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Liga 1 · Clausura - 12 October 19, 2026 01:30 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cienciano
#3 · 33 pts
1 – 0
Final score
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cienciano
Cristian Souza (ast. Carlos Garcés) 55'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cienciano a 84% win probability (draw 8%, UTC Cajamarca 6%). The final result was Cienciano 1–0 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, Cienciano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UTC Cajamarca.

Match statistics
25
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
2.50
Actual xG
0.55
5
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ Ray Sandoval / Matias Succar
45'
↕ Claudio Nuñez / Carlos Cabello
45'
⚽Cristian Souza · ast. Carlos Garcés
55'
Marcos Martinich
57'
Carlos Garcés
61'
61'
Arquímedes Figuera
65'
Cristián Molins
69'
Luis Arce / Joshua Cantt ↕
↕ Gerson Barreto / Henry Caparo
69'
Santiago Arias
70'
74'
75'
Abdiel Arroyo / Marlon de Jesús ↕
78'
Arquímedes Figuera
↕ Santiago Arias / Gonzalo Aguirre
81'
↕ Carlos Garcés / Didier La Torre
81'
87'
Jhosep Nunez / Adolfo Muñoz ↕
88'
Dylan Caro / Francesco Cavagna ↕
Pre-match prediction
84.95%
Cienciano ←
8.54%
X
6.51%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cienciano) 84.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cienciano
4.28
2.50
-1.79
UTC
0.96
0.55
-0.41
Cienciano dominated by xG (2.50 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
Cienciano Cienciano 4-2-3-1
1 G. Falcón G. Falcón G 8.07
16 M. Martinich M. Martinich D 6.89
3 K. Becerra K. Becerra D 6.80
4 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain D 7.00
13 C. Núñez C. Núñez 45' D 7.08
5 S. Arias S. Arias 81' M 6.43
88 G. Barreto G. Barreto 69' M 6.71
7 C. Souza C. Souza 1 ⚽ M 8.20
17 R. Sandoval R. Sandoval 45' M 6.09
11 N. Bandiera N. Bandiera M 6.25
21 C. Garcés C. Garcés 1 👟 81' F 6.95
Bench
27 A. Yovera A. Yovera D 0.00
22 C. Cabello C. Cabello 45' D 6.33
18 D. La Torre D. La Torre 9' F 6.53
8 G. Aguirre G. Aguirre 9' M 6.69
39 H. Caparó H. Caparó 21' M 6.50
31 Í. Espinoza Í. Espinoza G 0.00
19 M. Succar M. Succar 45' F 6.59
26 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar D 0.00
14 S. Cavero S. Cavero D 0.00
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 7.01
6 F. Cavagna F. Cavagna 88' D 5.61
2 B. Duarte B. Duarte D 6.13
3 M. Ganoza M. Ganoza D 6.82
17 L. Garro L. Garro D 6.39
16 A. Figuera A. Figuera 78' M 5.77
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro 69' M 5.96
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 87' M 6.60
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya M 6.94
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho M 6.51
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 75' F 6.41
Bench
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 15' F 6.54
13 D. Caro D. Caro 2' D 6.30
8 D. Dioses D. Dioses M 0.00
29 I. Barrios I. Barrios G 0.00
7 J. Nunez J. Nunez 3' F 6.31
88 L. Arce L. Arce 21' M 6.15
21 R. Bettocchi R. Bettocchi G 0.00
18 S. Gálvez S. Gálvez F 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Souza
C. Souza
M · Cienciano
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 45 pass
G. Falcón
G. Falcón
G · Cienciano
8.07
· 25 pass
C. Núñez
C. Núñez
D · Cienciano
7.08
1 shots · 15 pass
Á. Campos
Á. Campos
G · UTC
7.01
· 33 pass
M. Amondarain
M. Amondarain
D · Cienciano
7.00
· 54 pass
C. Garcés
C. Garcés
F · Cienciano
6.95
1 👟
3 shots · 15 pass
Cienciano Cienciano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Falcón G 90 8.07 — — 0 25 20% 0 — —
M. Martinich D 90 6.89 — — 1 31 27% 1 1 —
K. Becerra D 90 6.80 — — 3 30 24% 1 — —
M. Amondarain D 90 7.00 — — 0 54 41% 2 — —
C. Núñez D 45 7.08 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
S. Arias M 81 6.43 — — 1 33 28% 1 1 —
G. Barreto M 69 6.71 — — 1 34 30% 2 — —
C. Souza M 90 8.20 1 — 4 45 37% 1 — —
R. Sandoval M 45 6.09 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
N. Bandiera M 90 6.25 — — 2 7 4% 0 — —
C. Garcés F 81 6.95 — 1 3 15 13% 1 1 —
C. Cabello D 45 6.33 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
D. La Torre F 9 6.53 — — 0 5 5% 2 — —
G. Aguirre M 9 6.69 — — 3 8 6% 0 — —
H. Caparó M 21 6.50 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
M. Succar F 45 6.59 — — 2 5 3% 0 — —
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Campos G 90 7.01 — — 0 33 15% 0 — —
F. Cavagna D 88 5.61 — — 0 27 16% 1 — —
B. Duarte D 90 6.13 — — 1 26 17% 2 — —
M. Ganoza D 90 6.82 — — 0 32 27% 2 — —
L. Garro D 90 6.39 — — 2 29 21% 0 — —
A. Figuera M 78 5.77 — — 2 24 20% 2 — 1
J. Cerro M 69 5.96 — — 1 22 19% 0 — —
A. Muñoz M 87 6.60 — — 1 15 11% 2 — —
M. Lliuya M 90 6.94 — — 2 49 38% 1 — —
D. Camacho M 90 6.51 — — 2 20 19% 1 — —
M. de Jesús F 75 6.41 — — 0 13 6% 0 — —
A. Arroyo F 15 6.54 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
D. Caro D 2 6.30 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
J. Nunez F 3 6.31 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
L. Arce M 21 6.15 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was Cienciano 1–0 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Cienciano win, 8% to a draw, and 6% to an UTC Cajamarca win.