gonzalez
M
Gustavo Gonzalez
M
15
Daniel Saggiomo
83'
M
Daniel Saggiomo
83'
M
9
Andrés Ponce
F
Andrés Ponce
F
Bench
44
Geremías Meléndez
D
Geremías Meléndez
D
8
Júnior Moreno
19'
M
Júnior Moreno
19'
M
30
Luis Casiani
12'
D
Luis Casiani
12'
D
70
R. Flores
19'
F
R. Flores
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Alejandro Hohberg
M · Cienciano
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 28 pass
Maximiliano Amondarain
D · Cienciano
7.50
· 51 pass
Ademar Robles
M · Cienciano
7.30
2 shots
· 39 pass
Cristian Souza
M · Cienciano
7.30
· 30 pass
Kevin Becerra
D · Cienciano
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
Daniel Saggiomo
M · Puerto
7.20
· 36 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Marcos Martinich | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Becerra | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amondarain | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Claudio Nunez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademar Robles | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Henry Caparó | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| Alejandro Hohberg | M | 84 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Souza | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Garcés | F | 84 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerson Barreto | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Matías Succar | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Ray Sandoval | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Puerto Cabello — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| Heiber Linares | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gerónimo Bortagaray | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jiovany Ramos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Stefan Obradović | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jefre Vargas | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Lima | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Gonzalez | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Saggiomo | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Andrés Ponce | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Moreno | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Casiani | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Flores | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Puerto Cabello?
The final score was Cienciano 2–0 Puerto Cabello.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Puerto Cabello?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Cienciano win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Puerto Cabello win.