Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
C. Garces
11'
A. Hohberg
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Puerto Cabello 18%). The final result was Cienciano 2–0 Puerto Cabello. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Puerto Cabello.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
2
2.50
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
1
16
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Garces
11'
M. Martinich
/ G. Barreto
66'
71'
J. Moreno
/
P. Lima
71'
R. D. Flores Barrios
/
H. Linares
⚽A. Hohberg
79'
83'
J. Hernandez
/
D. Saggiomo
83'
L. Casiani
/
J. Vargas
N. Bandiera
/ M. Succar
83'
C. Garces
/ J. Romagnoli
84'
A. Hohberg
/ R. Aguilar
84'
87'
J. Moreno
88'
L. Pimentel
/
J. Castillo
C. Souza Espana
/ R. Sandoval
88'
Pre-match prediction
60.02%
Cienciano ←
21.22%
X
18.76%
Puerto
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
60.02%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
2.50
+0.22
0.56
0.44
-0.12
Cienciano dominated by xG (2.50 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
16
M. Martinich
66'
D
M. Martinich
66'
D
3
K. Becerra
D
K. Becerra
D
4
M. Amondarain
D
M. Amondarain
D
13
C. Núñez
D
C. Núñez
D
29
A. Robles
M
A. Robles
M
39
H. Caparó
M
H. Caparó
M
11
N. Bandiera
83'
M
N. Bandiera
83'
M
10
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
84'
M
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
84'
M
7
C. Souza
88'
M
C. Souza
88'
M
21
C. Garcés
1 ⚽
84'
F
C. Garcés
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
37
Á. Rojas
M
Á. Rojas
M
27
A. Yovera
D
A. Yovera
D
8
G. Aguirre
M
G. Aguirre
M
88
G. Barreto
24'
M
G. Barreto
24'
M
19
M. Succar
12'
F
M. Succar
12'
F
17
R. Sandoval
2'
F
R. Sandoval
2'
F
14
S. Cavero
D
S. Cavero
D
1
G
27
Heiber Eduardo Linares Martínez
71'
D
14
G. Bortagaray
D
26
J. Ramos
D
63
S. Obradović
D
S. Obradović
D
29
J. Vargas
83'
D
J. Vargas
83'
D
19
J. Castillo
88'
M
6
P. Lima
71'
M
5
G. González
M
15
D. Saggiomo
83'
M
9
A. Ponce
F
Bench
44
G. Meléndez
D
8
J. Moreno
19'
M
30
L. Casiani
12'
D
70
R. Flores
19'
F
R. Flores
19'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Hohberg
M · Cienciano
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 28 pass
M. Amondarain
D · Cienciano
7.50
· 51 pass
A. Robles
M · Cienciano
7.30
2 shots
· 39 pass
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
7.30
· 30 pass
K. Becerra
D · Cienciano
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
D. Saggiomo
M · Puerto
7.20
· 36 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| M. Martinich | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Becerra | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Robles | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Caparó | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | M | 84 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 84 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Barreto | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Succar | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sandoval | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Puerto Cabello — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| Heiber Eduardo Linares Martínez | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Bortagaray | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Ramos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Obradović | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| P. Lima | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| G. González | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Saggiomo | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ponce | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Moreno | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Casiani | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Flores | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Puerto Cabello?
The final score was Cienciano 2–0 Puerto Cabello.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Puerto Cabello?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Cienciano win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Puerto Cabello win.