✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
R. Lutiger
35'
(og)
M. Succar
(ast. C. Garces)
61'
A. Hohberg
(ast. M. Succar)
69'
27'
(ast. Y. Yotun)
Gabriel
45'+2
M. Castro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 15%). The final result was Cienciano 3–2 Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
5
8
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
ast. Y. Yotun ·
Gabriel⚽
⚽R. Lutiger
(og)
35'
38'
44'
G. Cazonatti
45'+2
M. Castro⚽
H. Caparo
/ M. Succar
46'
M. Martinich
/ A. Robles
46'
G. Aguirre
/ G. Barreto
46'
48'
G. Cazonatti
48'
G. Cazonatti
52'
L. Diaz
/
L. Iberico
⚽M. Succar
· ast. C. Garces
61'
65'
I. Wisdom
/
M. Tavara
⚽A. Hohberg
· ast. M. Succar
69'
77'
D. Otoya
/
Gabriel
78'
J. Cuenca
/
L. Sosa
78'
C. Cabellos
/
M. Castro
N. Bandiera
/ S. D. Arias Fierro
78'
A. Hohberg
/ R. Salazar
88'
Pre-match prediction
63.45%
Cienciano ←
20.61%
X
15.94%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano)
63.45%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
0.66
—
—
Lineups
1
G. Falcón
G
G. Falcón
G
27
A. Yovera
D
A. Yovera
D
3
K. Becerra
D
K. Becerra
D
13
C. Núñez
D
C. Núñez
D
16
M. Martinich
45'
M
M. Martinich
45'
M
8
G. Aguirre
45'
M
G. Aguirre
45'
M
39
H. Caparó
45'
M
H. Caparó
45'
M
7
C. Souza
M
C. Souza
M
11
N. Bandiera
78'
F
N. Bandiera
78'
F
10
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
88'
F
A. Hohberg
1 ⚽
88'
F
21
C. Garcés
1 👟
F
C. Garcés
1 👟
F
Bench
29
A. Robles
45'
M
A. Robles
45'
M
37
Á. Rojas
M
Á. Rojas
M
18
D. La Torre
F
D. La Torre
F
88
G. Barreto
45'
M
G. Barreto
45'
M
31
Í. Espinoza
G
Í. Espinoza
G
19
M. Succar
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
M. Succar
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
25
R. Salazar
8'
D
R. Salazar
8'
D
5
S. Arias
12'
M
S. Arias
12'
M
14
S. Cavero
D
S. Cavero
D
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
90
Cris Silva
D
Cris Silva
D
96
L. Abram
D
L. Abram
D
5
R. Lutiger
1 ⚽
D
R. Lutiger
1 ⚽
D
8
L. Sosa
78'
D
L. Sosa
78'
D
23
M. Castro
1 ⚽
78'
M
M. Castro
1 ⚽
78'
M
25
G. Távara
65'
M
G. Távara
65'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
48'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
48'
M
27
Gabriel
1 ⚽
77'
M
Gabriel
1 ⚽
77'
M
19
Y. Yotún
1 👟
F
Y. Yotún
1 👟
F
16
L. Iberico
53'
F
L. Iberico
53'
F
Bench
33
C. Bautista
G
C. Bautista
G
21
C. Cabellos
12'
M
C. Cabellos
12'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
28
Diego Otoya
13'
F
Diego Otoya
13'
F
26
Ian Wisdom
25'
M
Ian Wisdom
25'
M
11
I. Ávila
F
I. Ávila
F
40
Jair Moretti
F
Jair Moretti
F
41
Joao Cuenca
12'
D
Joao Cuenca
12'
D
32
L. Díaz
37'
D
L. Díaz
37'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Succar
F · Cienciano
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 4 pass
A. Hohberg
F · Cienciano
8.90
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 46 pass
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
7.90
· 27 pass
M. Castro
M · Sporting
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
L. Iberico
F · Sporting
7.30
1 shots
· 4 pass
Gabriel
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Falcón | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Yovera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Becerra | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| C. Núñez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Martinich | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Aguirre | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Caparó | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Souza | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N. Bandiera | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | F | 88 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 7 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Robles | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Barreto | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Succar | F | 45 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Salazar | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Arias | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Cris Silva | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Abram | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Castro | M | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 48 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Gabriel | M | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yotún | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Iberico | F | 53 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diego Otoya | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Joao Cuenca | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Cienciano 3–2 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Cienciano win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting Cristal win.