✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
R. Lutiger
35'
(og)
M. Succar
(ast. C. Garces)
61'
A. Hohberg
(ast. M. Succar)
69'
27'
(ast. Y. Yotun)
Gabriel
45'+2
M. Castro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 15%). The final result was Cienciano 3–2 Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
5
8
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
ast. Y. Yotun ·
Gabriel⚽
⚽R. Lutiger
(og)
35'
38'
44'
G. Cazonatti
45'+2
M. Castro⚽
H. Caparo
/ M. Succar
46'
M. Martinich
/ A. Robles
46'
G. Aguirre
/ G. Barreto
46'
48'
G. Cazonatti
48'
G. Cazonatti
52'
L. Diaz
/
L. Iberico
⚽M. Succar
· ast. C. Garces
61'
65'
I. Wisdom
/
M. Tavara
⚽A. Hohberg
· ast. M. Succar
69'
77'
D. Otoya
/
Gabriel
78'
J. Cuenca
/
L. Sosa
78'
C. Cabellos
/
M. Castro
N. Bandiera
/ S. D. Arias Fierro
78'
A. Hohberg
/ R. Salazar
88'
Pre-match prediction
63.45%
Cienciano ←
20.61%
X
15.94%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
63.45%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
0.66
—
—
Lineups
1
Gonzalo Falcón
G
Gonzalo Falcón
G
27
Alonso Yovera
D
Alonso Yovera
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
Kevin Becerra
D
13
Claudio Nunez
D
Claudio Nunez
D
16
Marcos Martinich
45'
M
Marcos Martinich
45'
M
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
45'
M
Gonzalo Aguirre
45'
M
39
Henry Caparó
45'
M
Henry Caparó
45'
M
7
C. Souza
M
C. Souza
M
11
N. Bandiera
78'
F
N. Bandiera
78'
F
10
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
88'
F
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
88'
F
21
C. Garcés
1 👟
F
C. Garcés
1 👟
F
Bench
29
Ademar Robles
45'
M
Ademar Robles
45'
M
37
Alvaro Rojas
M
Alvaro Rojas
M
18
Didier La Torre
F
Didier La Torre
F
88
Gerson Barreto
45'
M
Gerson Barreto
45'
M
31
Ítalo Espinoza
G
Ítalo Espinoza
G
19
Matías Succar
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
Matías Succar
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
25
Renzo Salazar
8'
D
Renzo Salazar
8'
D
5
Santiago Arias
12'
M
Santiago Arias
12'
M
14
Sebastian Cavero
D
Sebastian Cavero
D
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
90
Cristiano
D
Cristiano
D
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
5
R. Lutiger
1 ⚽
D
R. Lutiger
1 ⚽
D
8
Leandro Sosa
78'
D
Leandro Sosa
78'
D
23
M. Castro
1 ⚽
78'
M
M. Castro
1 ⚽
78'
M
25
G. Távara
65'
M
G. Távara
65'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
48'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
48'
M
27
Gabriel Santana
1 ⚽
77'
M
Gabriel Santana
1 ⚽
77'
M
19
Y. Yotún
1 👟
F
Y. Yotún
1 👟
F
16
Luis Iberico
53'
F
Luis Iberico
53'
F
Bench
21
Catriel Cabellos
12'
M
Catriel Cabellos
12'
M
33
César Bautista
G
César Bautista
G
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
28
Diego Otoya
13'
F
Diego Otoya
13'
F
26
Ian Wisdom
25'
M
Ian Wisdom
25'
M
11
Irven Ávila
F
Irven Ávila
F
40
Jair Moretti
F
Jair Moretti
F
41
Joao Cuenca
12'
D
Joao Cuenca
12'
D
32
Leonardo Díaz
37'
D
Leonardo Díaz
37'
D
Best on the pitch
Matías Succar
F · Cienciano
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 4 pass
A. Hohberg
F · Cienciano
8.90
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 46 pass
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
7.90
· 27 pass
M. Castro
M · Sporting
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Luis Iberico
F · Sporting
7.30
1 shots
· 4 pass
Gabriel Santana
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Falcón | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alonso Yovera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Kevin Becerra | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Claudio Nunez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Martinich | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Aguirre | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Henry Caparó | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | F | 88 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 7 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademar Robles | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Gerson Barreto | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Matías Succar | F | 45 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Salazar | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Arias | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Abram | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Castro | M | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 48 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Gabriel Santana | M | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yotún | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Iberico | F | 53 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diego Otoya | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Joao Cuenca | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Díaz | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Cienciano 3–2 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Cienciano win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting Cristal win.